New York Giants at Denver Broncos Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

David Schwab
Date: October 15, 8:30 pm
Location: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
TV: CBS Sports

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Denver -11.5
Total: 39.5

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Sunday’s betting action in Week 6 of the NFL season comes to a close with the 0-5 New York Giants facing the 3-1 Denver Broncos as heavy underdogs at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Game time on NBC for this inter-conference clash has been set for 8:30 p.m. (ET).
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New York at Denver Game Overview<br />
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What could go wrong has and at 0-5 straight-up on the year there are far more questions with New York than answers. The Giants have gone 2-3 against the spread and the total has gone OVER in their last three games after staying UNDER in their first two. They did manage to cover against Philadelphia and Tampa Bay in their last two road games to provide a glimmer of hope that they can keep Sunday night’s game close as well.
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Eli Manning has thrown for 1,338 yards and eight touchdowns in his first five games, but the big question now is who he will throw the ball to on Sunday night. Both Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall were lost for the season in last Sunday’s loss to the Los Angeles Chargers as two of his top targets and Sterling Shepard is listed as day-to-day with an ankle sprain. Making matters even worse is a New York ground game that is ranked 30th in the NFL with an average of 77.8 rushing yards a game.
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Denver is coming off its bye week at 3-1 SU with a 2-1-1 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER 44 points in a 16-10 victory against Oakland in Week 4 as a 3.5-point home favorite after going OVER in its previous three games. The Broncos are now 13-3 SU in their last 16 home games including a perfect 3-0 SU (2-0-1 ATS) start this year.
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The ability to effectively run the ball on offense while keeping the opposing team out of the end zone on defense has been a long-running formula for success in Denver. This year’s version is third in the league in rushing with an average of 143 yards per game and it seventh on defense in points allowed (18.5). Trevor Seimian has done a respectable job at quarterback with 888 yards passing and seven touchdown throws against four interceptions and CJ Anderson has anchored that power running game with 330 yards on 73 carries.
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New York at Denver Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Giants have gone 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games coming off a SU loss and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five October games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games against a team with a SU winning record.
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The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU losing record, but they have failed to cover in five of their last six games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games coming off a bye.
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Denver has a SU 3-1 edge in the last four meetings while covering the spread in all four contests. The total has gone OVER in three of those four games.
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New York Giants at Denver Broncos Free Week 6 NFL Prediction

The prospect for any kind of dramatic turnaround is not all that promising for the injury-riddled Giants, but this is still the NFL and giving up double-digit points in any matchup only adds more risk to the possible reward of a cashing in a winning bet on the favorite. As far as my ‘best bet’ pick, look for Denver to grind out another SU win at home behind the strength of its defense to keep the total in this game UNDER the current 39.5-point line.

Free Pick: Take the Under 39
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