Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 6, 7:00 pm
Location: John Paul Jones Arena
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Virginia -4
Total: 123

<p>
The 9th ranked Virginia Cavaliers host the 6th ranked Louisville Cardinals in an ACC game that will take place at the John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia at 7 PM ET. The betting odds for this ACC game opened with a point spread line of Virginia -4 that has now moved to the Cavaliers -5. The total line hit the board at 123 and it has seen a strong upward movement to 126.
</p>
<p>
Louisville is coming off a 90-67 blowout win over Boston College in their last game where they covered the 14-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 157, which was over the closing line of 144. The Cardinals have covered the spread in five of their last six games, including their last three, and in two of their last three games the total has gone over. Overall. Louisville has won seven of their last eight games including their last three.
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<p>
Virginia is coming off a 66-62 loss to Syracuse in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 4.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 128, which was the closing line so the game was a Pick. Previous to the Syracuse game the Cavaliers had covered the spread in three straight games and the total had gone under in five straight games. Virginia has lost two of their last three games.
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<p>
Offensively, Louisville is putting up 78.5 points per game on a 45.6% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Cardinals are allowing 62.3 points per game, which ranks 12th in the nation, on a 37.8% FG average, which ranks 5th in the nation.
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<p>
Virginia is putting up 68.9 points per game on a 49.4% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation. On defense the Cavaliers are allowing 54 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 39.2% FG average, which ranks 12th in the nation.
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<p>
These teams met earlier this season on December 28th at Louisville where the Cavaliers beat the Cardinals 61.53.
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<h2>
Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Louisville is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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<li>
The Cardinals are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 4 of Louisville’s last 5 games against Virginia.
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<li>
Virginia is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games overall.
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The Cavaliers are 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games against the Cardinals.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Louisville and Virginia have the public leaning slightly to the Cardinals getting the 4 points with just over 54%. The over/under bettors are more definitive on going with this game going over the posted total line of 123 with over 70% on board.
</p>

Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers Prediction

Louisville has been playing fantastic winning seven of their last eight games with the only loss being on the road to a very good FSU team. The Cardinals have struggled against teams playing high quality defense like the Seminoles have been in recent games. Their other three losses came against Notre Dame, Virginia and Baylor. UVA can be beaten at home as proven by losses to FSU and WVU, but when they do win they usually cover going 7-2 against the line in thier victories. Virginia won by eight on the road against Louisville back in late December and I forecast a repeat of the same tonight.

Free Pick: Take the Virginia Cavaliers -5
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