USC Trojans vs. Arizona Wildcats NCAAB Pick - Game Analysis and Odds

Date: 
March 10, 10:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Arizona -1.5
Total: 
145.5

The USC Trojans (23-10) face the 15th ranked Arizona Wildcats (26-7) in the championship game of the Pac 12 conference tournament tonight at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV at 10:00 PM ET. The NCAA odds board lists Arizona as a small -1.5 point favorite over USC with the O/U line offered at 145.5 points.

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In their latest in the Pac 12 tournament semifinals, USC has little trouble defeating Oregon 74-54. The 20-point winning margin crushed the USC -3 line that Trojan bettors were saddled with. In the match, Jonah Mathews was the high scorer for the Southern California picking up 27 points on 8 of 10 shooting hitting seven of his nine 3-pointers and three starters on the team went for double figures. MiKyle McIntosh was the high scorer for the Ducks with 21 points on 9 of 17 shooting, and while three starters on the squad went for 11 points, the bench did not score any points. USC outscored Oregon by 14 points in the first half holding them to only 23 points and extended the margin in the second half. In the match, they shot 50% from the floor, and they kept the Ducks to a feeble 33.3% shooting. USC has won two in a row, and six of their last seven games overall and is 5-1 on the season in games held at a neutral site.

Arizona beat UCLA 78-67 in OT in their conference semifinals game outscoring the Bruins by 11 points in overtime to get the point spread cover as -6 favorite. The extra time wasn't enough to help the OVER bettors with the 145 combined points falling well below the 155.5 line. Deandre Ayton led the Wildcats picking up 32 points on 13 of 16 shooting with 14 rebounds and three starters on the team went for 11 points, and two had at least ten rebounds. Thomas Welsh led the Bruins with 17 points on 7 of 13 shooting and added 17 rebounds. Arizona for the game shot 43.9% from the floor, and the Bruins shot 39.7%. Arizona has won four in a row and seven of their last eight games and is 3-3 on the season in games on a neutral court.

USC ranks 75th in the nation in ppg and 126th in opponents’ ppg, and Arizona ranked 37th in ppg and tied for 157th in opponents’ ppg.

In the only game between these teams this season, which was at Arizona on February 10th, the Wildcats beat the Trojans 81-67.

This season USC is 21-11 ATS with an O/U record of 10-20 and Arizona is 13-18-2 ATS with an O/U record of 16-16.

Get more details: USC at Arizona NCAAB Match-Up

SAGARIN RATINGS

USC: 84.19
Arizona: 87.06

INJURY REPORT

USC

[G] 12/16/2017 - De'Anthony Melton is out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 03/08/2018 - Derryck Thornton is "?" ( Respiratory )
(!)[F] 02/16/2018 - Bennie Boatwright is out for season ( Knee )

ARIZONA

NONE

USC at Arizona NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • USC is 5-1 ATS in their last six games
  • USC is 10-0 ATS in their last ten games held at a neutral site
  • USC has an Under record of 14-2-1 in their previous 17 games
  • ARIZ is 4-9-1 ATS in their previous 14 games after an ATS win
  • ARIZ is 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games against a team with a winning record
  • ARIZ has an Under record of 7-2 in their previous eight games

USC vs. Arizona Prediction ATS Pac-12 Title Game Prediction 03/10/2018

The Trojans are playing well at both ends of the court holding their opponents to 61.4 points defensively and offensively putting up 71.2 points per game. The Wildcats are also performing well with an overtime loss as their only blemish on their record over the last eight games. They won the only meeting this season, beating USC by 14 points in an 81-67 home win. This game is on a neutral court where the Trojans have had a lot of success going 5-1 this campaign versus Wildcats 3-3. However, those numbers are misleading with the Trojans record padded by victories over Akron and New Mexico State and Arizona's losses came back in November with two of them against top-level competition (NC State and Purdue). Tough call due to the Trojan's current form, but I'm going to go with the Wildcats here. They dominated on the glass in their only meeting this season, and I don't think that will change this time around with Arizona holding one of the best rebound margins in college basketball.

Free Pick: 
Take the Arizona Wildcats -1.5 (RC)

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