Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Odds & Free Pick

Date: 
November 21, 7:30 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
MIZZ -6.5/SCAR +6.5
Moneyline: 
Mizz-250/SCAR +210
Total: 
57

The South Carolina Gamecocks finally cut ties with Head Coach Will Muschamp last Sunday following another embarrassing 59-42 loss against Ole Miss. Muschamp has always received notoriety for his strong defensive background, but the Gamecocks had dropped three straight games by giving up point totals of 52, 48, and 59. Gamecocks fans have been calling for Muschamp's departure for a long time, and their wish was finally granted. As a result, Offensive Coordinator and former Colorado State Head Coach Mike Bobo will step into the interim coaching role when the Gamecocks host Missouri at home this Saturday.

At first glance, this may appear to be a salivating betting line with Missouri listed as small favorites. To this point in the season, the Tigers have appeared to be the better team, granted they have only played five games due to two postponements from COVID-19. Still, bettors may be looking to jump on Missouri in the wake of Muschamp's departure. However, I believe this is an excellent betting opportunity for the Gamecocks in the underdog spot. South Carolina's players have reportedly been really excited that Bobo will lead the team throughout the remainder of the season, and the Gamecocks have some weapons that will frustrate Missouri's defense in a big way this Saturday.

RB Kevin Harris emerging as SEC's best

Alabama's Najee Harris would be the popular pick as the best running back in the SEC if you were to take a straw poll around the conference. However, sophomore running back Kevin Harris deserves to be in the conversation. The Gamecocks running back took over the conference's leading rushing mark following a spectacular performance against the Rebels. Harris turned 25 carries into 243 rushing yards and a school-record five touchdowns in last week's loss.

To be clear, last week's performance was tremendous, but Harris has been playing extremely well all season. Harris has scored multiple touchdowns in 4 of the last five games. More importantly, in the last few weeks, the Gamecocks offense has made Harris the focal point, which has allowed the team to be more competitive. This focal point with Harris and the ground game will not change under Bobo, who has been calling the plays all season. The Tigers have struggled in terms of scoring throughout the 2020 season, and if they have trouble stopping the run, it will only shift more value towards the Gamecocks, who are already getting nearly a touchdown against the spread.

Missouri vs. South Carolina Betting Analysis

The major concern towards backing the Gamecocks is the horrendous play of the defense in recent weeks. Outside of the Texas A&M game, South Carolina has competed surprisingly well but continues to implode on the defensive side of the football in the latter halves of their games. I'm expecting Missouri to help that angle some in this match-up. Outside of the shootout win against LSU, Missouri has been held to 20 points or less in every game this season. From a talent perspective, the Tigers do not have the big play threats or elusive speed that should cause too much concern. Ole Miss Head Coach Lane Kiffen completely outclassed Muschamp in last week's match-up.

While I have a lot of respect for Missouri Head Coach Eliah Drinkwitz's accomplishments, I'm not convinced he has the personnel to run the type of offense he desires. There are just not many playmakers on this Missouri offense, and unless that changes, the Gamecocks will have every opportunity to win this football game. If that does not raise your confidence level in the underdog, consider one additional angle. Missouri has shown very contrasting home/away performances this season. The Tigers have looked awful in both prior road games this season, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games on the road.

Missouri vs. South Carolina Betting Trends

The Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
The Tigers have hit the "under" in nine of the last 11 games.
The Gamecocks are 2-8 SU in their last ten games.
The Gamecocks have hit the "over" in five of the last seven games.
The "under" has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings between Missouri and South Carolina.

Missouri vs. South Carolina Prediction 11/21/20

Free Pick: 
Take South Carolina +6.5
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