NBA Basketball Picks - Daily ATS Predictions
Do you like to bet on the games, but don't have enough time to properly handicap one game let alone the whole card? Do you find that your NBA picks don't win enough to turn a profit? Most beginners or novice sports bettors will answer "yes" to at least one of these questions. If that is you then you've come to the right place. If you didn't, then don't run off, we're sure that you could use our handicappers' opinions to get more of a consensus pick on the games or some tidbit on a matchup that you missed. Our team here at SBS use different methods to come up with their suggested point spread and total selections, but in the end each one offers up fully researched predictions that they feel offer the best wagering value on the betting board. Make sure you make SBS one of your daily stops for free betting predictions from the day's pro basketball card that you can bet on!
On the year, the Phoenix Suns are 1-13 SU on the road, so backers of the Knicks are assuming here that the low-hanging fruit is easy money given Phoenix's woes away from home. However, the market actually says the opposite as it is incredibly underpriced on Phoenix concerning this narrative. In fact, one could argue that had this game been played a less reputable venue that the Suns may actually be favored to get their second win of the season. There is an old idiom that when anyone backs the Knicks at Madison Square Garden, they pay a premium to do so on several occasions. This is one of those spots as there is no reason to justify the Knickerbockers being favored here other than this combined with an emphasis on Phoenix’s away record. Things will change tonight, and the Suns will win convincingly.
What we have taking shape is a clear-cut overlay, and we can take advantage here by scoffing up the points. This game has upset potential written all over it as the Hawks will view this as a contest they can actually win. Brooklyn will have a tough time putting away what will be a scrappy counterpart.
Given all the metrics, it is safe to conclude that the Hornets would be favored in this fixture had the Lakers not had LeBron James wearing a yellow jersey. We will take advantage of this narrative and back the team offered at a better price. Charlotte gets the win.
Atlanta will not be backing down from the challenge here against Boston and will play with an “everything to gain and nothing to lose” mentality. These teams are especially dangerous when they are taking back a likely-inflated number next to them. However, we have seen Boston get shocked in two of their three losses at home this season, as an 11.5-point underdog hosting Orlando in October and most recently on November 21st hosting the Knicks as a 14-point choice. Very simply, the Celtics cannot be trusted laying this kind of lumber despite their market appeal as the let-down possibility remains high in this affair.
The Oklahoma City Thunder feature two of the ten best players in the NBA, but winning on the road is hard. New Orleans loves to speed up the tempo, especially at home, and they should put up a ton of points in this matchup. Jrue Holiday is emerging as one of the league’s best point guard and Anthony Davis is still one of the best players in the world. Bet the New Orleans Pelicans to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder.
When this market opened the Knicks were spotting 1.5 points to the Cavaliers, but that number has risen thanks to money coming in on the Knickerbockers out of the gate. Despite New York entering in poor form and sporting the overall turbulent road record, they offer some form of appeal because Cleveland is not the Cleveland of old. However, the metrics show that the Cavaliers offer the edge here in this spot and they are in prime position to go forth and earn their seventh win this season.
This spot has Motor City written all over it. In Philadelphia's case, it is tough to beat the same team in back-to-back games. However, when this narrative is added into what has transpired recently in this series, this sets up a quintessential buy-low and sell-high opportunity for both teams in this market with Detroit being the benefactors. As a result, we get the benefit of getting the better team in this situation at the better price as we also get points to work with as well.
Though the Bucks are one of the premier teams in the NBA at the moment, all of their productivity, efficiency, and explosiveness circulates around one man: Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo. “The Greek Freak” has been putting together a freakishly awesome campaign with 26.8 points per game, six assists per outing, 13 rebounds per game, and 1.5 steals per game. Giannis is also the Bucks’ best shooter hitting 57% of his field goals. The strategy for the Raptors is simple, shut down The Greek Freak and then the Bucks become far easier to lock horns with. So far this season, no one has really had an answer for The Greek Freak, but the Raptors have one of the best defenders in all of the NBA, and that man is Forward Kawhi Leonard. The Raptors will deploy Leonard on Anteokuonmpo and force the Bucks to win with their supporting cast. Given the location of the venue, we have to like Toronto’s prospects of winning and covering while they are at it.
When these two teams last met in October, the Knicks were priced as a one-point favorite in this contest. Despite New York running wild in this series as of late, the market is reluctant to give any more leverage to Nets takers. In fact, Brooklyn still is an underdog by just a bucket. Buying low and selling high is a practice we champion and given how successful New York has been as of late against the Nets, this is the ideal time for Brooklyn to turn the tide in this rivalry after earning a huge win last night. The momentum is with Brooklyn, and thus we'll ride it here and trade the trey away to take them on the Money Line.
There is an old saying that it is better to be lucky than it is good and the Nuggets have lived by this idiom on their road trip. Their first two games against both Portland and Toronto (teams with prominent home court advantages) were settled by a combined four points. After this, Denver would be on the fortuitous side of an overtime period with the Magic in their latest venture. Very easily, the Nuggets could have gone 0-3 SU as opposed to 3-0 SU on their current road trip but the public solely puts stock in the fact they covered and picked up two quality wins on paper in a hostile environment. However, Denver is not the underdog like they were in Rip City or the Great White North and now are expected to win in yet another notoriously energized setting. Their luck will run out here, and the Hornets will end their winning streak.
