Oregon Ducks at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds

Oregon Ducks at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds

Cliff Knox
Date: March 29, 8:49 pm
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium
TV: TBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Carolina -4.5
Total: 150

<p>
The 3rd seed from the Midwest Region Oregon Ducks face the top seed from the South Region North Carolina Tar Heels in a Final Four NCAA Tournament game that will take place at a neutral site at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on Saturday, April 1 at 8:49 PM ET. The odds on the NCAA betting board opened with the Tar heels as a -4.5 point favorite on the spread line, but that has since moved to -5 on many boards. The O?U line for this match has been on the rise after opening a -150 has climbed to 151.5 at most sportsbooks.
</p>
<p>
Oregon is coming off a 74-60 win over Kansas in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the spread as a 6.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 134, which was well under the closing line of 157.5. Previous to the Kansas game the Ducks had failed to cover the spread in two in a row and in their last two games the total had gone under while in the previous four games the total went over. Oregon has won 12 of their last 13 games.
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<p>
North Carolina is coming off a 75-73 win over Kentucky in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament where the game was a PICK with the Tar Heels a 2-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 148, which was under the closing line of 160.5. The Tar Heels have an ATS record of 2-1-1 in their four NCAA Tournament games and in two of their last three games the total has gone under. North Carolina has won six of their last seven games.
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<p>
Offensively, Oregon is putting up 78.9 points per game on a 48.4% FG average, which ranks 16th in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball the Ducks are allowing 65.5 points on a 40.7% FG average.
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<p>
North Carolina is putting up 85.2 points per game, which ranks 9th in the nation, on a 46.9 FG average. On defense the Tar Heels are allowing 70.5 points per game on a 41.7% FG average.
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<p>
These teams last met in the 2008 season where North Carolina beat Oregon 98-69.
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<h2>
Oregon Ducks at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Oregon is 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 Saturday games.
</li>
<li>
The Ducks are 17-7-1 against the spread in their last 25 games overall.
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<li>
North Carolina is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games vs. Pacific 12.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 11 of North Carolina’s last 14 games vs. Pacific 12.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Oregon and North Carolina have the public leaning to the Tar Heels minus the 4.5 points with 55%. The over/under bettors are definitively on this game going over the posted total line of 150 with 66% on board.
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Oregon Ducks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

This is an awfully tough game to handicap. North Carolina did play the tougher schedule, but it wasn’t by a large a margin and they did have two more losses on the season. I don’t want to overplay the defensive effort against Kansas in Oregon’s last game, but it was impressive and after digging into the schedule this is something that they have excelled at. The Ducks have played six games against teams ranked in the top 20 in FG% and they’ve gone 5-1 with the only loss being by three to UCLA. The Tar Heels don’t rank in the top 20, but their shooting is a very good 47.2 in the regular season ranking in the top 50. UNC does have the size edge and should win the rebound, but the Ducks have a large edge in 3-point game offensively and defensively. I’ll take the points and hope that Oregon Guard Tyler Dorsey continues his brilliant play.

Free Pick: Take the Oregon Ducks +5
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