NBA Basketball Picks - Daily ATS Predictions
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This game is by no means a blockbuster event. However, Cleveland and Brooklyn are more or less on the same level regarding quality. With respect to Brooklyn's home court advantage, we had seen the Cavaliers beat Philadelphia on its own court when they had not lost a game all season in the City of Brotherly Love. You can rest assured the Cavs won't even bat an eye at the far weaker Nets on their hardwood. An upset possibility remains high here.
The Grizzlies are an effective three-point shooting team with a sixth-ranked 36.8%. If Memphis falls behind, they do not sweat it, because they have a pernicious defense complemented by efficient ball handling. The Grizzlies' ability to cause opponents to make mistakes allows them to claw their way back into the contests. However, it won't even come to that. Memphis will be the toughest defense that Philadelphia has played since it began its 7-1 SU run dating back to November 16th and that could be quite problematic for the Sixers who have feasted on cupcakes for the most part over this span. A rude awakening is in store for Philly as the Grizzlies will turn this one into a fist fight.
This contest will be entirely different from what we saw transpire between the two teams in October. Milwaukee does not have the luxury of home court, and the Knicks will be primed to offer up a better performance against this Bucks team in contrast. In essence, a cover is generated if the Knicks hit one more three-pointer against Milwaukee compared to their output in October. This is certainly feasible as the Knicks and Bucks hit the same amount of field goals (45) overall, but Milwaukee had three more attempts. The Knicks were actually the better shooting team when you work out the math, and now they have a blueprint to follow if they want to generate a more favorable result. The Knicks will take more shots and come in under the number as a result.
We will go ahead and toss the three-ball away here and take the Heat outright on the money line. The Heat plays a better brand of defense than the Pelicans as they give up 6.5 fewer points per game on average [Miami 110.5 ppg (15th in NBA) vs. New Orleans 117 ppg (28th in the league) compared to their counterparts. Furthermore, Miami owns the deeper bench which gives them an advantage in the fourth quarter. The forecast for the game is that this one should be one of possessions and a clash that will go the distance, therefore we have to like the Heat’s prospects as this gives them a substantial edge. When you add in the poor play of New Orleans away from home overall, Miami is in pole position to produce an upset if it is even appropriate to call it that.
The Sixers remain the more physical team of the two as they are outrebounding the Knicks by 3.6 net rebounds per game. Philadelphia is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, accruing 47.6 boards per game while the Knicks give away a 21st ranked 46.2 rebounds per game. When you combine the physical presence with Philadelphia’s more efficient shot selection (45.8% - 14th overall) as a whole compared to the Knicks who are among the worst in the league when it comes to shooting at 43.8% (28th in the NBA), this contest has all the makings for a nasty blow-out swinging in the Sixers favor.
This game will be won on the boards, and Detroit has done very well for itself there as of late as they have outmuscled their opponents in six of their last eight outings, eclipsing the 50-mark in four of these occasions. The Suns ranked 29th in the rebounding department as they accrue an average of just 39.7 offensive boards per game. What this entails is a colossal mismatch is in the making, and Detroit could easily run this one wire-to-gate. Pistons win in a mauling.
Could lightning strike twice? Possibly. However, while another Cleveland upset may be improbable, there are still way too many points on the table here with a team that will have enhanced motivation to play this contest. The Cavaliers will come out guns blazing and may even take the lead into the half. Ultimately, the talent levels on the two teams will be the deciding factor, but also if Houston builds a large lead, there is still tremendous backdoor potential if they were to coast to the finish. Chances are though, Cleveland won't even need the backdoor.
In their last four games, the Knicks have averaged 118 points, so they have the proficiency to go toe-to-toe with NOLA's second-ranked scoring offense (119.6 points per game) given the Pelicans' lack of defense. Also, as mentioned the Knicks played this team a week ago on their own court and gave them a game so there will be no timidity here by New York. Furthermore, the Knicks get a re-match with New Orleans at home when they aren't riding a nasty skid, so it is safe to say that they will undoubtedly be bringing it. It would by no means be a shocker if the Knicks staged another upset here, but the points should certainly be more than enough to allow any taker to green up.
Milwaukee owns the best scoring offense in the league averaging 120.1 points per game, and they are also the best in reducing opponent efficiency from the field as the opposition shoots just 43.2% against them. Milwaukee has all the metrics to a potential NBA Finals participant, but with this game exclusively in focus, these metrics will lead the Bucks to win as they will create more second and third chances, lower Portland’s potency, and have the home crowd harass the Blazers. Though Portland is a very good team, the Deers will gallop past them one and cover the number easy.
