Troy State Trojans at Boise State Broncos Odds - Free NCAAF Pick

Troy State Trojans at Boise State Broncos Odds - Free NCAAF Pick

Keith F
Date: September 2, 3:45 pm
Location: Albertson’s Stadium
TV: TBA

Betting Odds

Point Spread: BOISE -12.5
Total: OFF

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The Boise State Broncos will host the Troy State Trojans at Albertson’s Stadium in Boise, Idaho otherwise known as the “Smurf Turf” for a Sun Belt/Mountain West contest with that has the potential to be one of the most exciting clashes of the opening weekend of the 2017 college football season. The game will be a Saturday afternoon affair on the 2nd of September with a scheduled kick-off time of 3:45 PM ET.
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Troy State Trojans at Boise State Broncos Overview<br />
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Both teams enter off 10-win seasons in 2016 but the narratives behind each could not more contrasting. For Troy, the Trojans were overachievers despite falling apart down the back stretch in what seemed to be an all-but secure Sun Belt Championship bid for the upstart outfit. The Trojans took it to the Clemson Tigers in Death Valley, the team that would continue onto capture the national championship of the 2016-17 season marking their sole defeat in an 8-1 start. The Trojans would hit a nasty bump when they were walloped by Arkansas State 35-3 in a November clash that ultimately decided Troy’s fate for the Sun Belt crown. After the loss, the Trojans would go 1-1 to cap off their season but would delight in finishing with a bowl victory to complete their campaign.
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For Boise State, the Broncos seemed to be on their way to a potential Group of Five New Year’s Six Game and perhaps may be even a bit more given their historical record. However, the Broncos would be shocked in Laramie, Wyoming by one of 2016’s surprise teams the Wyoming Cowboys after winning their first seven contests from the start. Boise would lose again to Air Force to miss the Mountain West Championship Game and get rolled in the Cactus Bowl by Baylor in their season nightcap.
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Boise State at Troy State Betting Trends<br />
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Boise State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
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Boise State is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home fixtures.
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Troy State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 contests in September
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Troy State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 overall.
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Troy State Trojans at Boise State Broncos Prediction

Since the open of this market, there has been steady steam rolling on the Broncos. Despite Boise State being prone to subjecting takers to a hidden premium for taking action on them by virtue of their namesake coupled with perceived home field advantage, the consensus is quite keen to back the Broncos. Analytics suggest that this could be a very risky move. In addition, Troy State returns a gunslinger at quarterback in Brandon Slivers and a workhorse at running back in Jordan Chunn. Given the fact it is the opening game of the year, the Boise defense may have some cobwebs to shake out against some very talented competitors. As a result, the number here offers tremendous value combined with the fact it is likely inflated to begin with.

Free Pick: Take Troy State +12.5
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