North Carolina State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Odds - Free Pick ATS

North Carolina State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Odds - Free Pick ATS

David Schwab
Date: November 25, 12:00 pm
Location: Kenan Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Carolina -12
Total: 58

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The North Carolina State Wolfpack and the North Carolina Tar Heels will battle it out this Friday afternoon at Kenan Stadium in this annual renewal for state bragging rights. Game time is set for 12 p.m. (ET) and this ACC tilt will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
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NC State at North Carolina Game Overview<br />
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It has been an up and down ride for bettors when it comes to NC State this season. It comes into this ACC finale needing a win to become bowl eligible at 5-6 straight-up on the year after losing five of their last six games. They failed to cover in this past Saturday’s 27-13 loss to Miami (FL) as 2.5-point home underdogs to fall to 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games.
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After putting up 33 points in their ACC opener again Wake Forest in a 17-point win, the Wolfpack have really struggled on offense with an average of just 17.9 points a game in their last seven contests. Quarterback Ryan Finley leads a passing attack that is averaging a respectable 265 yards a game, but NC State’s ground game fall to 99th in the nation with 148.2 rushing yards a game. On the other side of the ball, the Wolfpack are holding teams to 23.5 points a game.
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An earlier loss to Virginia Tech could keep the Tar Heels out of the ACC title game from the Coastal Division, but they have still had a very successful run through the conference at 5-2 on the year. The other loss was to rival Duke as 11.5-point home favorite and on the year their record ATS stands at 7-4. North Carolina is 5-2 ATS in seven games closing as a favorite and the total has stayed UNDER in five of its last six games overall.
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Mitch Trubisky has been grabbing headlines all season long as one of the top quarterbacks in the ACC. He comes into this matchup with 3,188 passing yards and 25 touchdown throws against four interceptions. North Carolina is ranked 20th in the nation in passing yards with 295.5 a game and it is averaging 34.2 points on the scoreboard. Ryan Switzer has been the team’s leading receiver with 78 catches for 856 yards and four scores.
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NC State at North Carolina Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a SU winning record and they fall to 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight November games.
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The Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last seven November games and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on grass. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games following a SU win.
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Head-to-head in this in-state rivalry, the underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. North Carolina has a 3-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last three games between these two with the total staying UNDER in four of the last six meetings.
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North Carolina State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

Anytime you are betting on a bitter in-state rivalry, you have to be a bit leery about laying that many points on the home team. The Wolfpack have been trending downward since giving Clemson a scare in a seven-point loss in mid-October, but I would not be surprised to see them give North Carolina all it can handle this Friday afternoon.

What I do like about this matchup is both teams’ defense. They should both be able to dictate the pace of this game enough to keep the scoring UNDER the current 58-point total line.

Free Pick: UNDER 58 (DS)
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