Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs Week 9 Pick

Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs Week 9 Pick

The Green Man
Date: October 26, 3:30 pm
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Texas -1
Total: 50

<p>
15th ranked Texas avoided a huge scare in their last game, nailing a last-second field goal to beat Kansas 50-48. The Longhorns are 3-1 in Big 12 play with their only loss to Oklahoma. They may be able to avenge the loss in the conference title game, but the Longhorns will likely have to win out for the rest of the regular season, and they still have to face Iowa State and Baylor, who are in the top 25. Texas has two losses, and both came against the 6th ranked team at the time in Oklahoma and LSU. They have an offense that ranks 16th in the nation, but their defense only ranks 119th in the country, and they gave up 48 points to the doormat of the Big 12 in Kansas.
</p>
<div class="promo">
<a class="advblue" href="javascript:GoTo(Dimes)">DISCOUNTED BETTING ODDS - HUGE WAGERING MENU - FAST PAYOUTS - YOU SIMPLY GET MORE AT 5DIMES!</a>
</div>
<p>
TCU has lost their last two games to fall to .500 on the season, and they are only 1-2 in Big 12 play. Their lone win was a blowout one against Kansas, who Texas narrowly beat. The last two losses for the Horned Frogs were on the road, and this is their first game of the season facing a ranked team. Getting to a bowl will be a tall task, as in their remaining six games, they meet three ranked teams and have three games on the road. TCU has a rushing offense that ranks 12th in the nation, putting up an average of 239.5 rushing yards per game and while the "strength" of the Texas defense is their run defense, which ranks 71st in the nation, they gave up 259 rushing yards in the win over Kansas. The Horned Frogs have the 11th ranked defense in the nation and rank 18th in the nation against the pass and 17th against the run.
</p>
<p>
Last season at Texas, the Longhorns beat the Horned Frogs 31-16, but TCU won in 2017 at home beating UT 24-7.
</p>
<h2>
How the Public is Betting the Texas vs. TCU Game<br />
</h2>
<p>
The public has backed the home Horned Frogs in this conference showdown as they opened as a 3-point underdog, and as of Wednesday are a 1-point underdog. Public money has also been on the Under, as the total opened at 62.5 and is currently at 59.
</p>
<h3>
Injury Concerns<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>Texas </b>
</p>
<p>
Texas has quite a few players that are out indefinitely, and RB Daniel Young is questionable for this game, Jordan Whittington is doubtful, and DB Caden Sterns has been ruled out.
</p>
<p>
<b>TCU </b>
</p>
<p>
The Horned Frogs are dealing with quite a few injured players for this game, as WR Al'Dontre Davis, RB Emari Demercado, CB Keenan Reed, WR TreVontae Hights, and WR Mikel Barkley are all questionable for this Saturday and S La'Kendrick Van Zandt is out.
</p>
<h2>
When Texas Has the Ball<br />
</h2>
<p>
For the Longhorns on offense, it all starts with star QB Sam Ehlinger, who has passed for 2,057 yards with 21 TD and only three INT. He was 31/44 for 399 yards with four TD and one INT in the win over Kansas and was sacked three times after getting sacked nine times in the previous game against Oklahoma. His main target on the season has been Devin Duvernay (61 rec 627 yards 6 TD), and three other Texas players have at least 207 receiving yards. Texas can run the ball as well with Keaontay Ingram (423 yards 4 TD), backup QB Roschon Johnson (409 yards 3 TD), and Ehlinger (318 yards 5 TD). Ingram, who had only rushed for 27 yards in two games before going for 101 in the win over Kansas, and Johnson are averaging over five yards per carry while Ehlinger is only averaging 3.6 yards per carry.
</p>
<h2>
When TCU Has the Ball<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Horned Frogs will look to run the ball in this game behind lead RB Darius Anderson (588 yards 6 TD), who is averaging a more than legit 7.1 yards per carry. He had rushed for at least 115 yards in three straight games before only totaling 105 yards in his last two games in two TCU losses. Max Duggan has passed for 874 yards with nine TD and no INT and had 132 yards with no TD and no INT in the Horned Frogs 24-17 loss to Kansas State in their last game. The Horned Frogs have a few WR’s banged up, but the top two guys in Jalen Reagor (23 rec 271 yards 3 TD) and Te'Vailance Hunt (11 210 yards 0 TD) will play in this game.
</p>
<div class="promo">
<a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/missouri-tigers-vs-kentucky-wi… out our Missouri at Kentucky Prediction</a>
</div>
<h2>
Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<p>
On the season, Texas is 4-3 ATS, and TCU is 2-4 ATS, and neither team covered the spread in their last game. While the Longhorns gave up 48 points in their previous match facing Kansas, they are 5-1 ATS in their past six games after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. TCU is only 5-11 ATS in their previous 16 games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Horned Frogs have covered the spread in four of their previous five games against the Longhorns. Not many shootouts in the past few games between these Big 12 rivals, as in the last four matchups between them, the total has gone Under every time.
</p>
<h3>
Weather Report<br />
</h3>
<p>
The forecast for Saturday is partly cloudy with a low of 46 degrees and a high of 66 degrees, and the temperature should be near the warner side of that range with a 3:30 kickoff. There is a 10% chance of rain for the day with a 9 MPH wind out of the west and northwest.
</p>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116457">Texas at TCU NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Texas at TCU Prediction 10/26/2019

Texas was given a scare in their last game, but they will not get one in this game. While the Longhorns obviously, have some issues on defense, their offense will more than make up for it. They will run the ball well, and Ehlinger will have a big game in the air even against a good TCU pass defense. This game will not be a blowout, but Texas will win handily and keep their Big 10 title hopes alive while sending TCU under .500.

Free Pick: Take Texas -1
Get $60 Free Picks