Expert Baseball Picks

If you're like most guys you like to get some action down on the baseball games, but don't have the time to analyze all the pertinent stats and data to give yourself a decent shot at turning a profit. That's why you're here and that's what we hope to do for you. Our handicappers are pro bettors who know how to win and over the course of the season, we hope to provide you with not only free MLB picks but the fully researched analysis that will have you on the winning side of the ledger each season. For those new to betting on baseball or betting in general think of it like a stock investment. Your stock will have peaks and valleys throughout the year and wagering on our predictions is no different. We will have winning streaks and we'll have our share of losses along the way, but by season's end, our performance predicting the games should have you in the black.

Looking to get your feet wet betting on MLB online? Deposit $500 and get $250 free to bet at Bovada.

Friday Sep 30, 2022

We give Fried a slight edge in the pitching match-up because he's going better as of late than deGrom. From there, it looks like the splits with the sticks are about even, but Atlanta owns a short edge in the bullpen comparison. Plus, it's getting an underdog price at home. We're betting the Braves Friday night.

Free Pick: 
Take Atlanta +113
Thursday Sep 29, 2022
This pitching match-up looks about like a wash, as do the splits with the sticks and bullpen comparison. So the line on this game is about right. But Tampa Bay is still trying to secure a playoff berth while Cleveland is already locked into its playoff spot, which brings the Guardians’ motivation into question. Also, while the Rays batted 1/10 with RISP Wednesday in our minds that just sets them up for a little better luck next time out. We’re betting Tampa Thursday night.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Tampa Ba
Wednesday Sep 28, 2022

We give Urias the edge in the pitching match-up because of the better recent track record against these opponents. From there, Los Angeles owns the best line-up in the Majors against RH pitching and perhaps the best bullpen in Baseball. So we like LA here. We also like chasing better prices. So in knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll give the 1.5 runs against the run line, catching +123.

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers -1.5 +123
Tuesday Sep 27, 2022

Mikolas owns the edge in the pitching match-up while the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison come out about even. Also, St. Louis has an MVP candidate in Goldschmidt, while Milwaukee strikes out too much. So we're betting the Cardinals Tuesday night.

Free Pick: 
Take St. Louis -115
Saturday Sep 24, 2022

We give Kershaw the edge in the pitching match-up, and while St. Louis owns a slight edge with the sticks, Los Angeles owns a slight edge in the bullpen comparison. However, when we add that all that up, it does not warrant so high a price. Betting baseball often comes down to betting value, and we like the value with the Cardinals getting that fat underdog price.

Free Pick: 
Take St. Louis
Tuesday Sep 20, 2022

We give Stripling the edge in the pitching match-up in part because Toronto is 8-1 over his last nine starts. From there, the Blue Jays own the edges in both the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, Toronto is 28 games over .500 this season against RH starters. We're betting the Blue Jays Tuesday night.

Free Pick: 
Take the Jays -119
Monday Sep 19, 2022

This pitching match-up is a wash because both guys are just great. But from there, New York owns edges in both the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, the Mets are 31 games above .500 against RH starters this season. We're betting New York Monday night.

Free Pick: 
Take the NY Mets +103
Saturday Sep 17, 2022

We give Nola the edge in the pitching match-up, but Atlanta owns the better bullpen and the edge with the sticks because Philadelphia's Hoskins and Castellanos are out/questionable. Plus, the Braves are one of the best home teams in Baseball this season, they're 16 games over .500 against RH starters, and they might have Big Mo on their side after Friday night's late rally. We're betting Atlanta Saturday night.  

Free Pick: 
Take Atlanta at pick'em
Friday Sep 16, 2022

We're calling this pitching match-up a wash, but New York owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. Also, the Yankees seem to be regaining some mojo following a rough stretch, and the bats are alive, scoring 32 runs over their last four games. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is one of the most inconsistent teams in Baseball. We're betting New York Friday night at a very reasonable price.

