San Diego State Aztecs at Utah State Aggies Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs at Utah State Aggies Betting Prediction

Darin Zank
Date: February 8, 10:00 pm
Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum
TV: CBSSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: SD State +1.5/USU -1.5
Total: 144.5

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It's a battle for the lead in the Mountain West Conference when first-place San Diego State runs with third-place Utah State Wednesday night in Logan. The Aztecs are a game up on the Aggies in the MWC standings and already own a win over Utah State this season. But they're lined as short underdogs for this contest. Which way are we going here with our free college basketball betting pick?
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College Basketball Betting Odds<br />
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Wednesday's CBB betting lines opened Utah State at -1.5 over San Diego State, with an over/under of right around 147. Early betting action then dropped that total down two and a half points to 144.5. According to Sagarin's CBB ratings at USAToday.com, it's the Aztecs who should actually be favored by half a point for this match-up.
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College Basketball Betting Preview<br />
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San Diego State just bounced back from a loss at Nevada last week to bounce Boise State last Friday 72-52. That game was close early, but the Aztecs used a 14-0 run to lead 43-21 at the half. San Diego State then never allowed the Broncos, who were playing without their starting point guard, to get closer than 16 points from there and covered easily as a seven-point favorite. The Aztecs shot 51 percent from the field Saturday, held Boise State to just 37 percent field-goal shooting, and out-rebounded the Broncos 36-28. Just prior to Saturday's win, San Diego State shot only 44 percent and lost to Nevada 75-66. But before that, the Aztecs won four games in a row, three by double-digits. At 9-2 in conference play, San Diego State leads the Mountain West by a half-game over the 9-3 Wolf Pack. And at 18-5 overall, the Aztecs look like good bets to make the NCAA tournament for the second straight season. Utah State, meanwhile, rides a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS into Wednesday after beating Colorado State Saturday 88-79. The Aggies scored the first six points of the game and led 33-32 at the half. Utah State then pushed its advantage to 14 a couple of times in the second half and held on for the victory and the cover at -5. The Aggies shot 51 percent from the floor Saturday, although they also allowed the Rams to shoot 55 percent. But Utah State hit 18/39 from 3-point range and won the battle on the boards 31-26. Two games ago, the Aggies beat New Mexico 84-73 and covered at -4. Three games ago, they won at Fresno State 70-53 and covered at -5. At 8-3 in conference play, Utah State trails first-place San Diego State by just one game. But even at 19-5 overall, the Aggies sit on the Big Dance bubble, with work yet to be done.
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San Diego State-Utah State Recent History<br />
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The Aztecs are 3-1 both SU and ATS over the last four meetings with the Aggies. Two weeks ago, San Diego State won the first meeting between these teams this season 85-75 down at Viejas Arena. The Aztecs took the lead for good two minutes into the game, led 42-27 at the half, and held on from there for the win and the money at -7. That game soared Over a total of 145, as the teams combined to shoot 48 percent from the floor.
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/matchup/1754261">San Diego State at Utah State 2/8/23 Betting Stats</a>
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Totals Report<br />
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The Overs are 13-9 in Aztecs games this season and are averaging 141 total points.
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The Overs are 15-7 in Aggies games this season, which are averaging 152 points.
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The Overs are 3-0 over the last three meetings between these teams.
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San Diego State at Utah State Pick ATS 2/8/23

Utah State is one of the better offensive outfits in the country this season, while San Diego State, as usual, is one of the better defensive teams. We like betting on the side with the better defense in match-ups like this. Also, the Aztecs just outplayed the Aggies a couple of weeks ago—also, Sagarin's ratings favor San Diego State. So we like the Aztecs Wednesday night for the win.

Free Pick: Take San Diego State +1.5
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