Wisconsin Badgers vs. Miami Hurricanes Capital One Orange Bowl Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
December 30, 8:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Wisconsin -6.5
Total: 
45

This season’s Capital One Orange Bowl from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on Dec. 30 should be a good one with the Big Ten’s Wisconsin Badgers tangling with the ACC’s Miami Hurricanes in a battle of former College Football Playoff contenders. Game time on ESPN is set for 8 p.m.

Wisconsin vs. Miami Game Overview

The Badgers were in prime position for a spot in the CFP semifinals right up until they suffered their first straight-up loss of the season in the Big Ten title game against Ohio State. They came up just short in that 27-21 setback as 3.5-point underdogs. It was the first time that Wisconsin failed to cover in its last five games as part of an 8-5 record against the spread to go with this SU 12-1 run. The total has stayed UNDER in its last three games.

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Wisconsin has always been known for its power running game, but behind sophomore quarterback Alex Hornibrook it also did a good job at moving the ball through the air with an average of 187 passing yards a game. The Badgers were ranked 21st in the nation when it did come to running the ball with 229.2 rushing yards per game. Freshman running back Jonathan Taylor led the way with 1,847 yards and 13 touchdowns on 273 carries. As usual, Wisconsin also boasted a shutdown defense that held opposing teams to 13.2 points per game.

Miami was also knocking on the door for a playoff spot with a perfect 10-0 SU start, but a bad loss to Pittsburgh as a 12-point road favorite followed by a lopsided 38-3 loss to Clemson as a 12.5-point underdog in the ACC Championship put an end to that run. The Hurricanes have failed to cover in six of their last eight games as part of a 5-7 record ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their first 12 games this season.

Junior quarterback Malik Rosier ended his regular season with 2,917 passing yards and 25 touchdowns verse 11 interceptions and 24 sacks. He was less than accurate at times with a 54.8 completion percentage on 389 passing attempts. Miami turned to Travis Homer when it came to running the ball with 902 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 151 attempts. This offense as a whole averaged 405.5 yards and 29.5 points a game.

Wisconsin vs. Miami Game Betting Trends

  • The Badgers have gone 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games coming off a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five bowl games.
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  • The Hurricanes are just 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games, but they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight nonconference games. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games in a postseason bowl.
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  • These two last met in the 2009 bowl season with Wisconsin coming away with a 20-14 victory as a 3.5-point underdog. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in that game.

Wisconsin vs. Miami Free Game Prediction

Both teams are coming off a disappointing loss that cost them a shot at a national title. You could give Miami the slight edge in light of its inherent home field advantage in this game, but Wisconsin fans travel well so there should be quite a bit of red and white in this crowd. I would definitely give the Badgers the edge when it comes to motivation as well as overall talent. My “best bet” pick would be to lay the 6.5 points and go with Wisconsin SU and ATS.

Free Pick: 
Wisconsin -6.5