Celtics vs. Heat Point Spread Pick

September 23, 8:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Bos -3.5 / MIA +3.5

Miami leads this series two games to one, following Boston's 117-106 Game 3 victory last Saturday. The Celtics scored the first three points of the game and never trailed from there. Boston led by nine points after one quarter, by 13 at the half, by 15 through three quarters and pushed that advantage to 20 points in the fourth. The Celtics later allowed the Heat to pull within five with just under a minute to go but iced the game with free throws and covered as favorites of 3.5 points.

On the night Boston shot 48 percent from the floor, held Miami to just 39 percent shooting, won the battle on the glass 59-47 and outscored the Heat in the paint 60-36.

Saturday's game also played over its total of 209. So the overs are now 2-1 in this series. However, unders are 10-4 in Celtics games in these playoffs, 7-5 in Miami's games.

With Saturday's win/cover the Celtics are now 9-5 both SU and ATS this postseason.

With Saturday's loss Miami is now 10-2 both SU and ATS in these playoffs.

Also, these two teams have now split six meetings this season both SU and ATS.

On the personnel front Boston F Gordon Hayward, who had missed most of these playoffs with a bad ankle, returned to action Saturday, scoring six points in 31 minutes of floor time.

In NBA futures betting action the Heat are now listed as -135 favorites to win this series, with the Celtics getting +115. Boston originally opened as a -130 favorite to win this series, with Miami lined as the underdog at +110.

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction 9/23/20

The Celtics shot 48 percent from floor Saturday; we're dubious as to whether they'll shoot that well again Wednesday. Same goes for the Heat; we expect them to shoot better than 39 percent. And we still believe Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series. We're not usually big believers in the “zig-zag” betting theory but this looks like a good spot for it. We'll take Miami and the points for our free NBA playoffs pick for Wednesday. 

Free Pick: 
Take Miami +3.5