Kansas State Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

David Schwab
Date: January 2, 3:20 pm
Location: Liberty Bowl

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Arkansas 12.5
Total: 45.5

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Kansas State snapped a mid-season six-game losing streak with three-straight victories to end the year at an even 6-6 straight-up. One of those wins came in a season finale 24-23 upset over West Virginia as a 6.5-point home underdog. The total stayed UNDER the 54-point closing line in that game after going OVER in seven of its previous nine outings.
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The good news for the Wildcats heading into this matchup is that quarterback Joe Hubener has been upgraded to probable after suffering a lower body injury earlier in the season. They could also go with Kody Cook as the starter after he spent some time at the quarterback position. Cook also happens to be the team's second-most productive receiver with 27 receptions for 412 yards and three scores so it will be an interesting game-time decision for head coach Bill Snyder. Kansas State will probably try and squeeze as much as it can from a running game that averaged 164.3 yards a game.
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The Razorbacks overcame a slow 2-4 SU start with a 5-1 run in their final six games. Their biggest upset of the season came on Nov. 14 with a 31-14 victory over LSU as 6.5-point road underdogs. This followed a thrilling 53-52 win over Ole Miss as 7.5-point underdogs on the road. Arkansas went 4-2 ATS in that final six-game run with the total going OVER in four of those contests.
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Arkansas was one of the better rushing teams in the nation with an average of 192.6 yards a game, but under the direction of quarterback Brandon Allen its pass offense rose all the way to 33rd in the country with an average of 264.2 yards a game. Allen ended the season with 3,125 passing yards and 29 touchdown throws while completing 65.1 percent of his 344 attempts. Alex Collins was the workhorse in the running game with 1,392 yards and 17 scores on 248 carries.
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Game Betting Trends
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The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a SU winning record, but they have failed to cover in six of their last seven bowl games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven neutral-site games.
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The Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team from the Big 12, but they fall to 2-7 ATS in their last nine games played at a neutral site. The total has stayed under in their last seven bowl games.
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These two last met in the 2012 Cotton Bowl Classic with Arkansas rolling to a 29-16 victory as a nine-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 65-point closing line.
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction

The Wildcats ended the season on a high note, but given the overall body of work for both these teams, I am going to lay the 12.5 points with a play on the Razorbacks as the better team on both sides of the ball.

Free Pick: Take the Arkansas Razorbacks -12.5 (DS)
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