College Basketball Picks - ATS Predictions
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Kansas had the easier time of it Saturday, leading its game by double-digits most of the way, while North Carolina is coming off a huge emotional effort against Duke. Which, in our minds, leaves the Heels susceptible to a letdown. Also, the Jayhawks are the better defensive team and much less reliant on the 3-pointer than the Tar Heels, which in our books, in a game like this, is a positive. So we're betting Kansas here, minus the points.
Duke won the first meeting between these teams this season by 20 points, while North Carolina won the second meeting by 13. We feel this game will be much closer than those two. And yet we believe the Blue Devils are the better, more complete team in this match-up; they shoot the ball better and play better defense. We don’t give a schnit about Coach K’s final run toward a title, but we are betting Duke here, minus the points.
Miami owns the edge on offense in this match-up, but Iowa State owns the edge on defense. And we love betting on the better defenses. Also, the Cyclones played a tougher schedule than the Hurricanes this season. Finally, this game looks destined to go down to a last possession, maybe in overtime, and 2.5 points might actually be a lot. We're taking the points with Iowa State.
Gonzaga is the better team here and should win this game. The Bulldogs shoot the ball better from the floor and the 3-point line, hold opponents to under 38 percent FG shooting and do a little better job on the boards. But Gonzaga also shot just 16/30 from the line in its first-round tournament game, which basically cost them the money, then hit just 13/24 against Memphis. And you've gotta hit those free throws when you're trying to close out games and cover spreads. Meanwhile, Arkansas can play some defense, and after shooting so poorly last Saturday, we expect better Thursday night. We're not calling for the outright upset here, but we are taking the Hogs and the points.
Tennessee is just the better and hotter team here, playing great ball over the last six weeks or so. Also, 11 of the Vols’ last 13 wins have come by at least six points, which would do the job in this spot. Also, we didn’t even think Michigan deserved an invitation to the Dance. So we’re taking Tennessee here, minus the points.
Iowa is just the hotter team here and this is the perfect time of the season to ride hot teams. The Hawkeyes are throwing the ball in the hole like crazy as of late, hitting the 80-point mark seven times over their last eight games. Purdue, meanwhile, is only 6-3 its last nine times out and strug-gled to beat several lesser opponents over that span. So we’re taking Iowa here for the win.
Gonzaga is probably going to win this game; it's just the better team overall. But St. Mary's looked like it figured something out when it pulled that upset two weeks ago, holding the Zags to season-low offensive numbers. Plus, Sagarin's ratings say this game should be closer than the spread, and we hold those ratings in high regard. We're not calling for another outright upset here, but we are taking the Gaels and the points.
Gonzaga is 34-1 over its last 35 WCC games, 33 of those wins coming by double-digits. The Zags also won both games vs. San Francisco this season by 16 points. And we expect a bounce-back performance from Gonzaga here, following their poorest performance of this season last time out. So we're betting the Bulldogs, minus the points.Gonzaga is 34-1 over its last 35 WCC games, 33 of those wins coming by double-digits. The Zags also won both games vs. San Francisco this season by 16 points. And we expect a bounce-back performance from Gonzaga here, following their poorest performance of this season last time out. So we're betting the Bulldogs, minus the points.
Iowa is playing great ball as of late, including the other night at Michigan, but that just has us wondering if the Hawkeyes might be ripe for a letdown in this spot. Illinois, meanwhile, put on a poor performance against an inferior foe last time out, but that just leads us to believe they'll play much sharper Sunday night. Also, the Illini are the better defensive team and better on the boards. So we're giving the points here with Illinois.
Six of the last ten meetings between these two teams were decided by five points or less, one in overtime. Also, we expect a bounce-back performance from USC Saturday night, following a poor one last time out. Also, Juzang is still questionable. We see another close game here, so we’re taking the Trojans plus the points.
Belmont won the previous meeting in this series getting a narrow 49-48 road win and I'm banking on the Eagles defense to keep this close again in another low-scoring affair.
St. Bonaventure shoots the ball a little better than Richmond, plays a little better defense, and does a better job on the boards. Also, we expect a bounce-back effort from the Bonnies, following a lousy performance last time out. Also, we don’t believe the Spiders can sweep St. Bonnie. So we’re betting the Bonnies here, minus the points.
Gonzaga is just a super team, really good, fundamentally sound, mentally tough, unselfish, and fun to watch. UCLA, on the other hand, has probably been playing over its head the last couple of games, and that's tough to keep up. Now, two touchdowns is a ton of a line in a game at this level of the tournament, but the Bulldogs just keep winning by big margins. Heck, they let up against USC last time out and still won by 19. We're gonna give the points here with Gonzaga.