Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Odds - Point Spread Pick

Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Odds - Point Spread Pick

Keith F
Date: October 1, 12:00 pm
Location: Vanderbilt Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida Gators -10
Total: 41

<p>
The Florida Gators (3-1) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) will meet on Saturday, October 1st, in Nashville, Tennessee in a clash of SEC East foes. The last meeting between both sides in 2015 resulted in a sloppy 9-7 victory for the Gators in Gainesville. The game will be televised on the SEC Network at 12:00 PM EDT.
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Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Overview<br />
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The Gators enter at 3-1 after falling to Tennessee is a very bitter road loss in Knoxville. The Gators led by as much as 18 points before the lead would evaporate and the Volunteers would snap Florida’s eleven-game winning streak in that rivalry series. The Gators’ vaunted defense surrendered 38 points in the Tennessee defeat.Vanderbilt enters at 2-2, coming in of a thrilling overtime victory at Western Kentucky, last Saturday. Vanderbilt pulled off the feat as a 9.5-point pooch and they back up this superlative as they also smacked Middle Tennessee State, a team we like as a candidate to win the C-USA 47-24. Coach Derrick Mason has the team going in the right direction.
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Public Money<br />
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This week’s college football match-up between the Gators and Vandy see the public money coming in heavily on Florida to cover the 10 point spread at 82%. The total bettors are slightly leaning to the under 41 with 54% confidence.
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Betting Trends<br />
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Vanderbilt is 2-1 ATS in the last 3 contests between the two.
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Florida is 1-3 ATS on the year.
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Florida has won 9 of the last 10 matches between the two.
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Florida is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall.
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Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction

An astounding 92% of the consensus fancy backing the Gators against the spread and spotting points to the home underdog Vanderbilt. In Over/Under markets, 85% are in on the Over as the Total Line sits at 41 despite opening at 41.5. Vanderbilt has been a pest for the Gators as of late. Vanderbilt owns a 34-17 road win over Florida in 2013 and could have easily won again last year in The Swamp, when they fell to the Gators 9-7 on what was a turbulent game for both sides that was defense oriented. Vanderbilt has been undervalued in this series, they have covered two of the last three times and this year’s team is clearly far better than the 2015 roster. Case and point, the Commodores fell to Western Kentucky at home last year, this year on the road they fostered a far differing outcome. Additionally, the effects of the disparaging loss the Gators suffered last Saturday have yet to be seen. The motivation level may be at a low and they may enter this one flat after enduring a very difficult loss. On the contrary, the Commodores are buzzing high after last week’s overtime road win and now they get a chance to take down a traditional dominant force in their division at home. With the points we have seen combined with a heavy lean, an overlay is very much a likely situation to take shape here.

Free Pick: Vanderbilt +10
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