Free Weekly CFL Picks Against the Spread
Each week during the Canadian Football League season our handicappers break down all the game match ups looking for the best bet on every match. Visit weekly for our handicapping analysis and CFL against the spread picks.
Inspired clubs in the CFL can show up and win games with points coming only from Special teams and Defence, but this Argo team has been playing a pretty uninspiring brand of football so far this year and seems to be just going through the motions. The Bomber defense is for real. The team has first place in the West as its goal, and it's a long-suffering franchise with a legit shot at the Cup, there’s no way Winnipeg lays an egg here. Toronto might not be able to reach Winnipeg’s side of the field offensively let alone the end-zone, and the home team will win the position battle, and the visitors will be whittled down into kindling. Eat the chalk and stick with a winner, take the Bombers.
Everyone knows how important winning the turnover battle is in football and hard it is to win outright when you give the ball away. Ottawa has been beating that trend lately, but it can't go on forever. The numbers catch up to them this week, and Bombers punish them for being careless with the rock. I like the Bombers SU and ATS, but my best bet is actually the OVER on the 54 total, both of these teams can score and it looks like the Bomber defense has been slightly overrated this week based on last week's performance. This game is likely to be a shoot out, not a defensive grind. Hammer the over.
The Bombers are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10, but they are usually the dog, and that's the position I prefer to play them in, 4.5pts is too many points for a team that just plays "consistently". Winnipeg disappoints as the fav again on Thursday Night.
It's not as easy to kneel out the clock in the CFL, and therefore the back-door potential is often huge. I've seen teams get 5-6 possessions in under 3 minutes. Ottawa will be hard to stop playing three-down football, for that reason, I'm going to take the +4.5 points and bank on the score being close one way or the other. Calgary is the better team, but Ottawa is a dangerous team, and I don't like spotting points to dangerous teams.
The Stampeders are still the best team in the CFL by a wide margin when playing to form. They did lose to Winnipeg 29-21 on Oct. 26 as 3.5-point road underdogs. However, they beat the Blue Bombers 39-25 earlier in the year as 7.5-point favorites at home. I still think Calgary is on a mission to right the wrong from the past two seasons as West Division Champs and Sunday is the first step with the SU win and cover.
If Ottawa has any hopes of completing the four-game sweep to return to its second Grey Cup title game in three seasons, its offense is going to need a significant effort from Trevor Harris. He finished fourth in the CFL in total passing yards (5,116) while throwing 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. This matchup should go OVER the current 53.5-point line, but I also like the RedBlacks to win and cover.
The total went OVER the closing line in seven of Hamilton's last nine games behind the highest scoring offense in the East with an average of 28.5 PPG. Jeramiah Masoli was second in the CFL throwing the ball with 5,209 total passing yards, and he was third on the list in passing touchdowns with 28 against 18 interceptions. I have the Tiger-Cats scoring enough points on Sunday to cover ATS as home favorites.
Hamilton has nothing to play for in this game, but I still expect it to cover in the season finale.
The season series between these two West Division rivals is split 1-1 with the road team winning SU. Winnipeg covered in each of those games, and I am betting that they cover this Saturday again.
With nothing to gain or lose with another win, I would probably still go with the RedBlacks on Friday SU and ATS. My “best bet” pick is the UNDER on the total line.
Saskatchewan is averaging 24.4 points a game while allowing 25.2 points on defense, but I still have this West Division tilt staying UNDER the total line.
The total went OVER 54.5 points in Friday's loss, and it has gone OVER in six of its previous seven games. I am going with the OVER again in this Saturday's matchup.
I am still going to take Calgary and the points in its first game this season as an underdog.
Look for a much better effort this Friday night as BC tightens its grip on the final playoff spot with a win both SU and ATS.
I do not see things turning around this week for Edmonton with the RedBlacks bouncing back both SU and ATS.
I am banking on the "third time being the charm" with Winnipeg getting the win SU and ATS in this Saturday’s contest.
I am not sure that Hamilton can cover on the road this Friday, but both teams should score enough points to take the total OVER the current betting line.
My lean is still towards the home team covering in an almost must-win situation.
Ottawa cruised past Winnipeg 44-21 back in August as a 6.5-point road underdog, and I like its chances to cover again as a slight favorite at home.
Lay the points and take the Roughriders SU and ATS in this inter-division clash.