Xavier Musketeers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Odds - NCAAB Prediction - Free ATS Pick

Xavier Musketeers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Odds - NCAAB Prediction - Free ATS Pick

Cliff Knox
Date: January 26, 7:00 pm
Location: Fifth Third Arena
TV: ESPN3

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Cincinnati -5.5
Total: 136.5

<p>
The 19th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats host the 24th ranked Xavier Musketeers ion a non-conference game that will take place at the Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio at 7 PM ET. Xavier has won 14 of their 19 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 10 of the 18 games that have had a posted line. Cincinnati has won 17 of their 19 games this season and they have an ATS record of 8-7-1 in the 16 games that have had a posted line.
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<p>
Xavier is coming off an 86-75 win over Georgetown in their last game where they covered the 10-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 161. Which was over the closing line of 148.5. Previous to the Georgetown game the Musketeers had failed to cover the spread in three straight games and in their last three games the total has gone over twice. Xavier had lost three straight games overall before their win over Georgetown.
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<p>
Cincinnati is coming off a 78-61 win over Tulane in their last game where they covered the 16.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 139, which was over the closing line of 138.5. Previous to the Tulane game the Bearcats had failed to cover the spread in three straight games and in three of their last four games, including their last two, the total has gone over. Cincinnati has won 10 straight games.
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<p>
Offensively, Xavier is putting up 76.6 points per game on a 45.3% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Musketeers are allowing 68.7 points per game on a 43.6% FG average.
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<p>
Cincinnati is putting up 77.3 points per game on a 48% FG average. On defense the Bearcats are allowing 61.4 points per game, which ranks 10th in the nation, on a 36.8% FG average, which ranks 3rd in the nation.
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<p>
These teams met last season at Xavier where the Musketeers beat the Bearcats 65-55.
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<h2>
Xavier Musketeers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Xavier is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 road games.
</li>
<li>
The Musketeers are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Bearcats.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 7 of Xavier’s last 8 road games in Cincinnati.
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Cincinnati’s is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
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The Bearcats are 3-7-1 against the spread in their last 11 home games against Xavier.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Xavier and Cincinnati have the public leaning to the Musketeers getting the 5.5 points at over 60% confidence. On the over/under the public bettors are thinking this game will definitively go over the posted total line of 136.5 with over 75% conviction.
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Xavier Musketeers at Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction

Xavier had dropped three straight before knocking off Georgetown in their latest. The three losses came against three very strong clubs Creighton at home and Butler and Villanova on the road. What is concerning from a betting perspective is the points margin in the two Musketeer road losses, losing by 10 to Butler and 25 to Villanova. Cincinnati certainly hasn't been padding their backers pockets in recent games, with a 1-3 ATS record in their last four. However, they do play exceptional defense at home which gives them a huge edge over Xaviers' porous unit. The spread lands in an acceptable range needing a two baskets advantage to get the push.

Free Pick: Take the Cincinnati Bearcats -4
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