Free Weekly CFL Picks Against the Spread
Each week during the Canadian Football League season our handicappers break down all the game match ups looking for the best bet on every match. Visit weekly for our handicapping analysis and CFL against the spread picks.
It will be a tall task for Ottawa to keep things close this Sunday at BMO Field against one of the most dominant teams in the recent history of the CFL. The only way Calgary loses this game is if it beats itself with turnovers and sloppy play. That has not been the case the entire season so I do not see any reason why that would be the case in the biggest game of the year.
Lay the nine points and go big with the Stampeders to put the finishing touch on one of the most impressive runs to a CFL title this league has ever seen.
There is always a concern with a touchdown spread in a big division showdown, but Calgary has to be chomping at the bit to get back on the field. Rust will not be a factor from the three-week layoff in a lopsided Stampeders’ victory that covers the seven points.
Reilly looks like he will be ready to go and that just adds another big headache to Ottawa’s plate in light of the Eskimos’ power running game. I have been betting the CFL West against the East all season long and I am not going to stop now.
These two teams staged a wild home-and-home series back in October with a total of 72 points scored in Game 1 followed by 67 total points in Game 2. Winnipeg won both of those contests SU and ATS, but I am leaning towards BC getting the SU win this time around. I think it will once again be a three-point game either way so I am going with Winnipeg to cover in a matchup with the four points while the total goes OVER the 56 points.
The only real chance that Hamilton has to advance past this round hinges on quarterback Zach Collaros playing at a very high level. He has battled through injuries all season long, but he was still seventh on the list in passing yards with 2,938 and he moved up to fourth in touchdown throws with 18. The problem against the Eskimos could be a defense that allowed the third-most points (27.9) in the league.
The West Division has dominated these inter-division matchups all season long and that is not about to change this Sunday in Hamilton. Lay the 2.5 points and take the Eskimos to advance.
You never want to think that a team would lose on purpose, but the motivation level for Edmonton to win its season finale is not all that high. The starters may sit in this one so I would go with the UNDER on the total line as a “best bet” pick.
BC needs one more win against its bitter division rivals to ensure that it hosts next week’s West semifinal. The Lions have been a bit shaky down the stretch with a 3-3 record (SU and ATS) in their last six games, but they completely dominated last week’s game on the road by holding Saskatchewan to just 256 yards of total offense. Look for another strong defensive effort at home this time around in another low-scoring battle that stays UNDER the closing line.
Hamilton has failed to cover in its last four home games and this streak continues with Montreal covering ATS with the 3.5 points.
Despite last week’s poor showing, I would still go with Winnipeg to even the score with a SU win on the road.
This will be the first game in this season-ending home-and-home series against a bitter division rival and I actually like their chances to play the role of spoiler as two-point home underdogs after going 7-1 ATS over their last eight games.
Take Winnipeg in this inter-division tilt as the best team in the East is clearly no match for the second-best team in the West.
I am not sure they have what it takes to beat Edmonton on Friday night, but both teams should put enough points on the board to take this game OVER the set 56-point total line.
This offense has found new life behind a revitalized Darian Durant at quarterback and their defense is playing far better than its 29.7 points-allowed season average. Stick with the hot team in another SU win that covers this game’s seven-point spread for Saskatchewan’s eighth-straight cover ATS.
While Calgary did fail to cover in last week’s 22-8 victory against Montreal as a 15.5-point home favorite, it was just the second time it did not cover in its last 11 games. I am actually going with the UNDER 52.5 points in this game with the Stampeders doing just enough to keep their winning streak alive.
The one big plus was the play of veteran quarterback Henry Burris with 393 passing yards and one score in last week’s win. I am looking for him to play at a high level this week as well to lead the RedBlacks to the sweep both SU and ATS.
It is hard to see Toronto bouncing back from such a poor performance on a short week, especially with all the momentum the Roughriders are bringing into this game. Stick with the hot hand in this one both SU and ATS.
BC is continues to be a tough out at home with four wins in its last six home games both SU and ATS. Look for Jonathon Jennings to have another big game throwing the ball and this time it results in a win for the Lions both SU and ATS.
It will not help that quarterback Zach Collaros has been listed as out for Friday night with a shoulder injury, but I still see the Tiger-Cats successfully defending their home field advantage both SU and ATS in the first game of this series.
The Alouettes are still bring up the rear in the East at 4-9 on the year and I think last week’s win was more a product of just how bad the East in this season. Take the Eskimos to make it three in a row both SU and ATS.
With the loss to Montreal, the Argonauts are arguably the worst team in the CFL right now with just one win (SU and ATS) in their last eight games following a promising 4-2 start (SU and ATS). The prospect for any kind of turnaround this week does not look all that good with quarterback Ricky Ray out until later this month with a rib injury. Ride the hot hand in this one both SU and ATS and keep riding Calgary from here on in all the way to the 2016 CFL title.