Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions
THE NFL LINE
The Bengals opened as a -2.5 point spread favorite with a total line of 54.5 on some board for this AFC North matchup. We’ve since seen some downward movement with the spread line sliding to -1.5 and the total dropping all the way to 50 at some betting shops.
Last Games: The Steelers evened their record at 2-2-1 with a 41-17 home win over the Atlanta Falcons where they easily covered the spread as a 3.5-point favorite with the total barely crossing the 57 line. The Bengals moved to 4-1 with a 27-17 home win over the Miami Dolphins where they covered as a 6.5-point favorite with the total falling short of the 47.5 O/U line.
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The Steelers got the easy win in their last game with all their top offensive players have good games. Ben Roethlisberger was solid passing for 250 yards and recording three TD passes to one INT, James Conner rushed for 110 yards, and Antonio Brown had 101 receiving yards and two TD.
Pittsburgh has had their issues on defense this season especially with the pass defense, and while it did allow 262 yards to the Falcons, it was the first time in four games that they held the opponent to fewer than 300 yards through the air.
The Bengals have won two in a row, and they are in first place in the AFC North one game up on the Baltimore Ravens. Andy Dalton has been solid, and while only ranking 15th in the league in passing yards per game and 23rd in rushing yards per game they rank 4th in points per game.
Cincy has back to back comeback wins in a row and in their win over the Dolphins in their latest they scored all 27 points in the second half to come back from a 17-0 halftime deficit.
Head to Head: This is the first game between these two division rivals this season, and the Steelers have won the six in the series going 4-1-1 against the betting line.
This season the Steelers are 2-3 ATS with an O/U record of 4-1 and the Bengals are 4-1 ATS with an O/U record of 4-1.
In base statistics, the Steelers rank 8th in the league in total offense and 29th in total defense and the Bengals rank 16th in total offense and 25th in total defense.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 22.71
Cincinnati Bengals: 21.70
[T] 08/03/2018 - Jerald Hawkins IR ( Quad )
[LB] 08/03/2018 - Ryan Shazier IR ( Back )
[LB] 10/09/2018 - L.J. Fort is "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[S] 10/09/2018 - Terrell Edmunds is "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Calf )
[LB] 10/07/2018 - Vince Williams is "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/07/2018 - Darrius Heyward-Bey is "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[S] 10/07/2018 - Morgan Burnett is "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Groin )
(!)[RB] 09/16/2018 - Le'Veon Bell is out indefinitely ( Holdout )
[WR] 09/09/2018 - Eli Rogers PUP ( ACL )
[TE] 09/04/2018 - Jake McGee IR ( Achilles )
[LB] 09/04/2018 - Olasunkanmi Adeniyi IR ( Hamstring )
[TE] 09/04/2018 - Ryan Malleck IR ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 09/04/2018 - Trey Johnson IR ( Shoulder )
[TE] 10/08/2018 - Tyler Kroft is "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh ( Foot )
[RB] 10/05/2018 - Giovani Bernard is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 10/07/2018 - Tyler Eifert IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/07/2018 - John Ross is "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh ( Groin )
[TE] 09/04/2018 - Cethan Carter IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 09/04/2018 - Davontae Harris IR ( Knee )
[QB] 09/04/2018 - Matt Barkley IR ( Knee )
[S] 09/04/2018 - Trayvon Henderson IR ( Knee )
[C] 09/25/2018 - Billy Price is OUT 3-4 weeks ( Foot )
[DT] 09/24/2018 - Ryan Glasgow is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[OL] 07/28/2018 - Rod Taylor IR ( ACL )
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati NFL Key Betting Trends/Angles
- PITT is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games
- PITT is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team winning record
- PITT has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games
- CINCY is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
- CINCY is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- CINCY has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games
Head to Head Trends
The Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games against the Bengals.
The Steelers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 road games against the Bengals.
The favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these teams.
The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these teams.
Next Game Steelers vs. Browns
Bengals @ Chiefs
Get more details: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati NFL Match-Up
Steelers at Bengals Prediction 10/14/18
The last three games between these two clubs at Paul Brown Stadium have been close, but Pittsburgh was victorious in all three both straight up and against the spread. The Steelers come into this game off arguably their best game of the season and face a Bengals team that is dealing with a slew of injuries on offense. C Billy Price, WR John Ross, RB Giovani Bernard, and TE Tyler Eifert and his backup Tyler Kroft are all out. On paper, the Steelers will be the top passing offense that the Bengals have met this season and this is a defense that has already allowed three opponents to surpass 300 yards this season. I don’t believe there will be an offensive explosion by either team today, but the current form, the Cincy injury situation, and Pittsburgh's recent success as the visitor in this matchup have me on the visitor.
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