Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Analysis 3/30/23

Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Analysis 3/30/23

Deborah
Date: March 30, 7:30 pm
Location: Fiserv Forum
TV: NBA TV

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bucks -2.5
Total: 236.5

The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks will face off in a highly anticipated Eastern Conference matchup on Thursday, March 30th, at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Bucks are favored by 3 points, and the total is set at 236.5 points.

TEAM LAST 5 GAMES

The Boston Celtics have won three of their last five games. In their most recent game, they lost to the Washington Wizards 111-130, failing to cover the 11-point spread and going over the 222.5 point total. The Celtics covered the 16.5-point spread in their previous game, defeating the San Antonio Spurs 137-93, and going over the 232 point total.

The Milwaukee Bucks have won four of their last five games. In their most recent game, they defeated the Indiana Pacers 149-136, covering the 13-point spread and going over the 237 point total. The Bucks failed to cover the 11.5-point spread in their previous game, defeating the Detroit Pistons 126-117 and going over the 226.5 point total.

POWER STATS

Assists Turnovers

The Boston Celtics have the advantage in assists, averaging 26.49 per game compared to the Milwaukee Bucks' 25.6. The Celtics also have the advantage in turnovers, averaging 12.72 per game compared to the Bucks' 13.83.

Rebounding

The Milwaukee Bucks have the advantage in rebounding, averaging 48.85 rebounds per game compared to the Boston Celtics' 45.23. The Bucks also have a higher offensive rebounding average of 11.13 compared to the Celtics' 9.61.

Shooting Percentage

The Milwaukee Bucks have the advantage in shooting percentage, with an offense shooting percentage of 47.11% and a defense shooting percentage of 45.05%, giving them a differential of 2.06. The Boston Celtics have an offense shooting percentage of 47.53% and a defense shooting percentage of 46.51%, giving them a differential of 1.02.

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Milwaukee is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
  • Milwaukee is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games.
  • Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
  • Milwaukee is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home.
  • Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston.
  • Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Boston.
  • Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston.
  • Milwaukee is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Boston.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston.

Boston Celtics

  • Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
  • Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
  • Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road.
  • Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee.
  • Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee.
  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
  • Boston is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

Injury Report

The Boston Celtics have three players listed as questionable for Thursday's game: Robert Williams III with a knee injury, Grant Williams with an illness, and Payton Pritchard with a knee injury. The Milwaukee Bucks have one player listed as out indefinitely due to a calf injury: Meyers Leonard.

Bucks vs Celtics Pick 03/30/23

In terms of rebounding and shooting percentage, the edge goes to the Bucks. However, the Celtics hold the upper hand in assists and turnovers. Both teams have been in good form lately, with the Bucks having a marginally better record and a formidable performance on their home court. When evaluating betting trends, the Celtics have demonstrated a strong performance against the spread (ATS) in their encounters with the Bucks, boasting an impeccable ATS record in their past five when playing in Milwaukee. Yet, the Bucks have proven to be a force to be reckoned with on their home turf, securing 14 victories in their last 16 matches. Given the aforementioned data, predicting the total outcome is challenging. However, siding with the Bucks appears to be the most sensible decision based on the available information.

Free Pick: Take Milwaukee -3.
Get $60 Free Picks