College Basketball Picks - ATS Predictions
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Sacramento State by all indications should control the ebbs and flow of this game which means that an upset is likely in the works. While this game may indeed come to a basket, the Hornets will likely win this one by a more decisive margin as their defense create some separation from their overvalued opponents that are favored strictly by recency bias and tournament pedigree.
Duke and North Carolina games are usually instant classics, and this should be much of the same. This will be an incredibly fast-paced game, with plenty of NBA type talent on the floor. North Carolina will keep it close for a while, but eventually, Duke will wear them out.
Three of the recent six games between these two sides were settled by a bucket. Two of these contests required overtime. Given the fact that the price for taking back the point is equivalent to backing Y-State outright, we’ll take that one point as it may actually be pivotal in a historically hard-fought and scrappy match-up such as this one. However, when push comes to shove Youngstown State has all the intangibles to get the win outright here on their own court.
This is going to be an excellent game between two of the top teams in the country. In the end, we are going with the program with the most success. We are taking Kentucky to win this game at home.
This game has all the makings of a blowout written all over it, and we can trust that UC Santa Barbara will get the job done here. The Gauchos will take the Highlanders wire-to-gate and win this one by double digits at the minimum.
It’ll be interesting to see if Gilbert can make it through pregame warmups and suit up for this game now that the team is without Adams. All indications are that he’s close to returning and it would be nice for the Huskies to get back their floor general. Given the injury concerns to the Huskies, we’re picking the red-hot Cougars Thursday night.
Very simply, Northern Kentucky is a superior team compared to their opponents. They shoot better (NKU hits 48.3% success rate on their field goal attempts – 29th in NCAA compared to Oakland who hits a 69th ranked 46.9%), they are far superior in scoring defense as Oakland gives up a 309th ranked 77.6 points per game compared to NKU’s 75th ranked 67.5 points per contest. As a result of a heavy public lean on the dog, we get the Norse at a reduced price. Take advantage.
This is expected to be a great basketball game. The Cavaliers are a very small favorite at home, but in the end, we expect the Duke Blue Devils to come away with the road upset win. This would be a massive win for Coach K and his young squad.
The Terriers areas are in a prime spot to stub their toe here. However, much of the consensus will dissent as the Buc's most recent loss at home against UNC Greensboro combined with Wofford's flawless Southern Conference record has something to do with why they are leaning on the Terriers here with the point. Nevertheless, this is an ETSU basketball team that prides itself on playing at another level on its own floor, and nothing can typify that more by ending Wofford's present win streak both at-large and against them.
Both teams' average's around 70 ppg, but the Badgers shoot about 3% better from the field. The advantage for Wisconsin could come down to their team defense. The Badgers only allow 61.5 ppg, compared to Minnesota who gives up 70.3 ppg. The Gophers last game ended in a loss to Purdue, and before that, they were teetering back and forth in wins and losses. They did go on a nice six-game winning streak during December and took down no. 19 Iowa a few games ago so this is definitely a team that can pull off a win, especially at home. Despite that, look for the red hot shooting of Wisconsin to lead them over the top.
Both of these team's average around 70 ppg, but Kansas allows just as many points per game (70.3), as they score (76.7). Texas Tech is allowing only 56.8 ppg, and they need that defense to be in full force against this Kansas offense. Each team shoots 47% from the field, and this game could come down to which side can slow down the opposing star better. Lawson and Culver lead each of their teams in both scoring and rebounding, but Lawson as a height advantage down at the forward position. This is going to be a tough game on the road for the Red Raiders, and we just can't see Bill Self's team losing three straight games.
North Dakota State will transform what an eight-game road losing streak into a two-game road winning streak at the expense of the Leathernecks was. The Bison will play a complete game and allow costly WIU turnovers combined with NDSU’s edge in bench play to win this contest by potentially another double-digit margin.
In this battle of the birds, we are putting our trust in the one that has the ability to rise from its own ashes. Metaphorically speaking Elon will do just that and end Delaware's three-game winning streak with style on its own floor. The Blue Hen's luck runs out, and the Phoenix pull the upset.
LSU is averaging 83 ppg compared to Texas A&M's 72 ppg. Both teams are pretty equal in rebounds and assists, but if the Aggies can control the boards and get hot from the field, they could pull off an upset. We'll see if Mitchell can build off his strong performance against Kansas State and wield his team to victory.
I don’t think that anyone of sound mind would forecast an upset in this game, but the nearly two touchdowns spread on this game is not something I feel comfortable laying. In my opinion, the total on this game is where the value lies. The Irish rank 102nd in home scoring defense and are facing the 5th best road scoring offense of the Blue Devils. ND doesn't pressure well averaging a puny 5.35 steals a game making a score in the n90's for Duke a strong possibility. The injury to Forward Juwan Durham and his blocking ability adds more to the argument. Syracuse skews the number, but Duke has allowed 70.4 points per game in ACC games, and we may need only a mid 60's score by the Irish to surpass the line.
The Knights are just 2-2 as a true road team this season, but one of their losses was against a decent Mizz team losing by two in overtime in their first real road game of the season. The other defeat came against Wichita State who was hitting everything that match and were not going to be stopped. UCF has had Memphis number over the last two seasons and has done a good job containing Memphis top scoring threat Jeremiah Martin holding him to 17 at home and 11 on the road last season. This game is too close to call versus the spread as either team could get the victory and the money, but the total looks beatable. In 2018 these teams combined for 132 and 121 points and while I do forecast I higher number this time around we have 16 points to play with.
The lack of scoring outside of Langford and Morgan for Indiana really shows. We saw it in the last game between these two teams. The duo combined for 42 of the teams 63 points. The Hoosiers can quickly get back on track, and turn their season around if some of their other guys start contributing more. As far as next Friday's game goes, we're taking the Wolverines on the road. This should be a great game.
Iowa has shown their ability to upset a ranked opponent following a 72-62 upset over no. 16 Ohio State a week ago. That win propelled the Hawkeyes into the top 25 of the AP poll rankings, pushing them up three spots from no. 26 to no. 23. The Spartans took care of Iowa back in early December, winning 90-68. Ward led the way for Michigan State with 26 points and 9 rebounds. Goins also posted an impressive stat line of 19 points, 14 rebounds and 7 assists. The scary thing about that win is the Spartans still won by 22 points despite their leading scorer Cassius Winston only contributing 8 points. Winston did a lot of distributing in the game though with a team-high 12 assists.
It may sound odd, but I don’t think that the Tar Heels have enough offense to get past the Hokies tonight. Virginia Tech rarely gives up more than 70 points doing so on just three occasions and while that happened in their last two the game against Wake Forest (87-71) they ran into foul trouble and played a lot of back-ups in the second half. North Carolina shot over 50% from the field in their latest which was the first game in their last eight that they have eclipsed that mark, so it's not a given that they'll repeat. The Hokies have edges in shooting, turnover margin and if they can win the battle on the boards should win this outright.