Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Keith F
Date: December 11, 1:00 pm
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
TV: NBC Sports Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Indy -6
Total: 47

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The Houston Texans (6-6) will head to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana to square off with the Indianapolis Colts who come in at 6-6. The Texans enter off a 21-13 loss at Green Bay, last Sunday. Conversely, the Colts come in off a dominant victory against the New York Jets by a score of 41-10 at MetLife Stadium on Monday night. Indianapolis has won seven of the last ten meetings between these two organizations. With Tennessee on the heels of both teams, this game will have an influential role in determining the outcome of the AFC South and the Wildcard race. The game will be televised regionally on CBS with a kick-off time of 1:00 PM ET.
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Currently, Houston is riding a three-game losing streak. The Texans have lost to Green Bay, San Diego and Oakland in consecutive weeks. As for the Indianapolis Colts, we highlighted the supremacy exerted on Monday night. With the return of Andrew Luck under center, the Colts’ offense has erupted and it puts them in prime position to return to the post-season.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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84% of the public like Indianapolis at home spotting the points to the road dog Houston. At the spread, Indianapolis comes in at -105 with the point as opposed to taking the points with Houston at -115. Currently in Over/Under markets, the Over/Under is sitting at 47 with 75% of the public liking the Over in this pivotal AFC South contest.
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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Since Thanksgiving, the stock in the Colts has risen through the ceiling. The same team that was taking back nearly ten points against the Steelers without Luck is now spotting a touchdown with him at the helm. This shows you right here how one player can affect the market perception of any team. Luck is the Colts’ franchise player but he can have a bad game just like anyone else if the Texans come with the right strategy to quell his efforts. When a team comes in off a victory on Monday Night, that same team is often a prime fade option in their follow-up. A national audience witnessed Indy’s demolition of the Jets and likely an overreaction is taking shape. When you factor in that the Texans have been struggling as of late, the propensity is even greater. Despite this being a Week 14 game, this game can be treated as a playoff match as the winner will have the inside track to the AFC South. With this being said expect the Texans to show up and try to unleash J.J Watt upon Andrew Luck to disrupt the flow of their passing game and offense. The Houston defense is far superior to New York’s and thus the 41 points we saw proliferated last Monday night may be a bit of a misnomer.

Free Pick: Take Houston +6 (-115)
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