Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Week 10 Pick

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Week 10 Pick

Keith F
Date: November 2, 3:30 pm
Location: Malone Stadium
TV: ESPN+

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Louisiana-Monroe +2
Total: 67.5

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The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-4) will host Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) for a Sun Belt Conference collision on Saturday, November 2nd, 2019, in Monroe, Louisiana. Kick-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET and broadcasted on ESPN+. The Warhawks and Red Wolves last met in 2018 in Jonesboro, Arkansas, when the Red Wolves curated hosted duties. Arkansas State would defeat UL Monroe 31-17 and cover for their ninth consecutive match against ULM as a 7.5-point favorite.
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Key Injury Concerns<br />
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As the Red Wolves and Warhawks get ready to do battle, neither Arkansas State nor UL Monroe have declared any key injury concerns.
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Overview<br />
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<b>Arkansas State Red Wolves </b>
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Arkansas State comes into this match off a 38-14 thumping of Texas State last Saturday. Closing as an 11.5-point home favorite, the hosts were easy money for takers against the lowly Bobcats. The win brought a two-game losing streak and coverless streak as well to an end.
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<b>Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks </b>
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The Hawks come into this game off a bye but previous to their week off, a result they would like to forget. ULM traveled to Boone, North Carolina, with the present undefeated Appalachian State and came home with a nasty 52-7 defeat. Monroe was nowhere near close to covering as they closed a 16.5-point underdog.
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Reasons To Avoid Arkansas State Red Wolves<br />
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As mentioned, the Red Wolves have won and covered in nine straight matches between these two teams. As a result of this narrative, the Red Wolves are prone to be laying more points than it should. The problem with this theory is that Arkansas State already appears short-sold to the public eye. However, the value is not on the visitors but the hosts. Had Arkansas State's cover streak been snapped, let alone had they lost at all recently, we could easily see the Warhawks laying points to the guests. Nevertheless, Arkansas State's supremacy in this series both from an ATS and straight-up perspective has them laying less than a field goal on the road, which in itself indicates the high possibility for a live dog.
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Reasons To Back Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks<br />
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The Warhawks have had an extra to rest and prepare for this game, which certainly helps their cause as they head into what will undoubtedly a pivotal match for their campaign. Monroe has a slew of up-start opponents left on the horizon, which can threaten their goal of attaining bowl eligibility. The list includes Georgia State, Coastal Carolina, and a season finale at one of the better teams in the conference in arch-rival UL Lafayette. Given the fact that ULM will see this as a winnable game, the Warhawks will come out swinging as it cannot afford to drop this match, as well. From a strategic perspective, the Hawks have the antidote to keep Arkansas State’s high-powered 21st-ranked passing attack off the field (averaging 295.5 yards through the air per game). The Warhawks are ranked 30th in the FBS in rushing offense averaging 205.5 yards on the ground per contest and have a savory match-up against one of the worst rushing defenses in America (127th overall) that give up 239.3 rushing yards against per match. The Warhawks can play keep away and run the ball down Arkansas State's throat, which plays right into their hands.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116832">Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe Prediction 11/02/19

The Favorite in this series is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Arkansas State has been the chalk in all of these scenarios. However, I expect that trend to change after this match. We’ll toss aside the points here to enhance our return and take Monroe to win this one outright. A much different team awaits Arkansas State than the club that got humiliated at Appalachian State two weeks ago. The Red Wolves won’t be able to rest on their laurels as they are in for a rude awakening against a ULM team that is sick and tired of being bullied by the Red Wolves. Warhawks on the Money Line is our call.

Free Pick: Take Louisiana-Monroe +105 (Money Line)
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