Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens NFL Picks - Odds and Predictions

Keith F
Date: December 23, 4:30 pm
Location: M&T Bank Stadium
TV: NFL Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Baltimore -13.5
Total: 41

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The Indianapolis Colts (3-11) and the Baltimore Ravens (8-6) will meet for a pivotal clash that has playoff implications on the line for the Birds when the AFC South squares off with the AFC North. The game will be broadcasted for audiences on the NFL Network with a kick-off time of 4:30 PM EST. The contest will come live from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland on Saturday, December 23rd, 2017. Between the two sides, both teams have split the last four games with two victories each. Most recently, the two teams met in Indianapolis in 2014 where the Colts defeated the Ravens 20-13. In the last ten meetings between both sides, the Colts are 9-1 ATS.
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The Colts come in off their fifth consecutive loss when they were stomped out at home by the Denver Broncos by a score of 25-13. As for Baltimore, The Ravens come in off their fourth win in five games and once again the defense was the catalyst of success. Despite the specter of Cleveland lurking to gain a first win of the season in historic upset fashion, the Ravens defense held the Browns to just 10 points. Previous to this, the Ravens made an enormous impression before national audiences when they travelled to the Steel City and took it to their biggest rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens held a significant lead until the Steelers rallied and escaped with a 39-38 win.
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Public Money<br />
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From the start, there has been serious steam coming in on Baltimore as the market has already moved by a point to indicate action on the Ravens. The Ravens are accompanied by a -105 price tag in against the spread markets. 75% of the cash and 76% of the ticket action have come in on the Birds. In Over/Under markets we have seen a half-point drop to reflect action on the Under. 57% of the cash is on the Under whilst 60% of the tickets are on the Over.
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Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens Prediction:
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From first glance, the Ravens look to be worth the lay here given the notion of home field advantage. When you couple this with the notion that this is the time of year where games are prone to be dumped by teams out of contention; teams like Indianapolis. Thanks to this, Baltimore looks like easy money even with the big number to overcome.
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Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts Week 16 Pick

For Baltimore, they “need” this game to continue onto the playoffs. This sense of motivation will also encourage takers to back Baltimore because they know what they are getting. However, the market is also likely inflicting a premium upon takers here because of this juxtaposition. Chances are the number here is inflated. Under any circumstance, this line would be a hard cover for any NFL team. Don’t get trapped paying extra points due to one time being incentivized.

Free Pick: Take Indianapolis +13.5
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