Free Pick: 
Take the Yankees -112
Wednesday Sep 14, 2022
We give Burnes the check-mark in the pitching match-up mainly because of the much better recent past performance against these opponents. From there both the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparisons are about even. So the right team is favored here. Also, Milwaukee is going good as of late while St. Louis seems to be slowing just a bit, following a super last six weeks or so. So we’re betting the Brewers Wednesday night.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Milwaukee -115
Tuesday Sep 13, 2022
We give Gilbert a slight edge in the pitching match-up and while San Diego might own an edge with the sticks Seattle owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. Also, the Mariners are going better than the Padres as of late and they’re 20 games over .500 against RH starters. We’re betting Seattle Tuesday night.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Seattle -108
Saturday Sep 10, 2022

We'd give McKenzie a solid edge in the pitching match-up, but he's been bad against Minnesota this season. So we're a bit leery. From there, Cleveland owns an edge in the bullpen comparison, while the splits with the sticks are about even. But the Guardians are trending in a good direction while the Twins are not, and that means a lot to us when handicapping baseball games. So we're betting Cleveland Saturday night. 

Free Pick: 
Take Cleveland -125
Wednesday Sep 07, 2022
We give Manoah the edge in the pitching match-up and while Baltimore owns a slight edge in the bullpen comparison Toronto owns the edge in the splits with the sticks. Also, the Blue Jays seem to be pulling away from the Orioles, who are coming back to Earth after a great run pulled them into wild-card contention. We like Toronto for Wednesday night.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Toronto -145
Tuesday Sep 06, 2022

We have to give Cole the checkmark in the pitching match-up, although it's a little closer than first glance might indicate. From there, New York owns an edge in the bullpen comparison, but the splits with the sticks are about even. So when we add things up, it appears the line on this game is about 40-50 cents too high. Betting baseball is about betting value on the daily dime line, and we think there's good value with Minnesota getting that fat underdog price. 

Free Pick: 
Take Minnesota +175
Monday Sep 05, 2022

We're calling this pitching match-up a wash. From there, we'd give Chicago the edge with the sticks, but they might be down a couple of key guys. And we give Seattle the edge in the bullpen comparison. So our thoughts are the original line on this game - a pick 'em - was about right. Also, the Mariners are just going better than the White Sox, who are lucky to be playing in a poor division. We like Seattle for Monday night.

Free Pick: 
Take Seattl
Sunday Sep 04, 2022

Ferguson will probably open for a couple of innings, then turns things over to one of the best bullpens in Baseball. Also, Los Angeles gets a big checkmark in the splits with the sticks. Also, the Dodgers hit Clevinger pretty well the last time they faced him. So we like LA for our free baseball pick for Sunday. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers
Friday Sep 02, 2022

We give Springs the edge in the pitching match-up. Then we'd give New York the edge in the splits with the sticks, but Tampa's bats are hotter lately. Then we give the Yankees the edge in the bullpen comparison, but they're both great, so it's close. Ultimately the Rays are going in a much better direction than New York over recent weeks, and diverging trends like that mean a lot to us when handicapping baseball games. So we're taking Tampa Friday night.

Free Pick: 
Take The Rays
Wednesday Aug 31, 2022
 
We give McKenzie our handicapping check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Cleveland owns an edge with the sticks, while the bullpens, both solid, are about equal. So we like the Guardians here. But we're not big fans of that price. So we'll take a chance and fight the 17 percent slant (17 percent of ML games are won by the favorite by precisely one run) with a play on Cleveland against the run line.
Free Pick: 
Take Clevelan -1.5
Monday Aug 29, 2022

Despite his recent struggles, we give Montas the edge in this pitching match-up. From there, we also give New York edges with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Yankees here. We also like taking chances. So in, knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll play the Yanks against the run line at a price of -110.

Free Pick: 
Take the NYY -1.5 runs
Sunday Aug 28, 2022

Wainwright gets our handicapping check-mark in the pitching match-up, and St. Louis owns an edge with the sticks, while Atlanta owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. But the Cardinals should also have Big Mo on their side after rallying to win Saturday night, and they're just headed in a good direction as of late. So we like St. Louis here, the home team, at a very reasonable price.

Free Pick: 
Take St. Louis -126

Pages