Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

David Schwab
Date: November 17, 8:30 pm
Location: TDECU Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Louisville -14
Total: 68.5

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An inter-conference clash between the ACC’s Louisville Cardinals and the Houston Cougars out of the AAC highlights this Thursday night’s college football slate. Kickoff from TDECU Stadium is set for 8 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
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Louisville at Houston Game Overview<br />
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Louisville’s current five-game straight-up winning streak combined with Clemson’s stunning loss last week to Pittsburgh has opened the door to a possible run all the way to a spot in this season’s College Football Playoff as long as the Cardinals can win out from here. They have not been one of the best betting teams during this current run at 2-3 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the five games.
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The Cardinals have picked up steam against some of the lesser competition in the ACC over the past few weeks and they should be able to keep things rolling on Thursday night behind an offense that has averaged 41.2 points in this five-game winning streak. Lamar Jackson continues to put up some big numbers with both his arm and his legs. He has thrown for 2,898 yards and 27 touchdowns while adding another 1,334 yards and 19 scores on the ground.
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At one time this season Houston appeared to be a legitimate contender to make it into the College Football Playoff from a Mid-Major conference, but a fast 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) start was erased by costly losses to Navy and SMU as a heavy road favorite. The Cougars are 8-2 SU on the year, but after failing to cover in their last five games, they fall to 4-6 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games.
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Houston still has one of the more potent passing attacks in the country with an average of 283.8 yards per game. Greg Ward Jr. has proven to be a duel threat as well at quarterback with 2,608 yards and 16 touchdowns through the air and another 429 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground. The Cougars are averaging 37 points a game on offense and defensively they are holding opponents to 21.3 points a game.
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Louisville at Houston Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Cardinals are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six nonconference games, but they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team from the AAC. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven road games.
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The Cougars are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team from the ACC, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games played at home.
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The road team in this matchup has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER in two of the last three meetings.
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Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars Prediction

This is an obvious must-win game for the Cardinals to keep their postseason plans intact, but Houston still poses some problems covering such a wide spread on the road. Both teams know how to put points on the board which should be able to test the limits of this total line.

I am looking for a high scoring affair that does go OVER 68.5 points, but I am going to lay the 14 points on the road with a “best bet” play on Louisville to turn things up a notch or two to cover.

Free Pick: Take Louisville -14
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