Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Point Spread Pick

Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Point Spread Pick

David Schwab
Date: October 29, 8:00 pm
Location: Doak Campbell Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Clemson -4.5
Total: 60.5

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This Saturday night at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, the Clemson Tigers will put their perfect 7-0 record on the line against the Florida State Seminoles. Game time for this ACC Atlantic Division tilt is set for 8 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ABC.
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Clemson at Florida State Game Overview<br />
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The Tigers already passed one major test this season by getting past Louisville 42-26 as slight one-point underdogs at home and a win this Saturday night would put them firmly in the driver seat for another ACC title run and an return trip to the College Football Playoff. Clemson has gone 4-3 against the spread during its run to 7-0 straight-up and the total has stayed UNDER in five of its first seven games.
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The road to victory in Tallahassee will hinge on the play of Heisman hopeful quarterback Deshaun Watson, but Clemson did get some good news when running back Wayne Gallman was elevated to probable following a concussion. Watson has thrown for 1,950 yards and 20 touchdowns and Gallman leads the team in rushing with 489 yards and five scores on 90 carries. The Tigers have also gotten a strong effort from a defense that is ranked ninth in the nation in points allowed (15.3).
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Florida State has already dropped two games in conference play this season with a 63-20 loss to Louisville as a slight one-point road favorite early in the year followed by a tight 37-35 loss to North Carolina on Oct. 1 as a 10.5-point favorite at home. The Seminoles are 5-2 SU overall with a 3-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games. They have now failed to cover in four of their last five games played at home.
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To get back on track with a win in this game, Florida State is going to need a big effort from running back Dalvin Cook, who is still receiving some outside consideration for this year’s Heisman. He has rushed the ball 159 times this season for 900 yards and seven touchdowns. Freshman quarterback Deondre Francois has completed 62.4 percent of his 221 passing attempts for 1,876 yards and 10 touchdowns. The one big concern for the Seminoles is a defense that has struggled with consistency this season, especially in conference play.
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Clemson at Florida State Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.
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The Seminoles have failed to cover in their last four games following a SU win and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
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Head-to-head in this ACC matchup, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings at Florida State.
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Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Prediction

Florida State has already come up short against some of the better competition in the ACC this season and that could easily carry over to its play in this game on Saturday night. Clemson is the better overall team on paper and its motivation level to post a dominating win against a bitter conference rival will be sky high heading into Tallahassee.

This game will still be a great battle that should remain close deep into the fourth quarter, but I do like the Tigers’ chances to end up on top both SU and ATS.

Free Pick: Take the Clemson Tigers -4.5 and the Over 60.5
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