Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers Week 14 Pick
Alabama clings to hopes of making the College Football Playoff again, while Auburn would love to dash those hopes, heading into the 84th edition of the Iron Bowl Saturday afternoon at Jordan-Hare. The Tide is favored by a field goal and a hook for this one, but they're also without their No. 1 quarterback.
How are we playing this game with our free college football pick?
College Football Betting Odds
Week 14's college football betting odds opened Alabama at 3.5 over Auburn, with an over/under of right around 50. Both those figures were holding steady in early betting action.
Tide vs. Tigers Set-Up
Alabama is 2-0 both SU and ATS since that loss to LSU three weeks ago, after rolling over Western Carolina last week 66-3, covering as a 58-point favorite.
Alabama, with sophomore quarterback Mac Jones playing in place of the injured Tua Tagovailoa, led that game 17-0 after one quarter, 38-0 at the half and 59-0 before allowing the Catamounts to kick a field goal early in the fourth quarter. The Tide then did their financial backers a solid by driving for one final touchdown and the money.
On the day Alabama out-gained Western Carolina 541-179.
Two weeks ago, the Tide beat Mississippi State 38-7, covering at -19.
At 11-1 overall, Alabama sits at No. 5 in this week's College Football Playoff standings, but the Tide will not play in the SEC championship game. So they've got one last shot here to make their case for a spot in the CFP, and style points might count.
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Auburn, meanwhile, bounced back from that loss to Georgia two weeks ago to blank Samford last week 52-0. The Tigers only led that game 7-0 after one quarter but made it 31-0 by halftime. Auburn then tacked on three more scores in the second half to cover as a 45-point favorite.
On the day, the Tigers out-gained the Bulldogs 544-114.
Two weeks ago, as mentioned above, Auburn fell to SEC East champion Georgia 21-14. The Tigers trailed the Bulldogs 21-0 into the fourth quarter, scored twice and drove to the Georgia 34-yard line, but came up empty on a fourth down.
At 8-3 overall, Auburn's playing this Iron Bowl for pride and the chance to end Alabama's playoff hopes.
Tide-Tigers Recent History
Alabama is 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS over the last five Iron Bowl meetings with Auburn. Last year the Tide beat the Tigers 52-21, covering as a 26-point favorite. 'Bama only led that game 17-14 at the half but scored two quick touchdowns out of the locker room and pulled away from there.
The Tide out-gained Auburn that day 500-283.
Also, that game played over a total of 53.
College Football Betting Trends
- Alabama is 13-6 ATS over its last 19 true road games.
- Alabama is 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS in Iron Bowls under Coach Saban.
- Auburn is 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS at home this season.
- Auburn is 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS in Iron Bowls under Coach Malzahn.
- Overs are 6-5 in Alabama games this season, which are averaging a healthy 65 total points.
- Unders are 7-4 in Auburn games this season, which are averaging 49 points.
- Unders are 3-1 over the last four Iron Bowls.
- Get more details: Alabama at Auburn NCAAF Match-up Stats
Alabama at Auburn Prediction 11/30/19
Jones is putting up some nice numbers for Alabama, but we all know that Tide offense isn't as explosive without Tagovailoa behind center. Meanwhile, Auburn can run the ball, and it might own the better defense in this match-up. Also, while 'Bama plays for a shot at the CFP, this game is the Super Bowl for the Tigers. We'll take Auburn and the points for our free college football pick.