Typically, The Land is known for having a healthy home court advantage at "The Q." This season has been difficult for Cleveland, but given the essence of this contest, you can rest assured that the Quicken Loans Arena will be rocking as if this were a playoff game. With that being said, Golden State is a menial 5-7 SU on the road this season which means the champs can find themselves in a dogfight with an old foe. Grab the points.
In the last meeting between both sides, the Heat led by as much as 11 points before they saw their lead evaporate. The Heat would then trail by as much as nine in the fourth quarter but found a way to keep the game within a basket. Miami has a blueprint to replicate, and given their stronger interior play they will be able to get a few more chances now to get the points they need to get a win and cover a friendly line.
This game is by no means a blockbuster event. However, Cleveland and Brooklyn are more or less on the same level regarding quality. With respect to Brooklyn's home court advantage, we had seen the Cavaliers beat Philadelphia on its own court when they had not lost a game all season in the City of Brotherly Love. You can rest assured the Cavs won't even bat an eye at the far weaker Nets on their hardwood. An upset possibility remains high here.
The Grizzlies are an effective three-point shooting team with a sixth-ranked 36.8%. If Memphis falls behind, they do not sweat it, because they have a pernicious defense complemented by efficient ball handling. The Grizzlies' ability to cause opponents to make mistakes allows them to claw their way back into the contests. However, it won't even come to that. Memphis will be the toughest defense that Philadelphia has played since it began its 7-1 SU run dating back to November 16th and that could be quite problematic for the Sixers who have feasted on cupcakes for the most part over this span. A rude awakening is in store for Philly as the Grizzlies will turn this one into a fist fight.
This contest will be entirely different from what we saw transpire between the two teams in October. Milwaukee does not have the luxury of home court, and the Knicks will be primed to offer up a better performance against this Bucks team in contrast. In essence, a cover is generated if the Knicks hit one more three-pointer against Milwaukee compared to their output in October. This is certainly feasible as the Knicks and Bucks hit the same amount of field goals (45) overall, but Milwaukee had three more attempts. The Knicks were actually the better shooting team when you work out the math, and now they have a blueprint to follow if they want to generate a more favorable result. The Knicks will take more shots and come in under the number as a result.
We will go ahead and toss the three-ball away here and take the Heat outright on the money line. The Heat plays a better brand of defense than the Pelicans as they give up 6.5 fewer points per game on average [Miami 110.5 ppg (15th in NBA) vs. New Orleans 117 ppg (28th in the league) compared to their counterparts. Furthermore, Miami owns the deeper bench which gives them an advantage in the fourth quarter. The forecast for the game is that this one should be one of possessions and a clash that will go the distance, therefore we have to like the Heat’s prospects as this gives them a substantial edge. When you add in the poor play of New Orleans away from home overall, Miami is in pole position to produce an upset if it is even appropriate to call it that.
The Sixers remain the more physical team of the two as they are outrebounding the Knicks by 3.6 net rebounds per game. Philadelphia is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, accruing 47.6 boards per game while the Knicks give away a 21st ranked 46.2 rebounds per game. When you combine the physical presence with Philadelphia’s more efficient shot selection (45.8% - 14th overall) as a whole compared to the Knicks who are among the worst in the league when it comes to shooting at 43.8% (28th in the NBA), this contest has all the makings for a nasty blow-out swinging in the Sixers favor.
This game will be won on the boards, and Detroit has done very well for itself there as of late as they have outmuscled their opponents in six of their last eight outings, eclipsing the 50-mark in four of these occasions. The Suns ranked 29th in the rebounding department as they accrue an average of just 39.7 offensive boards per game. What this entails is a colossal mismatch is in the making, and Detroit could easily run this one wire-to-gate. Pistons win in a mauling.
Could lightning strike twice? Possibly. However, while another Cleveland upset may be improbable, there are still way too many points on the table here with a team that will have enhanced motivation to play this contest. The Cavaliers will come out guns blazing and may even take the lead into the half. Ultimately, the talent levels on the two teams will be the deciding factor, but also if Houston builds a large lead, there is still tremendous backdoor potential if they were to coast to the finish. Chances are though, Cleveland won't even need the backdoor.
In their last four games, the Knicks have averaged 118 points, so they have the proficiency to go toe-to-toe with NOLA's second-ranked scoring offense (119.6 points per game) given the Pelicans' lack of defense. Also, as mentioned the Knicks played this team a week ago on their own court and gave them a game so there will be no timidity here by New York. Furthermore, the Knicks get a re-match with New Orleans at home when they aren't riding a nasty skid, so it is safe to say that they will undoubtedly be bringing it. It would by no means be a shocker if the Knicks staged another upset here, but the points should certainly be more than enough to allow any taker to green up.