Nevada Wolfpack at San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free Point Spread Prediction

Nevada Wolfpack at San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 12, 4:00 pm
Location: Viejas Arena
TV: CBSSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Diego State -3.5
Total: 142

<p>
The San Diego State Aztecs host the Nevada Wolfpack in a MWC game that will take place at the Viejas Arena in San Diego, California at 4 PM ET. The betting odds for this game list the Aztecs as a -4 point spread favorite (up from its -3.5 opener) with the total line at 142 points.
</p>
<p>
Nevada is coming off a 104-77 blowout win over UNLV in their last game where they covered the 12.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 181, which was well over the closing line of 146. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in three of their last four games and previous to the UNLV game the total had gone under in three straight games. Overall, Nevada has won three of their last four games.
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<p>
San Diego State is coming off a 77-71 loss to San Jose State in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 148, which was over the closing line of 136.5. The Aztecs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games and in their last four games the total has gone over every time. San Diego State had won two straight games before their loss to San Jose State.
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<p>
Offensively, Nevada is putting up 79.9 points per game on a 45.1% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Wolfpack are allowing 72.1 points per game on a 42.8% FG average.
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<p>
San Diego State is putting up 70.2 points per game on a 41.9% FG average. On defense the Aztecs are allowing 63.9 points per game on a 39.8% FG average, which ranks 20th in the nation.
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<p>
These teams met in the beginning of last month at Nevada where the Wolfpack beat the Aztecs 72-69.
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<h2>
Nevada Wolfpack at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Nevada is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games overall.
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<li>
The Wolf Pack is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 road games.
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The game total has gone under in 4 of Nevada’s last 6 games against San Diego State.
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San Diego State is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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The Aztec’s are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games against the Wolf Pack.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Nevada and San Diego State have the public leaning slightly to the home Aztec’s minus the 3.5 points with just over 54%. The over/under bettors are banking on this game going under the posted total line of 142 with over 60% on board.
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Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

The Aztecs are banged up, but the early line movement has me thinking that both forwards Zylan Cheatham and Max Hoetzel will play. Even if Hoetzel doesn't play San Diego State has enough scoring to beat Nevada. The Wolf Pack's road defense has been dismal this season giving up 77.6 points per game on 46% FG shooting. The Aztecs strength is their defense holding four of their five Mountain West opponents to under 70 points per game at home.

Free Pick: Take the San Diego State Aztecs -4
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