Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

David Schwab
Date: October 26, 8:25 pm
Location: M&T Bank Stadium
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Baltimore -3
Total: 37.5

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Thursday Night Football kicks off Week 8 of the NFL season with an AFC showdown between the Miami Dolphins and the Baltimore Ravens. Game time from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore has been set for 8:25 p.m. (ET) on CBS.
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Miami at Baltimore Game Overview<br />
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Miami was able to keep pace in the tight AFC East title race with Sunday’s 31-28 victory at home against the New York Jets in a game that ended as a PUSH. The total went OVER the closing 39-point line against the Jets after staying UNDER in the Dolphins first five games. They are 4-2 straight-up with a 3-2-1 record against the spread. Miami is 2-1 ATS in three previous road games this season.
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Matt Moore ended up under center for Miami in Sunday’s win after taking over the reins for an injured Jay Cutler. He completed 13 of his 21 passing attempts for 188 yards and two scores. The Dolphins were held to just 53 yards on the ground for an average of 2.1 yards per carry. Moore should get the call on Thursday night with Cutler suffering what is believed to be a cracked rib.
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The Ravens slipped further off the pace in the AFC North title race with Sunday’s 24-16 loss to Minnesota as 5.5-point road favorites. They are now 3-4 on the year both SU and ATS with losses both ways in four of their last five games. The total has gone OVER in four of those five contests. Baltimore returns home with a 1-2 record ATS this season when closing as a favorite.
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Joe Flacco put the ball up 39 times against the Vikings and he completed 27 passes for 186 yards and one touchdown. He did not throw a pick in that game, but he was sacked five times to lower the team’s net passing yards to 144. The Ravens only added another 64 yards rushing on 20 carries. On the year, this offense is ranked last in the league in passing yards and it is 31st in total yards. Baltimore’s defense is last in the NFL at stopping the run and it is 18th in total yards allowed.
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Miami at Baltimore Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Dolphins have gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Week 8 games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last nine Thursday games.
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The Ravens are 5-14-2 in their last 21 games coming off a SU loss and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games against a team with a SU winning road record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games on Thursday.
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Head-to-head in this conference clash, the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last games between the two.
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Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens Week 8 ATS Pick

The big difference between these two teams heading into this Thursday night’s matchup is that Miami continues to find ways to win games, while Baltimore has seem to forgotten how to play a full four quarters of football. Even with Moore at quarterback, look for the Dolphins to move the ball on the Ravens all night long, especially on the ground. In the end, it should be another tight SU victory for the Dolphins making the three points on the current spread a gift.

Free Pick: Take Miami +3
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