Expert Baseball Picks
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We're not sure who's going to win this game, but with two of the best lineups in Baseball against RH pitching and two iffy bullpens, we do expect plenty of runs to be scored. So we're taking the over on this game for our free MLB pick for Monday.
Tanaka may own the edge in the pitching match-up here but not by much. And our other baseball handicapping factors seem to even out. Our guess is New York will eventually be posted as a favorite of around -130 to -140 for this game, but if that's the case, we'll be betting on Tampa and the underdog price.
Atlanta is hot, Philly, not so much, and momentum plays a big part when we're handicapping baseball games. So we're betting the Braves with our free MLB pick for Saturday.
LA and Kershaw own the edge in the pitching match-up, but we give Chicago a slight advantage with the sticks. So we see betting value here with the Cubbies at the underdog price.
Philly may own a short edge in the pitching match-up, but with other factors equaling out, we see betting value with Arizona at the underdog price. So we're going with the Diamondbacks for our free MLB pick here.
Houston owns advantages in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen comparison, so even though they're missing those three key sticks, we still like the Astros for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.
Sale owns the advantage in the pitching match-up, and we might also give Boston short edges with the sticks and in the bullpen. But there's no way the Sox should be favored by this much. Boston isn't even playing .500 ball as of late, while Texas is 3-0-1 over its last four series. We're taking the Rangers and the fat underdog price.
Saturday's pitching match-up seems close to a push, and while Chicago owns an edge with the bats St. Louis holds an edge in the bullpen comparison. So we are going to lay the small price and back Cardinals.
Texas is playing the better ball as of late, and while Lynn got beat up the last time, he faced Oakland we expect a better outing Friday night. We like the Rangers for our free MLB pick in this spot.
We give Hudson the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and with other things being about equal we like St. Louis to bounce back and take Wednesday's game.
Chicago owns the edge in the pitching match-up but with other factors coming out about equal, we see great value here with a hot team getting such an attractive underdog price. We're going with Colorado for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.
LA is rolling pretty good at the moment, while Arizona is basically treading water. So we like the Dodgers in this spot. And since we also love taking chances, we'll chase a better price and play LA giving the run and a half against the run line.
Both starting pitchers in this match-up got kicked around by Sunday's opponents last season, so the bullpens might play a big part here. And New York owns the edge in the comparison of those units. Also, while Boston might hold a short statistical edge with the sticks that's not been apparent as of late. We're taking the home-dog Yankees for our free MLB pick for Sunday.
Colorado exploded for 13 runs last night, but Stroman is a considerable step up from Edwin Jackson who has looked overmatched. Jon Gray pitched well enough for his team to get the victory in his last two and the Rockies have won six of his previous eight starts. That said, he has allowed five runs in three of his last six outings making him a hit or miss proposition. I think that Toronto has such a significant edge in starting pitching tonight that I'm going to go against two sharp angles and that's backing a team on a losing streak of three or more games and betting on a team whose starter in making his first start at Coors Field. Going with the value tonight.
Minnesota is scorching at the moment, while Milwaukee is struggling just a bit. And the line on this game seems amenable. We're taking the Twins here for our free MLB pick for Monday.