Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

Rich Crew
Date: October 29, 1:00 pm
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
TV: CBS Sports

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Saints -9
Total: 47.5

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In NFL Week 8 we have two teams that have been padding their bankers when the Bears (3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS) head to the “Big Easy” to take on the Saints (4-2 SU and 5-2 ATS). The lines maker has listed New Orleans as a large 9-point favorite over Chicago with the total listed at 47.5 points. Kick off for this game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome is scheduled for Sunday October 27, 2017 at 1:00 PM EDT.
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<p>
Chicago upset Carolina 17-3 on Sunday. It was the first time since the middle of the 2015 season that they have won back-to-back games. QB Mitch Trubisky was 4-7 for 107 yards and was sacked 4 times. RB Jordan Howard ran for 65 yards on 21 carries as the Bears averaged a mere 2.6 ypc as a team. The defense carried the day as they allowed 293 total yards and had 5 sacks. Rookie S Eddie Jackson returned a fumble for a 75-yard TD and returned an interception for a 76-yard TD. Chicago also picked off another pass.
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New Orleans won their 4th-straight game with a 26-17 victory over Green Bay last week. QB Drew Brees was 27-38 for 331 yards, a TD and 2 picks. He was sacked once. WR Ted Ginn Jr. had 7 catches for 141 yards. RB Mark Ingram ran for 105 yards on 22 carries and a score. Rookie RB Alvin Kamara added 57 yards on 9 attempts. The defense held the Packers to 79 passing yards and added a sack and an interception. They didn’t have an answer for the Packers run game however as they gave up 181 rushing yards.
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<p>
<b>Last Matchup </b> 2014 – Saints 31-15
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<h2>
Chicago at New Orleans Trends to Consider<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Chicago is 6-3 ATS before their bye week, since 2008.
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<li>
The Bears are 1-6 ATS following back-to-back SU wins when facing an NFC opponent.
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New Orleans is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games.
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The Saints are 19-1 ATS at home when hosting a non-divisional opponent that is coming off a SU win as an underdog.
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<h3>
Injury Report<br />
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<p>
<b>Bears:</b> Overall Chicago’s starters are healthy for the most part. No. 3 WR Markus Wheaton will likely miss his third straight game. The Bears picked up WR Dontrelle Inman from the Chargers this week, but he may be a week away from contributing. <b>Saints: </b> RG Larry Worford who has started six of the team’s seven games is out. Leading receiver rookie WR Michael Thomas may be a game time decision with a knee issue. Left tackle Terron Armstead returned to practice and should play.
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<h2>
Public Money<br />
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<p>
The high point spread line has the public money nearly split down the middle with 52% of the spread action being placed on the Chicago Bears. The gap on the total betting is larger with 59% of “Joe Public” on the OVER.
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Bears at Saints Betting Prediction

The Bears have won two of QB Mitch Trubinsky’s starts, but he’s been more of a game manager with extremely weak statistics. On the season the rookie signal caller has completed a paltry 50% of his passes for 348 yards throwing two touchdown passes to go with one interception. Chicago wins on defense and when they haven’t had a high turnover number they have held the opposition to 23 or fewer points in those five games. The Saints have allowed 22 points per game overall this season and while they have allowed a ridiculous 37 points per game at home this season, that number is skewed. They have just two home games in this campaign, with the first game coming in Week 2 against the Patriots exploited an inexperienced secondary for 436 passing yards and 36 points. In the other home game, a turnover fest against Detroit in Week 6, New Orleans held a 45-10 lead past the halfway mark in the third quarter before some prevent defense combined with TDs on a punt return and a two-yard Pick 6 allowed the Lions to put 28 meaningless points. Oh, and that inexperienced secondary I mentioned earlier, they’ve allowed a total of 161 passing yards per game over their last four included in that number is an inflated 281 to Detroit.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 47.5 (RC)
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