Providence Friars vs. Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview & Pick ATS

March 17, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Kentucky -4.5

Game Information:

The Providence Friars will be taking on the Kentucky Wildcats in an interesting tournament match at Greensboro Coliseum on Friday night. The Wildcats are listed as a -4 to -4.5 point spread favorite with a total set at 143.

Last Game:

The Providence Friars suffered a tough loss against UCONN, falling 66-73 in their last game. The Kentucky Wildcats also experienced a defeat in their last matchup, losing 73-80 to VANDY.

Power Stats

Assists Turnovers

The Providence Friars have an average of 14.69 assists per game and 11.78 turnovers, resulting in a ratio of 1.25. The Kentucky Wildcats are slightly ahead with 15.31 assists and 11.66 turnovers per game, giving them a ratio of 1.31.


Providence Friars are averaging 12.22 offensive rebounds, 26.06 defensive rebounds, and a total of 38.28 rebounds per game. On the other hand, the Kentucky Wildcats are pulling down 13.59 offensive rebounds, 25.38 defensive rebounds, and a total of 38.97 rebounds per game.

Shooting Percentage

The Providence Friars have an offensive shooting percentage of 45.91% and a defensive shooting percentage of 44.31%, resulting in a differential of 1.6. The Kentucky Wildcats have an offensive shooting percentage of 45.86% and a defensive shooting percentage of 42.93%, resulting in a higher differential of 2.93.

Key Offensive Stats

Both teams have similar offensive shooting percentages, with the Friars at 45.91% and the Wildcats at 45.86%. However, Kentucky has a slight advantage in assists and offensive rebounding. The Wildcats' 15.31 assists and 13.59 offensive rebounds per game give them an edge over the Friars, who average 14.69 assists and 12.22 offensive rebounds per game.

Key Defensive Stats

Defensively, the Kentucky Wildcats hold a significant advantage with a lower opponent shooting percentage of 42.93% compared to the Friars' 4431%. Furthermore, the Wildcats' differential of 2.93 outperforms the Friars' differential of 1.6. While both teams have solid defensive rebounding stats, Kentucky's advantage in defensive shooting percentage could prove to be the deciding factor in this matchup.

Betting Odds Trends

Here are the five best trends:

  • Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • The Over is 6-1 in Friars' last seven overall.
  • The Over is 4-0 in Wildcats' last four games following an ATS loss.
  • The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • The Wildcats are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games.


Providence Friars

Q. Berry (G) is out indefinitely due to an undisclosed injury.

Kentucky Wildcats

S. Wheeler (G) is probable for Friday's game with an ankle injury, while G. Darbyshire (G) is out indefinitely with a lower-body injury.

Providence vs Kentucky Free Pick 03/17/23

The Kentucky Wildcats hold the advantage in several key categories, including assists, offensive rebounding, and defensive shooting percentage. Their last four wins have been by a larger margin than tonight's spread making this an easy call.

Free Pick: 
Take Kentucky -4