North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers Betting Pick

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers Betting Pick

David Schwab
Date: December 5, 8:00 pm
Location: Bank of America Stadium

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Clemson -5.5
Total: 66.5

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This year's ACC title game should be a good one with the Coastal Division's North Carolina Tar Heels battling it out against the Atlantic Division's Clemson Tigers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. Game time for the conference championship tilt is set for 8 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ABC.
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<strong>ACC Championship Game Overview</strong>
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North Carolina stumbled right out of the gate this season with a loss to South Carolina, but this past Saturday's 45-34 victory against NC State as a 3.5-point road favorite closed-out a perfect 8-0 run through the ACC as part of an 11-1 straight-up record on the year. The Tar Heels have gone 8-3 against the spread with a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games. The total went OVER 65 in Saturday's win against the Wolfpack and it has gone OVER three of their last four games.
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One of the main reasons the total has been going OVER lately is an average of 50 points over their last four games. On the year, North Carolina is tied for ninth in the nation in scoring with an average of 41 points a game. This past Saturday, quarterback Marquise Williams threw for 174 yards while adding another 53 yards on the ground, but it was running back Elijah Hood's 220 yards on the ground that led the way against NC State. Hood has now rushed for 1,280 yards and 16 touchdowns this season.
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Clemson had its hands full in this past Saturday's annual rivalry showdown against South Carolina in a 37-32 victory as a heavy 20.5-point road favorite. It was the fourth-straight game that the undefeated Tigers failed to cover ATS. Despite the perfect 12-0 SU run to the top spot in the nation, Clemson has been a tough team to bet on with a 5-7 record ATS. The total went OVER the 57-point closing line against the Gamecocks and it has gone OVER in six of its last eight games.
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This is another team that knows how to move the ball on the ground with an average of 214.1 yards a game. The Tigers have also done a good job moving the ball through the air behind Heisman hopeful Deshawn Watson. He has thrown for 3,223 yards and 27 touchdowns while completing an impressive 70.4 percent of his 371 attempts. He has also gained 756 yards on the ground with another nine touchdowns as the team's second leading rusher behind Wayne Gallman. Combine this effort with a defense that is ranked 17th in the nation in points allowed (18.8) and it becomes easy to see why Clemson ran the table this season.
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<strong>North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers Game Betting Trends</strong>
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The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU winning record and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games following an ATS win.
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The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral-site games and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games following a SU win.
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Head-to-head in this conference clash, the favorite has covered in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games. Clemson has won five of the last six meetings SU.
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North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers Prediction

Clemson has gotten the best of this matchup in recent years, but in the past North Carolina was not as nearly as good as it is this season. This should set the stage for a fantastic showdown in this year's ACC title game and while I still like the Tigers coming out on top SU, I am going to take the Tar Heels and the 5.5 points as my "best bet" pick in this one.

Free Pick: Take Tar Heels +5.5 -DS
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