College Football Picks - Free Weekly ATS Predictions
Whether you handicap your own games and consider yourself a savvy bettor and want to see what other cappers are playing or you are just looking for some free college football picks you've come to the right place. There are a plethora of sports sites that offer selections on college games or most other sports for no cost to you, but keep in mind that in most instances you get what you pay for which on most sites is "nothing for nothing". That is not the case at SBS where we have a team of expert NCAA handicappers whose only goal is to provide you the visitor the best play on the board. Not one of our cappers is trying to sell you his "Lock of the Year", "Big Ten Blowout" or "50 Star Pick of the Week". Do our college football bets win? We certainly don't win every game, but we do win more than we lose and individually we have had many 60% plus seasons lead by champion handicapper Rich Crew who is sure to improve your return on investment on your wagers this season. With detailed statistical analysis of every match-up on the board, scouring their sources on the web for inside information on team moral and player injuries and comparing their numbers against the line maker's for any possible edge is what our team does each day of the week to come up with their plays. We feel confident in stating that our team of prognosticators not only provides the best free against the spread NCAA football predictions but the best possible.
Penn State went through a lost season last year in part due to some lousy football luck. But that kind of luck tends to trend back toward normal over the course of the following season or two. Plus, with a bunch of returning talent, we expect the PSU to bounce back and maybe win ten games this year (their over/under is nine). Also, Wisconsin is a little banged up, with several projected starters listed as questionable. We like the Lions here, and they might win this game outright.
Ohio State will probably win the Big Ten again this season, but there are holes to fill, including at quarterback. If the Buckeyes are going to struggle at all this year, you'd think it would be early. Minnesota, meanwhile, looks like an excellent candidate to rebound this season, with ten starters back on both sides of the ball, and we like Coach Fleck. In fact, we give the Gophers a puncher's chance to win this one outright. Just to be safe, we'll take Minnesota plus the points here.
This should be a good one to watch; two pretty evenly matched teams, both with a lot of returning talent, both with new head coaches. But we're thinking Boise State's learning curve under Avalos, who's already very familiar with the BSU style of play, won't be as steep as UCF's under Malzahn. Plus, the Broncos are a solid road bet over recent seasons. We expect a close game here and five points might come in real handy. So we like Boise State, plus the points.
Nebraska is now in its fourth season under Coach Frost and under some pressure to produce. The 'Huskers were supposed to be better by now but haven't shown much so far. Meanwhile, Illinois will be playing its first game under Coach Bielema, but the learning curve on his systems probably isn't as steep as under others. He likes to run the ball, work the clock, avoid turnovers and play field position. You know, Wisconsin-type ball. And they might actually have the personnel to do it. Also, these two teams are closer in overall talent than this point spread might indicate. They may not win this one outright, but we like the Illini plus the points.
Note that Jay's pick was made before it was annouced that Clemson Tigers offensive coordinator Tony Elliott will miss the game after a positive Covid test.
I really believe Coastal is the better all-around team and believe the line is reasonable.
I alluded to the Volunteers offensive woes above and the fact they have been held to 17 points or less in 4 straight games against mediocre opponents. While Florida's defense has not been overly impressive, the match-up against Tennessee is not fearful either. In my opinion, QB Jarrett Guarantano is the most overrated quarterback in SEC history. Despite the enormous expectations before the season began, the Vols senior QB has thrown just six passing touchdowns compared to 4 interceptions. The Volunteers have been ineffective in the passing game and rely on a one-dimensional running attack that is not exactly overly threatening either. The Gators defense has been criticized in recent weeks for underperforming, but this is the stylistic match-up that can turn things back in the right direction. Even if you don't trust Florida's defense, just trust the Vols' inability to move the football because that will be the key to this cover.
Personally, I think the 25 point betting spread is slightly risky because it will be heavily influenced by Auburn's production on offense. The Tigers looked awful against a comparable Georgia defense but traditionally manufacture scoring opportunities through efficient design. I could see Auburn being held to a low 14-17 point scoring total, and I can also see other opportunities where they get into a shootout with Alabama, given the Crimson Tide will be clearly ahead in both scenarios. Therefore, I think the best bet in this game is the "over" 60.5 point total. Even in a situation where Auburn's offense flops, it should only drive up Alabama's scoring potential. Heck, the Crimson Tide are nearly averaging 50 points per game. I personally believe this is a sweet spot for Jones to attack Auburn's pass defense, but honestly, Alabama will probably have success on the ground as well. In this revenge spot, I don't expect Alabama to show mercy nor have trouble towards creating scoring opportunities. If we get just a little help from Auburn's offense, this will be an easy total to hit.
Wisconsin is probably the better team in this match-up and probably should be favored, but its romp over Michigan last week probably inflates the line on this game by at least three points. And let's face it, Michigan stinks. Meanwhile, Northwestern, thanks to good coaching and a similar style of play, is always a pain in the ass for the Badgers. The Wildcats own seven outright victories over the last 14 meetings between these teams, every one of them upsets on the betting line. Most recent meetings have played out tough and low-scoring, and we expect another one here. We like Northwestern, plus the points.
Wisconsin looked great against Illinois but come on, that was Illinois. The Badgers are still breaking in a new QB and a new lead running back. Meanwhile, this may be Michigan's last stand for Coach Harbaugh. Falling to 1-3 will be embarrassing, and the talk has begun about Harbaugh's departure. After playing below expectations, the last two weeks do the Wolverines have a bounce-back effort in them? We believe they do. We'll go against the betting flow and take Michigan plus the points here.
Minnesota is the better team here, and while the Gophers might be struggling on defense, Illinois isn't exactly stuffing people, either. Also, the Illini will again be without their starting quarterback. Minnesota beat Illinois by 23 points last season, and while that seems like a bit much for this game, eight would be enough. We're giving the points here with the Gophers.
While I believe Penn State is a rightful play in the underdog role due to my belief in their defense, I am by no means claiming that is a safe play. Ohio State still has an explosive offense, and I'm not ruling out the idea of the Buckeyes shutting down Penn State's offense. When I break down this game in terms of match-up and projected game script, I believe the best play will be the "under" on the 64.5 total. Both teams put a heavy focus on running the football, as I have alluded to several times; both defenses have the better match-up in this game. Additionally, if you look at the history of Ohio State vs. Penn State, these games have traditionally been low scoring contests. Since James Franklin's arrival in Happy Valley, only once has the total for Ohio State vs. Penn State eclipsed the 60 point mark, and that includes the double-overtime thriller in 2014 that produced just 55 points. Trust me, the most probabilistic route to victory in this betting scenario lies with the under!