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Sunday Oct 01, 2023

Kansas City could be 3-0, if not for a pick-6 and some dropped passes against the Lions, and its defense is playing well. New York, meanwhile, can’t throw the ball, can’t run the ball, and its defense, the strength of the team, only ranks 19th in the League. Also, playing on the road means the spread is a bit more amenable. And the early line movement worked in our favor. We’re giving the points with the Chiefs on Sunday night.

Free Pick: Take Kansas City -9

Sunday Oct 01, 2023

Given the Browns' defensive prowess and home-field advantage, we're leaning towards Cleveland to not only win but also cover the 3-point spread.

Free Pick: Take the Browns -3

Thursday Sep 28, 2023

Our big questions about Detroit heading into this season concerned the defense and avoiding a letdown after finishing so well last season. So far, the defense is playing much better than last year, helping the team avoid such a letdown. As for Green Bay, QB Love is playing good ball, but that offense might again be without four key guys. And that defense is still iffy. We bet Detroit at Lambeau Field last January and see no reason not to do it again

Free Pick: Take Detroit -1

Monday Sep 25, 2023

So, to wrap it up, if you're looking to make a savvy pick, the Bucs look like a solid bet to cover the spread. Their defense can stifle the Eagles' offense, they've got the home crowd behind them, and they've been undervalued so far. Time to place those bets, folks.

Free Pick: Take the Bucs +5

Sunday Sep 24, 2023

Las Vegas is not running the ball like it could. RB Jacobs led the League in rushing last season but he’s only got 46 yards this season. Feed that guy! Also, we give Garoppolo the edge in the QB comparison. Also, this game looks like a good fit for our “what’s-up-one-week-is-down-the-next, and vice-versa” theory. We’re riding with the Raiders Sunday night.

Free Pick: Take the Raiders -2.5

Sunday Sep 24, 2023

Given the high-scoring offenses, suspect defenses, and favorable yards-per-pass stats, this game is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair. All signs point to the "over" being a solid bet for this Week 3 matchup.

Free Pick: Take the Over 54.5

Sunday Sep 24, 2023

Considering the injuries to the Ravens' defense, the Colts' promising backup QB performance, and historical ATS trends, taking the points with the Colts seems like a well-calculated risk for this NFL Week 3 showdown.

Free Pick: Take the Colts +8

Thursday Sep 21, 2023

San Francisco gets our football handicapping check-marks in the QB comparison, with the running game, and with the (much) better defense. So we're guessing the 49ers might win this game. And so far in the NFL this season, the teams that won the game outright are 25-5-2 ATS. We're trying not to overthink this one; we'll take Niners and give the points.

Free Pick: Take San Fran -10

Monday Sep 18, 2023

Considering the defensive prowess shown by the Browns and the offensive struggles faced by the Steelers, coupled with the potential absence of key players, the stage seems set for a game where defenses shine. The seasoned bettor might find value in eyeing the "under" play in what promises to be a gritty, hard-fought contest.

Free Pick: Take the Under 38

Sunday Sep 17, 2023

Miami won a wild game on the other side of the country last week and now heads 1,500 miles north for Sunday’s game. We wonder if that won’t have an effect. Also, that Dolphins defense concerns us a bit. New England, meanwhile, lost a tough game at home last week. Might the Patriots be primed for a rebound effort here? Also, if anyone can come up with a solution to the Tagovailoa-Hill problem, you’d think it might be Coach Belichick. We expect this game, like these teams’ games last week, to play out close, so we’ll take the Patriots plus the points.

Free Pick: Take the Pats +3

Sunday Sep 17, 2023

Given the recent performances and historical data, betting "over" 51 seems to have some solid ground. Both teams have the arsenal to engage in a high-scoring duel. Let’s buckle up for what promises to be an exhilarating encounter with points coming thick and fast.

Free Pick: Take the Over 51

Sunday Sep 17, 2023

I don't like laying points on the road. Especially on a team switching coasts, but the Chargers offense really stands out here and if they can keep the Titans running game in check, they can win this by more than the -3 posted line.

Free Pick: Take the Chargers -3

Thursday Sep 14, 2023

Philadelphia owns the better QB, the better running game, and the better defense. Also, the Eagles totally outplayed Minnesota in their meeting last season, and from what we can tell, not much has changed since. We like Philly for Thursday night, minus the points.

Free Pick: Take the Eagles -7

Sunday Sep 10, 2023

We give Dallas edges in the quarterback match-up, the running games, and on defense. Also, the Cowboys outplayed New York twice last season. And how much has changed since then? We’re giving the points with the ‘Pokes Sunday night.   

Free Pick: Take Dallas -3.5

Sunday Sep 10, 2023

  The injury updates have brought a fresh perspective into the betting dynamics. With the Patriots' leading receiver from 2022 sidelined, and given the Eagles' robust defense, a play on the under 44.5 (-110) could be a strategic move. Remember, the focus here is not just on the potential winner but on the total points to be scored in the game. It's a game of numbers and strategy, and playing the under seems like a wise move in light of the current circumstances. Best of luck!

Free Pick: Take the Under 44.5

Thursday Sep 07, 2023

Detroit has reason for optimism but that defense is still questionable. The Lions will also fight the tendency of teams that make big jumps one season, like they did last year, to regress the following season. Kansas City, meanwhile, should be good for 31 points Thursday night and even without Jones owns the better defense. We’re giving the points with the Chiefs here.

Free Pick: Take the Chiefs -6.5

Thursday Aug 03, 2023

Don't look for either of these squads to give the scorekeeper a workout, but the Jets on paper, have the edge behind center for tonight's game making them our spread play.

Free Pick: Take the Under 34 & Jets -1.5

Sunday Feb 12, 2023

We could praise both these teams and these quarterbacks and these coaches all day, but our bottom line is this; Philadelphia owns the better running game and the better defense. And in the NFL, the teams that out-gain their opponents on the ground cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. Also, we love that Eagles' pass rush. We're betting Philadelphia to win this Super Bowl LVII Sunday.  

Free Pick: Take the Eagles -1.5

Sunday Jan 29, 2023

Much to our delight Cincinnati actually ran the ball 34 times for 172 yards last week behind a make-shift offensive line. We'd like to see more of that. Also, the Bengals' defense has held six of its last eight opponents under 20 points. Also, Joe Cool's the hottest QB in the game right now. Meanwhile, we can't help but believe Mahomes will be limited. We like Cincinnati to win this AFC championship game.

Free Pick: Take Cincinnati +1

Sunday Jan 29, 2023

We could praise both these teams all day, but a couple of things occur to us; San Francisco owns the better run defense and the better record against common opponents. Plus, the Niners are getting a couple of points, and this game could be decided by a point or two. This should be a dandy and close; we like the 49ers.

Free Pick: Take San Francisco +2.5

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