Kansas State at Texas Expert Pick & Analysis

Kansas State at Texas Expert Pick & Analysis

Rich Crew
Date: January 3, 9:00 pm
Location: Moody Center
TV: LHN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: KSU +8.5/Tex -8.5
Total: 134.5

<p>
The Longhorns will look to extend their winning ways when they host the K-State Wildcats on Tuesday night at the Moody Center. Texas is 9-0 in home games this season, beating the opposition by an average score of 86.4 to 62. K-State has played just two true road games and beat a weak Cal team, and was crushed by Butler.
</p>
<h2>
Line Movement<br />
</h2>
<p>
This line was as high as Texas -10 at a few books when it hit the board and has now been all over the place with some -8s earlier in the day and now some books hanging -9.5 (-120). The total has been on a downward spiral, opening at 138 and now at a consensus 134.5 points..
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<h2>
Last Game Info<br />
</h2>
<p>
Kansas State picked up a victory over West Virginia by a score of 82-76. Heading into the game, the Wildcats were favored to win, with a point spread of -1. The combined 158 points finished above the 141 total line.
</p>
<p>
Texas is coming off a 70-69 win over Oklahoma. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as a -3 point favorite. The combined 139 points finished above the 133.5 total line.
</p>
<h2>
Current Form<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Kansas State</b><br />
Over their last five games, Kansas State has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Wildcats' offense averages 81.0 points per game while hitting 49.8% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 39.5% from the field while allowing 62.2 points per contest.
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<p>
<b>Texas</b><br />
In their previous five contests, Texas is 5-0 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 85.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.5%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 46.9% of their shots while giving up 71.2 points per game.
</p>
<h2>
Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played<br />
</h2>
<p>
This season, the combined power rating of Kansas State's opponents comes in at 76.9. On the other side, Texas' combined opponent power rating sits at 72.1.
</p>
<h2>
How Does Kansas State Fare On The Road?<br />
</h2>
<p>
For the season, the Wildcats have played three road games and have a record of 2-1. In these contests, Kansas State is 2-1 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 68.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.2%. On defense, the Wildcats allow 62.3 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 42.7% in these games.
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<h2>
How Does Texas Fare At Home?<br />
</h2>
<p>
In their 12 games at home, Texas has a 5-7 record vs. the spread while going 11-1 straight up. On offense, the Longhorns are shooting 50.6% on their home floor, leading to 83.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 40.1% in these contests. The Texas defense is allowing 62.2 points per game at home.
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<h2>
Offense vs. Defense<br />
</h2>
<p>
For the season, Kansas State is averaging 69.0 points per game (266th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 42.0%. In today's game, they will be matched up against a Texas defense that has allowed an average of 62.7 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Texas. On the other side, the Texas Longhorns are coming into the game averaging 68.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.2%. The Longhorns will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 62.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. the Wildcats.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/matchup/1768376">Kansas State vs. Texas 1/3/22 Betting Stats</a>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>
Three-Point Shooting<br />
</h2>
<p>
From beyond the arc, Kansas State has a shooting percentage of 34.6% while ranking 228th in attempts per game. The Wildcats will be facing a Texas defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.2%. Texas enters the game, having hit 32.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.41 made 3's per game. On the other end, Kansas State has allowed opponents to hit 30.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.
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<h2>
Injuries Of Note<br />
</h2>
<h4>
Kansas State<br />
</h4>
<ul>
<li>
David N'Guessan (Out) Undisclosed
</li>
<li>
Jerrell Colbert (Out) Redshirt
</li>
<li>
Taj Manning (Out) Redshirt
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<li>
Anthony Thomas (Out) Redshirt
</li>
</ul>
<h4>
Texas<br />
</h4>
<ul>
<li>
Rowan Brumbaugh (Out) Redshirt
</li>
</ul>

Kansas State at Texas Pick ATS 1/3/23

The Longhorns (-3.5) showed a lot of grit battling for the slim 1-point win on the road in Oklahoma on New Year's Eve. The Longhorns haven't been a bettor's best friend as of latefailing to cover the spread in six of their last eight games. They have a good shot to start an upward trend tonight. They face a KSU team that may be a little too full of themselves after coming back from a large early deficit and prevailing 82-76 in overtime on Saturday. Texas is the better shooting team. They play better defense and can trash KSU on the boards.

Free Pick: Take Texas -8.5
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