Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

David Schwab
Date: December 23, 8:00 pm
Location: Ladd-Peebles Stadium

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bowling Green -7
Total: 66

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Georgia Southern's second season in the Sun Belt was a successful one with a straight-up 6-2 record in conference play. The Eagles went 8-4 SU overall after losing two of their last three games. When it came to betting on this team, it also went 8-4 against the spread after covering in four of its last five games. In a season-ending 34-7 loss to Georgia State, the Eagles failed to cover as heavy 20.5-point favorites and the total stayed UNDER the 56.5-point closing line. The total stayed UNDER in five of their last six games.
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In that stunning loss to Georgia State, the Eagles gave-up 489 total yards including 346 yards through the air. Prior to that, the Eagles' defense had been playing quite well down the stretch by holding teams to just 15.8 points over its previous four games. Overall, this unit was tied for 41st in the country in points allowed (23.3). Offensively, Ga. Southern was the top rushing team in the nation with an average of 355.6 yards a game. Matt Breida led the way with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns on 188 carries.
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Bowling Green comes into this matchup with a SU 10-3 record on the year that includes a 7-1 run through the MAC. The Falcons won the East Division title, but they fell to Northern Illinois 34-14 in the conference championship as 14-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER 69 in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in five of their last six games. Bowling Green went a profitable 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as part of a matching 10-3 record ATS.
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Behind an offense that was ranked fourth in the nation in passing yards per game with 376.1, the Falcons racked-up an average of 43.4 points a game, which was the fifth-highest total in the country. Quarterback Matt Johnson threw for 4,700 yards and 43 touchdowns while completing an impressive 68.8 percent of his 535 attempts. His most productive target was sophomore wide receiver Roger Lewis with 82 receptions for 1,476 yards and 15 scores and junior wide receiver Gehrig Dieter added 89 catches for 957 yards and nine touchdowns to a very potent mix.
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Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Game Betting Trends
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The Eagles are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games outside the conference.
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The Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, but they have covered in five of their last six games against a team with a SU winning record.
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This will be the first meeting between these two in recent memory.
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Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction

This matchup boils down to the Eagles' ability to move the ball on the ground against the Falcons' ability to once again take to the air to put points on the board. This game could easily turn into a wild shootout on the scoreboard, but in the end I am going with Bowling Green to win and cover the seven-point spread.

Free Pick: Take the Bowling Green Falcons -7 (DS)
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