NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

Kansas City is the better team here, especially, obviously, offensively, playing on the road, where the spread is a bit more amenable. So we like the Chiefs for our free NFL pick in this spot.

6.5 is a magic number for me to look hard at an underdog because the market is so reluctant to give said team a full touchdown-plus PAT. When it comes to the Browns, this is certainly an understandable practice as this team hung with Los Angeles all throughout their Sunday Night tilt. However, many will judge the performance by the box score and not the actual game played, and this sets up the Brownies to stage the upset. Generally speaking, this figure presented is an upset-conducive number and I firmly believe that the Browns will upset the Ravens here. However, for those that wish to play this a bit more conservative and avoid Cleveland on the Money Line at +245, there are plenty of points to scoff up and advise all to take advantage.

New York comes in riding a wave of hope while Washington just looks lost. However, the NFL can be a very strange place, where what's riding high one week is often down the next, and vice-versa. Also, even with all the ink, Jones is getting we'll give the Redskins the edge in the quarterback match-up, for the moment, plus they probably own the better defense. It's not easy betting a team that's 0-3 but we'll take Washington and the points for our free NFL pick.

The Packers have played well on defense especially in the secondary that has allowed only 592 combined yards through the air this season. They are banged up in the front seven and may be short a few guys come game time. Offensively, they've struggled to protect QB Rodgers giving up seven sacks but held the Broncos to zero last week.

The Eagles have done OK offensively scoring 20 or more points in all three games this season, but like the Pack their O-line hasn't impressed allowing seven sacks. Part of the problem is a banged-up receiving crew that reports state will be without team yardage leader DeSean Jackson. Fellow WR Alshon Jeffrey has been dealing with a calf issue and hasn't been very effective with five catches for 49 yards. The Philadelphia defense has done a great job against the run holding the opposition to 171 yards on 2.9 yards a carry which may take away the play-action game from Rodgers.

I can see this going two ways, the Eagles going in and beating the Packers outright or a defensive game with a 20-17 score. The total seems the more likely of the two, so that's where my bucks are going to land on this game.

I was ready to lay the points with Carolina before the Cam Newton news broke so to me this is a value play and a half now that I get the Panthers at a plus-price. The Cardinals have no rushing attack as they curated just 20 yards on the ground in their last outing and they also own one of the worst defenses in the NFL giving up 458.5 total yards of offense per game. Moreover, Arizona is 29th against the run (149 rushing yards per game against), and that is bad news considering I expect Carolina to implement a steady dose of playmaking running back Christian McCaffery to alleviate the pressure on Allen and he will feast on this Cardinals defense. Carolina will get their first win this season despite all the experts predicting the "upset" by the underdog-gone-favorite Cardinals.

The NFL is a very volatile environment; what's up one week is often down the next, and vice-versa. Houston is coming off a close win, while San Diego – err, Los Angeles – is coming off a tough loss. But this game looks like a good candidate to fall into our “reversal of fortune” theory. We're betting the Chargers here for our free NFL pick.

Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bengals won this one outright and I would not by any means discourage all those who are aboard by splitting this one with half of the wager with the points and the other half on the Money Line (+218). Be that as it may, there are plenty of points to work with here. Buffalo is facing a much more potent offense than the Giants and Jets, and it will be a far more difficult test for the Bills defense compared to what they saw in the first two weeks of action. As mentioned, I can see the Bengals upsetting the Bills, but even if they don't, Buffalo will have to work hard for this win, and I don't see this game being settled by more than four points in either direction.

Some of the sharper sportsbooks have priced the Steelers a half-point ahead of the trending market figure of -3.5 which says to us that a bounce-back seems to be on the horizon for the Black and Yellow. However, it is hard to imagine that Pittsburgh does not respond to their Week One debacle as they are captained by one of the most consistent coaches in the NFL, Mike Tomlin. Though Pittsburgh missed the post-season in 2018, the Steelers have been the model of consistency as they have never won less than eight games under his tenure since he took the reins in 2007. I like Mike to circle the wagons here and get Pittsburgh back on track. I think the defenses will control this game for the most part, but I see that playing into Pittsburgh's hands with thousands of Terrible Towels waving in their support. A late touchdown will send Pittsburgh takers to the window as I have the Steelers winning this game by at least six points.

Dallas is the better team here, playing on the road, where the spread isn't as prohibitive as it would be if this game were being played down at JerryWorld. So we're giving the points with the Cowboys for our free NFL pick.

Many signs here point toward Minnesota; Cook is back, the defense will again be tough, and the Vikes own a tremendous home-field advantage. However, we expect Atlanta to be improved on defense and in the running game, and we'll give the Falcons the edge in the quarterback comparison. So we're taking Atlanta and the points for our free NFL pick here.

Early action on the Broncos as a 2.5-point underdog would suggest that there are some individuals that saw the equity in Denver's tag even before the pending Brown suspension. With or without AB lining up split wide, this is a much better Denver team up against a Raiders squad that still has yet to find its feet under John Gruden. I don’t expect anything to change other than Oakland’s cover streak coming to an end. I have Denver winning this one by double digits.