NBA Basketball Picks - Daily ATS Predictions
Do you like to bet on the games, but don't have enough time to properly handicap one game let alone the whole card? Do you find that your NBA picks don't win enough to turn a profit? Most beginners or novice sports bettors will answer "yes" to at least one of these questions. If that is you then you've come to the right place. If you didn't, then don't run off, we're sure that you could use our handicappers' opinions to get more of a consensus pick on the games or some tidbit on a matchup that you missed. Our team here at SBS use different methods to come up with their suggested point spread and total selections, but in the end each one offers up fully researched predictions that they feel offer the best wagering value on the betting board. Make sure you make SBS one of your daily stops for free betting predictions from the day's pro basketball card that you can bet on!
If anything can be deduced from Game Three, it could be inferred that the Bucks are a different animal in Milwaukee. Their Game Three victory ignited what Milwaukee needed to get back into this series. Too many takers, Boston is still the better team and alas the win may have been merely a fluke to many. However, the momentum Milwaukee will carry into Game Four will once again allow this team to equal the series by yet another decisive margin. Swallow the points.
We are going to target a clear-cut overreaction here based on the Game Three result. However, Miami has the playoff experience and knows the importance of this game. Falling behind 3-1 with two of the three remaining games going to Philly will put any hopes of Miami winning this series in serious jeopardy. Expect Miami to offer a spirited effort here. Given the initial low point spread in this market, another upset may be in the works here. Therefore we will trade the points away and take the Heat outright on the Money Line.
The number presented here is no illusion. The Bucks without question play at a higher level when they are at home, and the market is adept at this despite the fact Milwaukee was pummeled in Game Two. However, the points look too appetizing to the naked eye, and as a result, we will see the public get all over the dog in this contest. Generally speaking, these kinds of propositions often wreak havoc on the masses. Milwaukee will respond to Game Two with a convincing win of their own here in Game Three.
We usually would urge takers to stay clear of Cleveland given the premiums they are bound to inflict upon punters especially at home. However, given the fact that Indiana orchestrated a statement victory in Game One an overreaction is bound to occur here on the Pacers. Thus, we will fade the public here and swallow the points.
Minnesota is going to need a significant effort from all its top players to keep things close again on Wednesday night since I cannot see the Rockets have another poor night shooting three-point shots. I am tempted to take the 10.5 points on the spread with the Timberwolves covering again, but my ‘best bet' pick for Game 2 is the OVER on the 214.5-point total line.
Targeting overreactions is a practice that we preach. When such substantial action rolls in on an underdog, this is a good sign that such an event is taking place. The bottom line is that Milwaukee's performance in Game One makes them seem like a delectable play here in their follow-up in Game Two with points involved. However, a hard-fought loss such as the one Milwaukee endured only sets them up for a more significant let-down here in Game Two. Boston's defense clamped down when it had to in Game One to secure the victory. They will do so here in Game Two and win this one decisively. Swallow the points.
The Spurs have been a horrible road team the entire season, and that was rather evident in their Game 1 loss. Turning things around in just two days is going to be a tall task for a team on pace for an early exit from the postseason. That said, with the spread for this game a bit wider than Saturday's opener, I am banking on a much better effort from San Antonio as a seasoned playoff team to cover with the 10 points.
In the early stages, we have seen what appears to steam on Boston. This is reflected in a 1.5-point line movement that positions the Celtics at their current station. On the contrary, 85% of the public money is currently in on Milwaukee. In the Over/Under, we have seen the market diminish by four points to reflect the massive action on the Under. 89% of the public money is currently in on the Under to confirm this. On the Money Line, the Bucks are a +158 road underdog while Boston is a -180 favorite.
The No. 1 versus No. 8 match-ups is one that features an inflated point spread on the top seed by the prominence they will hold in the playoff bracket. This is especially true in Toronto's case given the fact they have been unstoppable at home. As a result of a likely overlay, we will step in and grab the points on the Wizards in Game One.
Nothing could provide a better morale victory for a disappointing season than a win over a bitter rival. For Chicago, the stage is set for the Bulls to do just that. The Pistons have not fared well on the road at all this season, and Chicago has cultivated some impressive wins in the United Center in their own right. Chicago more than Detroit has had nothing to lose. The Pistons were expected to be in the post-season after their acquisitions, but the Bulls were anticipated to be in a transitional year. Nevertheless, the Bulls will look to close out their campaign with a statement to carry over to next year and thus they are in the position here to orchestrate an upset before their home supporters.
There could be some value in going with the Spurs as a veteran squad in a tight matchup, but their struggles on the road this entire season is still an essential factor in betting this game. My lean is towards riding the hotter hand with a play on New Orleans both SU and ATS, but I see things remaining tight until the final buzzer. My ‘best bet' pick in this one is the UNDER on the total line.
