Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams Odds - Betting Pick

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Miami won their 4th-straight game with a 31-24 victory at San Diego last Sunday. Los Angeles did just enough to get by the Jets 9-6 last week.
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Miami QB Ryan Tannehill continued his good play of late by throwing for 240 yards, 2 TD passes and zero interceptions in the win at San Diego. He’ll face an LA pass defense that has performed better than expected in 2016 and held QB Bryce Petty and the Jets to only 157 yards. As Tannehill has improved over the past month, his top 3 wideouts (WRs DeVante Parker, Jarvis Landry and Kenny Stills) have become more productive. Landry leads the club with 55 catches and 658 yards; Parker caught 5 passes for 103 yards against the Chargers and Stills caught his 4th receiving TD of the year (tops on the club). The o-line has improved their pass blocking as Tannehill has been sacked only 20 times on the year after absorbing a league-leading 184 from 2012-15. With DE Robert Quinn hospitalized for an illness, the Rams have only DT Aaron Donald capable of exerting consistent pressure. RB Jay Ajayi has been an absolute force in the backfield during the winning streak and gained 79 yards on 19 carries last week. He is averaging better than 5 ypc and will be a real test for a Rams front seven that yielded 139 rush yards to New York.
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QB Case Keenum remains under center for the Rams and while his numbers were average last week (17-30, 165 yards) he didn’t turn the ball over. He has a 9-11 TD/INT ratio and has lost a fumble. Miami had 3 sacks last week (2 by DE Cameron Wake) and applied strong pressure throughout the game with just their front four. This allows the Dolphins to drop 7 defenders into coverage which will allow fewer windows for Keenum. WR Kenny Britt has slowly emerged as the No.1 target and he will need to be accounted for by the secondary. The Dolphins picked off 4 passes in the 4th quarter last week and LB Kiko Alonso’s 60-yard TD return with 1:01 was the eventual margin of victory. While they did surrender 309 passing yards in the game (229 per game before last week), they buckled down when they had to. RB Todd Gurley has found running room scarce this season (3.1 ypc) as teams have crowded the line and taken advantage of an underachieving o-line. Miami held RB Melvin Gordon and the Chargers to 70 yards on 24 carries last week, a far cry from their 136 ypg they had allowed before that game. Look for them to crowd the line and force Keenum to try to beat them through the air.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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This week’s match-up between the Dolphins and the Rams sees the public heavily supporting Miami to win this game outright at 81% confidence. The over/under bettors believe this game will not go over the 40 point total at 68%.
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