Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free NFL Prediction

David Schwab
Date: November 26, 8:30 pm
Location: Heinz Field.
TV: NBC Sports

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Pittsburgh -14
Total: 41

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Week 12’s Sunday NFL slate comes to a close with an inter-conference matchup between the 5-5 Green Bay Packers and the 8-2 Pittsburgh Steelers in an 8:30 p.m. (ET) kickoff at Heinz Field. NBC will carry the national broadcast.
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Green Bay at Pittsburgh Game Overview<br />
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The Packers are slowing watching their season slip away with just one win in their last five games both straight-up and against the spread. The total stayed UNDER 38 points in last Sunday’s dismal 23-0 loss to Baltimore as a 2.5-point home underdog and it has stayed UNDER in three of Green Bay’s last five games. The Packers are now 2-4 ATS when closing as underdogs.
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Nobody ever questioned the value of Aaron Rodgers to his team’s fortunes, but things are starting to breakdown in every phase of the game. Under Brett Hundley at quarterback, the Packers’ offense has fallen to 23rd in the league in yards gained and 21st in scoring with an average of 20.4 points per game. Green Bay’s defense is now 18th in both yards (340.1) and points (23.0) allowed. Given the steady downward spiral this team has been on, it is hard to see how the Packers can turns things around to salvage their season.
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Pittsburgh is headed in the opposite direction over in the AFC with a SU five-game winning streak while going 4-1 ATS. The Steelers hammered Tennessee 40-17 on Nov. 16 as seven-point home favorites so they will be well-rested for Sunday night’s game. The total went OVER 44.5 points in that contest after it has stayed UNDER in eight of their first nine games. Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in four previous home games this year.
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Ben Roethlisberger is playing his best football of the season and against Tennessee he ended the night with four touchdown throws including three to his favorite target in the passing game, Antonio Brown. Le’Veon Bell has rushed for 886 yards and five touchdowns on an offense that is 11th in the league in total yards gained. Pittsburgh’s defense remains the team’s biggest strength with a points-allowed average of 16.5 that is ranked second in the NFL.
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Green Bay at Pittsburgh Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Packers have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 November games. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight road games.
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The Steelers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 12 to go along with a 4-9 record ATS in their last 13 games played in November. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 Week 12 games.
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Pittsburgh has won four of the last five meetings SU with a slight 3-2 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
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Green Bay at Pittsburgh Free Game Prediction

The idea of giving two touchdowns to Green Bay is hard to imagine under any conditions, but I think the oddsmakers are trying to bait the betting public with some of the inflated pointspreads on the board this week in the NFL. I am not taking that bait in my ‘best bet’ pick for Sunday night’s contest with Pittsburgh coming away with the win at home both SU and ATS.

Free Pick: Take Pittsburgh -14
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