Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

David Schwab
Date: November 2, 8:25 pm
Location: MetLife Stadium
TV: NFL Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Buffalo -3.5
Total: 40

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The Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets kickoff the second half of the NFL regular season in an AFC East tilt on Thursday Night Football. Game time from MetLife Stadium is set for 8:25 p.m. (ET) and the NFL Network will carry the national broadcast.
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Buffalo at New York Game Overview<br />
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The Bills kept pace with New England in the AFC East at 5-2 straight-up with Sunday’s 34-14 victory at home against Oakland as 1.5-point favorites. The total went OVER the closing 47.5-point line in that game and it has gone OVER in three of their last five contests. Buffalo is 2-0-1 against the spread as favorites this season as part of its overall record of 4-1-2 ATS.
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Tyrod Taylor went an efficient 20-for-27 throwing the ball against the Raiders for 165 yards and a score, but it was LeSean McCoy and the Bills’ power running game that did the bulk of the damage with a total of 166 yards on the ground. McCoy ended the day with 151 rushing yards while averaging an impressive 5.6 yards a carry. Buffalo is ranked 25th in the NFL in total yards per game (303.3), but it jumps to ninth in rushing yards.
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New York battled Atlanta to the final gun on Sunday, but came up short as a 6.5-point home underdog in a 25-20 loss to fall to 3-5 SU. It has been able to cover in five of its last six games with the other contest ending as a PUSH in a three-point loss to Miami on the road in Week 7. The total went OVER in the Jets’ last two games and it has gone OVER in four of their last seven games. With Sunday’s cover, they are a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this season as part of an overall record of 5-2-1 ATS.
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The biggest issue with this team is its inability to finish games. After starting the season with a 21-12 loss to Buffalo on the road as seven-point underdogs, the Jets have gone on to play New England, Miami and Atlanta tough in three losses by a combined 15 points. New York is 21st in the league in average points scored (19.6) and 22nd in points allowed (23.2).
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Buffalo at New York Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Bills have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five division games, but they move to 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven Thursday games.
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The Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games in the AFC East and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six division games.
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Head-to-head in this AFC East clash, the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games in this division clash.
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Buffalo at New York Free Game Prediction

Buffalo has been one of the hotter teams in the AFC in recent weeks and it has been a solid betting team all season long ATS, but I do think that the Bills are going to have their hands full on Thursday night in a division matchup between two teams that are extremely familiar with one another. The Jets may continue to be snake bit with a SU loss at home, but that extra half point on the field goal spread right now makes New York a very attractive play in this game ATS.

Free Pick: Take the Jets +3.5
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