Free Weekly CFL Picks Against the Spread
Each week during the Canadian Football League season our handicappers break down all the game match ups looking for the best bet on every match. Visit weekly for our handicapping analysis and CFL against the spread picks.
Ottawa has already clinched a playoff spot in the East Division at 7-9-1 SU overall and it has been one of the best CFL betting teams the whole season at 12-5 ATS. The RedBlacks remain just a half-game off the pace for the division title coming off last week’s bye and they have a 5-2 edge both SU and ATS in their last seven games against Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats are playing their best ball of the year, but I am going to lay the points on the home team that Ottawa comes away with the win both SU and ATS.
The Alouettes come off last week’s bye still mired in an eight-game losing streak both SU and ATS. They have not even been competitive in their last six games; getting outscored by a combined 153 points. Montreal has allowed an average of 38.5 points per game during this current eight-game slide and I am not looking for any kind a major turnaround this week. Stick with Hamilton to turn in another solid performance to cover ATS on the road.
The Lions have been headed in the wrong direction since mid-August with just one SU victory in their last eight games. They have also been costly to bettors at 1-6-1 ATS during this slide. BC does have an 8-3 edge both SU and ATS in its last 11 home games against the Eskimos, but I am not betting with that trend this time around. Take Edmonton both SU and ATS on Saturday night.
Toronto is 7-9 both SU and ATS coming off last week’s road loss to Edmonton. The Argonauts covered as seven-point underdogs in that 30-27 loss and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The top play in this week’s matchup would be the OVER on the total line. It has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in Toronto’s last five games.
Calgary brings a SU 11-game winning streak into this contest after slipping by Hamilton 28-25 last week as a 9.5-point road favorite. The Stampeders are still a profitable 8-2-1 ATS during this current winning streak, but I still have to question their motivation in this game against a division foe that desperately needs a win. I am taking the 9.5 points in this one with the Roughriders covering on road.
The Blue Bombers fell to 10-4 both SU and ATS with last week’s loss to Hamilton in a game where quarterback Matt Nichols injured his throwing hand. His playing status for this game has been upgraded to probable, but there is a still a concern for Winnipeg’s top playmaker on offense. Assuming he can go, I would lean towards the OVER in this West Division clash since it has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings.
Give credit to Hamilton for pulling off a huge 30-13 upset against Winnipeg last week as a heavy 12-point road underdog, but it is stepping way up in class this week at home. The Tiger-Cats lost the first meeting this season 60-1 as 12.5-point road underdogs. While they should be able to make this game a bit more competitive, they still are not covering the spread against the CFL’s most complete team.
Montreal’s current skid stands at seven games both SU and ATS after getting plastered this past week 59-11 against Calgary as a 17-point road underdog. The Alouettes are the lowest scoring team in the CFL and they continue to head in the wrong direction with an average of 14.3 PPG during this seven-game losing streak. They have not done themselves any favors on the other side of the ball with a points-allowed average of 30.4. It would be hard for Edmonton to lose this game, but I am sticking with the UNDER on the total line as my ‘best bet’ in this inter-division tilt as well.
BC comes off last week’s bye with just one SU victory in its last six games while going 1-4-1 ATS. The Lions lost Travis Lulay for the season due to injury so they had to go back to Jonathon Jennings as their starting quarterback. He has thrown for 2,232 yards and six touchdowns this season, but he has also been picked off 12 times. While I am staying away from a play on the sides in this game, I do like the UNDER on the total line as a ‘best bet’ pick.
Toronto has created a bit of breathing room atop the East Division standings at 7-7 SU (6-8 ATS) with a three-game winning streak in which it scored an average of 36.7 points a game. Ricky Ray threw for 330 yards and three touchdowns against Hamilton last week and on the year he is second in the league in passing yards (4,079) and tied for fourth in passing touchdowns (21). I am sticking with the home team SU and ATS in what could be the best CFL matchup on the board this weekend.
The Blue Bombers still have Calgary in their sites at 10-3 both SU and ATS following last week’s 28-19 road victory against Edmonton as three-point underdogs. They are 7-1 both SU and ATS in their last eight games with the total going OVER in four of their last six games. Winnipeg has also dialed up the defense that past two weeks to complement an offense that is scoring an average of 33.6 points a game. I sticking with the Blue Bombers this week both SU and ATS.
