Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Jeff Scott
Date: November 5, 1:00 pm
Location: MetLife Stadium
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Rams -3.5
Total: 41.5

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Both the Rams and Giants had byes last week. LA has won 4 of their last 4 games while NY is 1-6 on the year.
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The Rams have scored 20+ points in all of their games but one this season and are averaging 30 ppg, best in the NFL. RB Todd Gurley is the centerpiece of the offense and has gained 100+ yards in 4 of the past 5 games. The Giants run defense is allowing 120.7 ypg and 4.2 ypc so look for Gurley to get at least 20 carries this week. Like Gurley, QB Jared Goff has had a resurgence in 2017, as he has an 8-3 TD/INT ratio and an acceptable QB rating of 93.2. New York has given up 258.7 passing ypg as their once-vaunted pass rush has tallied only 13 sacks on the year. They will also be without their top cornerback as Janoris Jenkins has been suspended by the team. The Rams don’t have a wideout that has to be accounted for but they are getting contributions from a number of players. Gurley leads the team with 23 receptions and his multi-dimensional skills will give the Giants problems this Sunday.
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New York hasn’t scored more than 24 points in any game this year as myriad problems abound on that side of the ball. The o-line remains in disarray and they have also had injury concerns. The Giants average 83.3 ypg on the ground but have been better with RB Orleans Darkwa as the featured back. Los Angeles’ run defense has had their issues (123 ypg) but they have gotten better as the players have become more acclimated with DC Wade Phillips defense. QB Eli Manning has been put in a tough spot as the running game hasn’t taken off, the o-line has been bad and injuries have decimated the receiving corps. WR Sterling Shepard (check status) may be back this week and rookie TE Evan Engram has been Manning’s only reliable target. The Rams give up only 204.6 passing ypg so look for them to double Engram on occasion and force Manning to look elsewhere. LA has 23 sacks on the year while Manning has been dropped 17 times. He has also lost 2 fumbles.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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In this week 9 of the NFL matchup between Los Angeles and New York have the public leaning heavily to the Rams to cover the 3.5 point spread on the road with over 80%. The over under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted total line of 41.5 with 60% on board.
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Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants Free ATS Prediction

This matchup has been very unkind to LA in recent years (0-8 ATS last 8 encounters) but I see that changing this week. With the bye week, the Rams shouldn’t be troubled by the cross-country trip and they are clearly the better team right now. The defense should contain the Giants ground game and their pass rushers should be able to get to Manning, Offensively, the Rams have done a great job of mixing the pass and run and the NY defense has been the victim of a league-worst time of possession by the offense. I look for Gurley and Goff to lead the team to a comfortable away win and the number is low enough to back this road favorite.

Free Pick: Take the Rams -3.5
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