Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans Divisional Game Odds & Free Picks

Darin Zank
Date: January 22, 4:30 pm
Location: Nissan Stadium
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: CIN +4/TEN -4
Total: 48

<p> The Tennessee Titans somewhat surprisingly won the top seed in the AFC playoffs and now look to take<br />
advantage of it when they host the Bengals for a divisional-round bout Saturday afternoon in<br />
Nashville. Tennessee started well enough this season, then played through the absence of running<br />
back Derrick Henry. Now it appears Henry will return for this game. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is<br />
coming off its first postseason victory in 30 years! The Titans are favored by three and a hook<br />
for this one; how are we playing this game with our free NFL playoffs betting pick?</p>
<h2> NFL Playoff Betting Lines</h2>
<p> The NFL playoff betting odds opened Tennessee as a three-point home favorite for<br />
this game, with an over/under of right around 47. Early betting action then bumped the Titans to<br />
-3.5, and that total to 47.5. According to Sagarin's NFL ratings at sagarin.com, Tennessee<br />
should be favored by three points for this match-up. Bengals-Titans NFL Playoffs Betting Preview<br />
Cincinnati reached this AFC divisional round by holding off the Raiders in a wild-card game last<br />
week 26-19. The Bengals spotted Las Vegas an early field goal but used a 13-0 run to lead 20-13<br />
at the half.</p>
<p> Cincinnati then scored the first three points of the second half, let the Raiders<br />
get back within one score with three minutes left but held on for the victory and the cover as a<br />
six-point favorite. In the end, the Bengals allowed Vegas to drive to the Cincinnati 9-yard line<br />
but held on four downs. The Bengals actually got out-gained by the Raiders 385-308 and out-rushed<br />
103-83 but won the turnover battle 2-0, turning one takeaway into a field goal, then sealing the<br />
game with the other. A few weeks ago, Cincinnati clinched its playoff spot with a three-game<br />
winning streak, then lost a meaningless game to Cleveland in the regular-season finale. But the<br />
Bengals are not running the ball as they should. Over their last six games, they've been<br />
out-rushed five times, averaging just 83 yards per. And that's an alarming trend for playoff<br />
football. Tennessee, meanwhile, reached this divisional round by going 12-5 this season to earn<br />
the top seed in the AFC.</p>
<p> The Titans then enjoyed last week off. Tennessee started 2-2 this<br />
season, then won six in a row. But they also lost Henry along the way. The Titans later struggled<br />
through a 1-3 stretch but won their last three games, including a 28-25 decision at Houston two<br />
weeks ago. And with a bit of help from elsewhere, Tennessee owns home-field advantage for these<br />
AFC playoffs. The Titans scored the first 21 points of the game against the Texans, allowed that<br />
lead to leak to three points in the fourth quarter held on for the win but pissed away the cover<br />
as 11-point favorites. Tennessee out-gained Houston that day 405-353, out-rushed the Texans<br />
124-64, and won the time of possession by a 34:26 split.</p>
<p> So the Titans out-gained four of their last five opponents and out- rushed each of their last seven foes, even without Henry. Tennessee<br />
lost Henry when he broke a bone in his foot back on Halloween. The Titans struggled on the ground<br />
for their next couple of games, then found their footing and averaged 155 YPG rushing over their<br />
last seven games. And now it looks like Henry will return. These two teams met most recently back<br />
in November of last season, a 31-20 Cincinnati home win. The Bengals led that game 10-0 early and<br />
24-7 early in the fourth quarter, on their way toward victory. Also, that game played over a<br />
total of 49.5 when the teams combined for 27 fourth-quarter points.</p>
<h2>Common Opponents</h2>
<p>These two teams played five common opponents this season; the Jets,<br />
Jaguars, Chiefs, Steelers, and 49ers. Tennessee played 4-2 both SU and ATS vs. those five foes,<br />
at +23 yards per game, while Cincinnati played 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, and -2 YPG against that slate of<br />
opponents.</p>
<h2>NFL Playoffs Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Over the last six NFL divisional playoff rounds, the home<br />
teams are 19-5 SU, 14-9-1 ATS. Over the last six NFL divisional playoff rounds, the favorites are<br />
18-6 SU, 13-10-1 ATS. Cincinnati is 5-2, both SU and ATS against teams that made the playoffs<br />
this season. Tennessee is 4-3, both SU and ATS against teams that made the playoff this season.</p>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<p>The Under is 9-8 in Bengals games this season, which averaged 49 total<br />
points. Last week's game against the Raiders then played under a total of 49. The Under is 9-8<br />
in Titans games this season, which averaged 45 points. The Under was 4-2 in the NFL playoffs last<br />
week.</p>

Cincinnati at Tennessee Prediction ATS 1/22/22

Tennessee, even with Henry missing half the season, out-rushed opponents by 56 yards per game while Cincinnati came in at +0. And teams that win the

  ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. Also, the Titans are a

  bit more playoff-tested than the Bengals; this will be their fifth playoff game over the last

  three seasons with Coach Vrabel and QB Tannehill, while for Cincinnati, it’s just their second

  game with Coach Taylor and QB Burrow. So while we don’t like going along with the betting flow,

  we like Tennessee here.

Free Pick: Take the Titans minus the points
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