Hamilton started the season 0-8 SU with a 2-6 record ATS, but it is trying to turn things around with a 3-1 run SU and ATS in its last four games. The Tiger-Cats stunned British Columbia 24-23 last Friday night as heavy 12.5-point road underdogs. They have a 7-2 edge both SU and ATS in their last 10 games against Toronto and I think that they will find a way to use their home field advantage to post another win this Saturday both SU and ATS.
Calgary keeps rolling towards another West Division title in the midst of a SU nine-game winning streak that includes a profitable 7-1-1 record ATS. While the Stampeders have been running past teams on the scoreboard with an average of 32.9 points in the first eight victories in a row, they dialed up the defense on Sunday to shutdown Saskatchewan. Montreal has been a thorn in Calgary’s side the past few seasons at 4-2 SU in the last six meetings. While I fully expect the Stampeders to successfully avenge an earlier loss this season this Friday night, I will take the 17.5 points on the only CFL team that appears to have the Stampeders’ number.
Ottawa relinquished its tenuous hold on the lead in the West Division with two losses in its last three games both SU and ATS. Last Friday night, the RedBlacks fell to Winnipeg 29-9 as 8.5-point road underdogs behind an offense that really struggled with Ryan Lindley under center. With both starter Trevor Harris and backup Drew Tate listed as questionable for Friday, I am going with Saskatchewan bouncing back with a victory both SU and ATS.
The Argonauts are just 5-7 SU with a 4-8 record ATS, but that is good enough to remain just a half game in back of Ottawa. In last week’s much-needed 34-26 victory against Edmonton as a four-point home underdog, Toronto got another strong effort from Ricky Ray at quarterback. He connected on 22 of his 32 passing attempts for 224 yards and a score. James Wilder was instrumental in the win with 190 yards rushing on just 11 carries. Look for the Argonauts to carry that momentum into this East Division matchup to win and cover the spread.
BC desperately needs a win at home this week after dropping five of its last seven games SU while going 2-4-1 ATS. The Lions could not cover as nine-point road underdogs in last week’s 27-13 loss to Calgary and the total has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six contests. While I would lean towards BC minus the points in this East vs. West matchup, the better play is the UNDER on the total line.
The Blue Bombers are coming off a bye at 8-3 both SU and ATS. The tandem of Matt Nichols moving the ball down the field through the air with 3,287 passing yards on the year and Andrew Harris posting the third-most rushing yards in the league (656) has Winnipeg positioned as one of the most balanced offenses in the CFL. Combined with the big question mark at quarterback for Ottawa, I would lay the points and take the Blue Bombers both SU and ATS.
Montreal is just 3-8 SU this season with a 4-7 record ATS, but the one thing it did fairly well earlier in the season was keeping opposing teams out of the end zone. After allowing 24 points or less in each of their first five games, the Alouettes have now given up at least 32 points in five of their last six contests. Despite the fact that Harris is out of the starting lineup, I still like Tate’s chances to lead Ottawa to a victory this Sunday SU and ATS.
The Stampeders have reclaimed their rightful spot at the top of the West Division with a SU seven-game winning streak that has them sitting at 9-1-1 (6-4-1 ATS) through their first 11 games. Everything continues to click on offense with Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and Jerome Messam leading the CFL in total rushing yards (730). Calgary’s defense still deserves most of the credit for this lofty record with a points-allowed average of 19.0. BC played the Stampeders tough at home earlier in the season to earn a PUSH as a four-point underdog, but I do not see the Lions keeping pace either SU or ATS this time around on the road.
Toronto is 4-7 SU with a 3-8 record ATS coming off last week’s bye, but it is still just a half-game out of first in the watered-down East Division. The Argonauts have just one win (SU and ATS) in their last six games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four contests. This could be just what the doctor ordered for Edmonton to end this current losing streak. Look for Reilly’s ability to move the ball through the air to translate into more points on the board this Saturday in an Eskimos’ victory both SU and ATS.