Cleveland is a basketball team that is more prone to overlays perhaps more than any other team in the East as the post-season nears. Cleveland has been to the NBA Finals the last three years, and when you toss in the fact they have the most recognized player in the game leading the charge, the Cavaliers inflict premiums on all takers to back them particularly in this spot. As we have frequented previously, premiums are usually a case with New York on their home court, but given how weak the Knicks have been this season, this phenomenon is null and void. However, the Knicks have been proven to be a formidable threat on their home court as the season comes to an end. In doing so, New York has also boded tremendous value against the spread as they have taken advantage of high point spreads.ome
If Utah loses on Sunday, there will be nothing on the line for Portland on Monday night as far as its playoff position in the West. Given the logjam for the rest of the teams fighting for their postseason life in this conference, Denver needs to win out and hope for some help along the way. That is enough motivation for me to take the Nuggets both SU and ATS in this one.
As the season winds down, teams like Boston are more prone to loftier point spreads against teams like Atlanta. However, this could be quite disadvantageous to anyone who backs the Celtics in the spot. Boston will be preparing for the post-season while Atlanta will be working in their reserves to ready their personnel for next year. As a result of these intangibles, the Hawks are offered with tremendous value here with the number of points on the table. The sheer unpredictability of personnel groupings makes this game a dangerous scenario to back Boston by namesake and body of work alone. Don't get caught laying too much lumber.
If there was a team that should not be spotted this kind of lumber it is clearly the New York Knickerbockers. The Knicks come in off a win that will ignite this outfit to play at a higher level. Moreover, we saw the Knicks offered at this number in their last exploit against this team, and they covered with ease. Chances are Milwaukee will have bigger fish to fry than to handle this contest as they have the playoffs to prepare for. New York, on the other hand, will treat this homestand as an Alamo as they will have nothing left to hang their hat on after defending their home turf to close out the season. The Knicks have all the makings here to be a live dog. We will fade a likely overlay here and take the points with New York.
Late in the season is the time of year where teams like the Knicks will be taking back a favorable number thanks to their current predicament with regards to the post-season. Miami is well on the way to the playoffs while the Knicks remain scratching their heads with getting a win, let alone being formidable in the East. As a result, New York will once again incur a lofty point spread to take back to enchant takers to back them in this position. This is an atypical motif for Knicks basketball given the fact they are typically prone to a premium to be supported in Madison Square Garden. We will step in and take advantage. The rivalry element of this affair will give New York plenty of motivation to show up for this contest.
The adage holds especially true when we see Golden State playing at a peak level when you back the Warriors you can expect to pay a premium to do so. However, Golden State takers are best advised to consider that the Warriors are not scheduled to beat up on an Eastern Conference cupcake. The low-hanging fruit here suggests that the Warriors are in a position to likely be upset by the Indiana Pacers who are on their way to the post-season. A win here for Indiana boosts their morale and momentum as they head into the playoffs and you can be rest assured Indy will be looking to take advantage. The heavy lean by the public suggests that the Warriors are offered at a price that is deceptively good. On the contrary, reading between the lines, one can deduce that the Pacers are in fact a great play outright on the Money Line.
More than ever, a premium is bound to be inflicted on the Raptors in this contest by virtue of a few key variables. As mentioned, the home team has had the upper hand in this series. This in itself subjects Toronto takers to a loftier number. When you toss in the fact that Toronto has been feared north of the border all season long. However, Boston has the blueprint to make this game a close one. The Celtics own advantages in the defense and rebounding department which means they can neutralize the home cooking reasonably quick. Moreover, this can lead to the Celtics orchestrating an upset outright. Given how good this team is as a whole, the Celtics are taking back a true value number.
As we have championed previously, buying low and selling high is a big part of our betting acumen. The ingredients here set up Brooklyn to take back a very friendly number. Philadelphia has dominated this series of late that adds to the propensity for an overlay. When you add in the current win streak along with a slew of success against the spread, the Sixers are due for a massive correction. The narrative of home-court advantage only enhances the likelihood of an inflated number which in turn brings forth a scenario where there is an excellent chance the Sixers will fail to cover this line. The action early indicates that we are in a position here for a prime fade opportunity.
Brooklyn has a knack for sneaking up on teams that sleep on them. This scenario sets up yet again for the Nets to bite the heels of a better Eastern Conference unit. Detroit enters in the specific capacity to set up takers for a let-down. The Pistons have covered in their last seven contests and as mentioned they enter in exceptional form in the wins and losses category. Despite their successes, the market is reluctant to give this team any cushion to work within this contest against one of the lowliest teams in the NBA. What this creates is a prime fade opportunity. It is clear as day, Brooklyn is still playing for pride at this point. At home, you can expect them to take the fight to a likely overvalued Pistons bunch.