Kansas State Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers Pick - Odds - Expert Game Preview

Kansas State Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers Pick - Odds - Expert Game Preview

Cliff Knox
Date: March 4, 2:00 pm
Location: WVU Coliseum

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Mountainners -5
Total: 148

<h2>LAST 5 GAMES</h2>
<h3>Kansas State Wildcats:</h3>
<p>The Wildcats are on a five-game winning streak, winning against Oklahoma (85-69), Oklahoma State (73-68), Baylor (75-65), Iowa State (61-55), and losing to Oklahoma (65-79). They have covered the spread in four of those games and have an overall ATS record of 16-8 in their last 24 road games.</p>
<p>In their most recent win over Oklahoma, Kansas State shot 53.33% from the field and 63.16% from the free-throw line, with nine three-pointers. Against Oklahoma State, they shot 48.98% from the field and 85% from the free-throw line, making eight three-pointers. Against Baylor, they shot 48.28% from the field and 71.43% from the free-throw line, with four three-pointers. In their win over Iowa State, they shot 37.50% from the field and 81.82% from the free-throw line, with seven three-pointers. In their loss to Oklahoma, they shot 43.10% from the field and 73.33% from the free-throw line, making four three-pointers.</p>
<h3>West Virginia Mountaineers:</h3>
<p>West Virginia has a record of 2-3 in their last five games, winning against Iowa State (72-69) and Oklahoma State (85-67), and losing to Kansas (74-76), Texas Tech (72-78), and Baylor (67-79). They have an ATS record of 2-3 in their last five games.</p>
<p>In their most recent win over Oklahoma State, the Mountaineers shot 43.94% from the field and 80% from the free-throw line, with seven three-pointers. Against Kansas, they shot 45.90% from the field and 85.71% from the free-throw line, making six three-pointers. Against Texas Tech, they shot 43.55% from the field and 77.78% from the free-throw line, with 11 three-pointers. In their loss to Baylor, they shot 45.28% from the field and 75% from the free-throw line. In their win over Iowa State, they shot 44.00% from the field and 82.61% from the free-throw line, making nine three-pointers.</p>
<h2>Power Stats Analysis:</h2>
<h3>Assists Turnovers:</h3>
<p> Kansas State has the advantage in this category with a ratio of 1.21 compared to West Virginia's 1.01. This indicates that the Wildcats are better at sharing the ball and taking care of it, which can be crucial in a close game.</p>
<h3>Rebounding:</h3>
<p> Both teams are fairly evenly matched in terms of rebounding, with Kansas State slightly edging out West Virginia in both offense and defense. However, the difference is not significant enough to give the Wildcats a clear advantage.</p>
<h3>Shooting Percentage:</h3>
<p> Kansas State has a slightly better shooting percentage than West Virginia, with a differential of 3.72 compared to the Mountaineers' 0.6. This indicates that the Wildcats are more efficient at scoring points than the Mountaineers.</p>
<h2>Betting Trends: </h2>
<p>West Virginia has a strong record playing at home, winning four of their last five home games. Additionally, the total has gone over in all five of those games, suggesting that West Virginia's home games tend to be high-scoring affairs. However, the Mountaineers have struggled against Kansas State in the past, going 2-5 in their last seven games against the Wildcats.</p>
<p>Kansas State has a decent record playing on the road, going 16-8 against the spread in their last 24 road games. However, they have struggled recently, losing five of their last six games on the road. Additionally, Kansas State has historically struggled against West Virginia, going 1-9 in their last ten road games against the Mountaineers.</p>
<h2>Injury Updates: </h2>
<p>West Virginia is dealing with several injuries, including forward Jalen Okonkwo who is questionable for this game due to an ankle injury. Forward Moussa Wague is out indefinitely due to a foot injury, and guard Jayce Davis is also out indefinitely due to a wrist injury. Guard Jalen Perez is out for the season due to eligibility issues.</p>
<p>Kansas State does not have any significant injuries to report.</p>

Kansas State vs West Virginia Pick ATS 03/04/23

The statistical analysis and betting trends give us the Kansas State Wildcats as the the favorite to win this game. They have a slight advantage in several key statistical categories, and West Virginia has historically struggled against them. However, we can't totally discount the Mountaineers strong home record and could potentially turn things around in this game. Ultimately, the Wildcats are the safer bet to win this game and that's where my money is landing.

Free Pick: Take Kansas State +5
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