Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears Pick

Darin Zank
Date: September 29, 4:25 pm
Location: Soldier Field
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bears -2
Total: 38

<p>
<b>Minnesota Vikings (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Chicago Bears (2-1, 1-2) </b>
</p>
<p>
The Vikings fashioned a 6-1 run against the rival Bears from 2014-17, but Chicago swept the season series from Minnesota last year, on its way toward the NFC North title. How are we playing Sunday's Black and Blue match-up with our free NFL pick?
</p>
<h2>
NFL Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Week 4's 4's NFL betting odds opened Chicago at -3 over Minnesota, with an over/under of right around 39. Early betting action then dipped the Bears to -2 and the total to 38.
</p>
<h2>
Vikings vs. Bears Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota is off to a 2-1 start to this season, after beating Oakland in Minneapolis last week 34-14. The Vikings drove their opening possession of the game 76 yards to a touchdown, led 21-0 early in the second quarter and rolled on from there for the victory and the cover as nine-point favorites.
</p>
<p>
On the day Minnesota out-gained the Raiders 385-302 and out-rushed Oakland 211-88, as running back Dalvin Cook hit the 100-yard mark for the third straight game.
</p>
<p>
The Vikings opened this season with a 28-12 win over Atlanta, easily covering at -3.5, then lost at Green Bay 21-16. Minnesota out-gained the Packers that day 421-335 but got robbed on an offensive pass interference penalty that basically cost them four points and threw a bad interception on a 1st-and-goal in the Green Bay end zone while trying to take the lead in the fourth quarter.
</p>
<p>
A play here or there and the Vikings might be undefeated.
</p>
<p><aside></p>
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<p></aside></p>
<p>
Chicago, meanwhile, is also 2-1, after beating the Redskins in DC Monday night 31-15. The Bears took an early 7-0 lead on a pick-six. Pushed that to 28-0 in the second quarter and cruise-controlled from there for the W and the cash as five-point favorites.
</p>
<p>
On the night Chicago got out-gained by Washington 356-298 but that stat, in this case, was a bit situational. The Bears defense came up with five takeaways, scoring once and setting the offense up with a couple of short fields, helping to create that big early lead.
</p>
<p>
Chicago opened this season with a lackluster 10-3 loss at home to the Packers, then won at Denver 16-14 on a long field goal at the buzzer. But the Bears got out-gained by the Broncos that day by almost 100 yards and probably should have lost.
</p>
<h2>
Vikings-Bears Recent History<br />
</h2>
<p>
As mentioned above, Minnesota was on a roll in this rivalry, winning six of seven meetings, but Chicago swept two games from the Vikes last year by scores of 25-20 and 24-10. The Bears out-gained Minnesota both those games by an average margin of 320-216.
</p>
<h2>
NFL Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Minnesota is 10-8-1 both SU and ATS with Kirk Cousins starting at quarterback.
</li>
<li>
Minnesota is only 3-5-1 both SU and ATS over its last nine road games.
</li>
<li>
Chicago is 17-12 SU, 17-10-2 ATS with Mitch Trubisky starting at QB.
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<li>
Chicago is 8-2 both SU and ATS over its last ten home games.
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<li>
Home teams are only 24-23 SU, 15-31 ATS so far this NFL season.
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</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 2-1 in Vikings games this season, which are averaging 42 total points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are also 2-1 in Bears games this season, which are averaging just 30 points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 7-3 over the last ten games in this rivalry, as these teams have played some low-scoring games even against relatively low totals.
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<li>
Unders are 26-22 so far this NFL season.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1109483">Vikings at Bears NFL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Vikings at Bears Prediction 09/29/2019

With Cook's recent emergence, we rate Minnesota as the most complete team in the NFC North. As long as Cousins doesn't do anything too stupid, we believe the Vikings are going to win this game outright. So we 'rewe're going with Minnesota on the moneyline for our free NFL pick here.

Free Pick: Take the Vikings +115 (ML)
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