Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Total Pick

Date: September 18, 8:15 pm
Location: Heinz Field
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Cleveland -2
Moneyline: Clev -130/Pitt +110
Total: 38

As the sun sets on September 18, 2023, the Cleveland Browns (1-0) will clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1) at Acrisure Stadium, a battle kicking off at 8:15 PM. The Browns are coming in hot while the Steelers are looking to bounce back. Yet, the star WRs - Amari Cooper for the Browns and Diontae Johnson for the Steelers - won't be lighting up the field due to injuries. Let's dissect the numbers and see why the under could be the play here.

Recent Games Review

Cleveland Browns

Coming off a dominant victory over the Bengals, the Browns showcased a defense that seems to have plugged all its holes, restricting their opponent to a mere field goal. On the other side of the ball, they have managed to put up a decent 24 points, promising a solid play this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers

It was a tough opening week for the Steelers, who couldn't find their rhythm against the 49ers, both offensively and defensively. The 7-30 defeat highlighted the areas they need to work on, with a significant gap in both the offensive and defensive plays. However, seasoned handicappers know better than to count the Steelers out after just one week.

Why the "Under" is the Play

  • Defensive Showcase by Browns: Cleveland’s defense started the season with a bang, showcasing their ability to control the game by allowing just 3 points in their opener. Expect them to bring the same heat against the Steelers.
  • Steelers' Offensive Struggles: Pittsburgh is coming off a week where their offense seemed to lack bite, managing only 7 points. With the Browns' defense looking robust, the Steelers might find it hard to rack up points.
  • Key Absences on Both Sides: Both teams may be missing their star WRs Amari Cooper (doubtful) and Diontae Johnson ( ruled out), which could mean fewer touchdowns and big plays. This scenario generally favors an under play as teams might lack that offensive spark.
  • Head-to-Head History: Although their last meetup totaled 42 points, exceeding the current total line, a deeper look into their history shows a trend of gritty, defensive battles that often have Under bettors cashing their tickets.
  • Betting Trends Favoring the "Under": The betting trends are leaning heavily towards the "under", with the Browns having 7 of their last 8 games going under and the Steelers seeing the "under" hit in 5 of their last 7 games.

Browns at Steelers Free Monday Night Pick

Considering the defensive prowess shown by the Browns and the offensive struggles faced by the Steelers, coupled with the potential absence of key players, the stage seems set for a game where defenses shine. The seasoned bettor might find value in eyeing the "under" play in what promises to be a gritty, hard-fought contest.

Free Pick: Take the Under 38
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