Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers Pick ATS - Odds - Expert Betting Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers Pick ATS - Odds - Expert Betting Preview

Cliff Knox
Date: March 2, 9:00 pm
Location: Kohl Stadium

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Boilermakers -4,
Total: 126.5

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The Purdue Boilermakers (24-5) will take on the Wisconsin Badgers (16-12) on March 2, 2023, at 9:00 pm EDT. The game will take place at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. The point spread for this game is Purdue -4, and the over/under is +126.5.
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Last Game:<br />
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The Boilermakers faced the Indiana Hoosiers in their most recent game, which they lost 71-79. Purdue was favored by 6.5 points, and the game went over the total of 138.5. Jaden Ivey led the team with 19 points, while Trevion Williams added 16 points and 11 rebounds. The Badgers played against the Michigan Wolverines in their previous game, which they lost 79-87. Wisconsin was an underdog with a 5.5 point spread, and the game went over the total of 129.5. Johnny Davis led the Badgers with 22 points, while Tyler Wahl recorded a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds.
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Power Stats:<br />
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Assists/Turnovers:<br />
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In terms of assists and turnovers, Purdue has the advantage over Wisconsin. The Boilermakers have an average of 15.48 assists and 11.17 turnovers per game, resulting in a ratio of 1.39. Meanwhile, the Badgers average 11.96 assists and 8.71 turnovers per game, resulting in a ratio of 1.37.
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Rebounding:<br />
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Purdue also has an edge in rebounding, as they average 39.14 rebounds per game compared to Wisconsin's 31.5. The Boilermakers average 12.28 offensive rebounds and 26.86 defensive rebounds, while the Badgers average 7.64 offensive rebounds and 23.86 defensive rebounds per game.
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Shooting Percentage:<br />
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Purdue has a higher shooting percentage than Wisconsin. The Boilermakers have an offensive shooting percentage of 45.94% and a defensive shooting percentage of 41.56%, resulting in a differential of 4.38. Meanwhile, the Badgers have an offensive shooting percentage of 41.52% and a defensive shooting percentage of 43.85%, resulting in a differential of -2.33.
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Betting Trends<br />
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Here are the top five trends for each team:
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Wisconsin Badgers:<br />
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Wisconsin is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games. The total has gone under in all of Wisconsin's last five home games. Wisconsin is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Purdue. The total has gone over in five of Wisconsin's last six games when playing Purdue. Wisconsin is 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing at home against Purdue.
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Purdue Boilermakers:<br />
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Purdue is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six road games. Purdue is 9-3 SU in its last 12 road games. The total has gone under in four of Purdue's last six road games. The total has gone over in five of Purdue's last six games when playing Wisconsin. Purdue is 2-3-1 ATS in its last six games when playing on the road against Wisconsin.
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INJURIES<br />
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Wisconsin's guard C. Hepburn is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against Purdue due to a knee injury suffered in the team's most recent game.
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Purdue at Wisconsin Free Pick 03/02/23

Purdue appears to have a clear advantage over Wisconsin in most statistical categories. Purdue has a stronger offensive game with a higher shooting percentage and more assists per game, and they also dominate the rebounding game. While Wisconsin has a slightly better defense, it may not be enough to overcome Purdue's offensive prowess. Additionally, with The Badgers' recent struggles both ATS and in covering the spread at home, The Boilermakers may have a good opportunity to win by more than four points.

Free Pick: Take Purdue -4
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