The Hawks will offer up a spirited effort and play a four-quarter game against the Clippers. Los Angeles bettors are banking on the pyrolytic shooting of Los Angeles to be proficient in this contest. However, the opposite will likely be the case as the location of this contest will play a huge factor in the final result. Atlanta comes in under the number.
The Heat will exploit Los Angeles’ 28th-ranked scoring defense (116.6 points per game) and generate enough scoring to get the win and cover by just a basket. When you factor in rest and travel also working against the Lakers, the Heat can put this thing away early in the fourth quarter.
The Clippers will make the mistake of trying to coast through this game as it acclimates to Eastern Standard Time and recuperates from travel as they settle into their road trip. The Clips will overlook the Nets as an easier out compared to who they have played recently. However, the Nets will be plenty motivated as a win against Lob City gets them closer to .500 and illustrates that they are simply not the same Brooklyn team that has been getting torqued on a regular basis in years past. The Nets keep this one close.
The Jazz will bounce back with authority and hand the Sixers their first loss on their own court this season. Dallas had one of the best shooting performances season-to-date. Utah couldn’t even hit 18% of their three-pointers when they usually hit 33% of them. Very simply, Utah will write off the previous as a perfect storm where everything went truly wrong at once.
Nevertheless, an overreaction to the last result makes Philadelphia look like easy money with the low-hanging fruit. But as we have said before, there is no such thing. The Jazz will re-tool here, and if they play their game as they usually do, then they should get a statement win.
It is tempting to give Orlando a look on the Money Line, but we'll stay conservative here and take the points. The Magic are not concerned about who Philadelphia has on their roster as so much as they are inclined to right the ship after their heart-breaking loss to them in their last encounter. The Magic will stick to what worked last time against Philly (shooting the three) and let Jimmy Butler win the game for Philadelphia if he can. Butler is a sensational talent, but given the fact he has not played one minute yet with the Sixers and proven to have gelled with the team, there is a high prospect of a let-down here for Philly.
Though analysts may argue otherwise, this would not be an upset by any means if Cleveland gets their second win here. In their last three games, Cleveland has outrebounded their opponents but unfortunately, come up on the wrong side of the equation. On the flip side, Charlotte has been outmuscled in the paint but been the benefactors of poor shooting most notably in their most recent win. If Cleveland can be the bigger dog in the yard by collecting boards here, they will cash in on the upset. We are like their chances of doing so but will be conservative and take the points.
In what is prognosticated to be a game of possessions, the Magic have the edge as they make fewer mistakes and create more second chances compared to the Knicks. Given the fact they are taking back just a point, we’ll trade that point away here with confidence as the Magic will cash in on New York miscues to notch yet another victory.
Against Oklahoma City, Cavaliers forward Tristan Thompson compiled a double-double when he had 10 points on 15 boards. This was attained against a more physical and defensive-minded Thunder team. Thompson will see less resistance from the Bulls, and that will ultimately limit Chicago's second chances while creating more for Cleveland. Not only will this help the Cavs come in under the number but perhaps it will result in an upset if it should even be painted as such.
If one must call it an upset, then so be it but literally, we are getting the better team here at, the better price here. Magic Center Nik Vucevic has double-double potential on any given night as he averages 17.5 points per game while shooting 53.3% on the year with 10.4 boards per game. Given the match-up, he will undoubtedly be able to take advantage and be a menace in the paint. Washington won't have an answer for him or for forwards Terrence Ross or Aaron Gordon joining in on the fun. Magic outright is the call.
We will go ahead and trade away the basket here to get the Hawks at a better price. The Hawks will enter this game with a chip on their shoulder as they will feel disrespected being a dog at home to the likes of the Knicks. Atlanta will come out swinging in the first quarter and never look back.
This market opened as a three-point line which means this contest is a toss-up. Now we get to trade the two buckets away for a 65% increase of ROI. This is a delightful prospect given the fact there is an excellent chance that The Land can edge out Orlando. We have to like Cleveland’s chances here as they are the better shooting team by 2.1% hitting 44.5% of their field goal attempts compared to Orlando's 42.1%. Also, the element of the three ball rests in Cleveland favor as they are successful 34.6% of the time (18th in the NBA) compared to Orlando who is only a 30.7% (27th in the league) shooting team from beyond the arc. In a game of points, this will be instrumental and why Cleveland will win.