Gonzaga Bulldogs at St. Marys Gaels NCAAB Pick - Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Gonzaga Bulldogs at St. Marys Gaels NCAAB Pick - Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 11, 8:15 pm
Location: McKeon Pavilion
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Gonzaga -4.5
Total: 133

<p>
The 20th ranked St. Mary’s Gaels host the top-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs in a WCC game that will take place at the McKeon Pavilion Moraga, California at 8:15 PM ET. The unbeaten Zags are a -4 point spread favorite over St. Mary's with the total on most betting boards at 133.5.
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<p>
Gonzaga is coming off a 90-60 blowout win over Loyola Marymount in their last game where they covered the 17-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 150, which was over the closing line of 145.5. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two, and in their last two games the total has gone over while in the previous three games the total went under.
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<p>
St. Mary’s is coming off a 51-41 win over Portland in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 24-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 92, which was well under the closing line of 123. The Gaels have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games and in their last two games the total has gone under while in their previous two games the total went over. St. Mary’s has won seven games in a row since suffering their 2nd loss of the season against Gonzaga.
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<p>
Offensively, Gonzaga is putting up 85.6 points per game, which ranks 12th in the nation, on a 51.5% FG average, which ranks 3rd in the nation. On the defensive side of things the Bulldogs are allowing 61.6 points per game, which ranks 8th in the nation on a 37% FG average, which ranks 2nd in the nation.
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<p>
St. Mary’s is putting up 71.8 points per game on a 49.4% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation. On defense the Gaels are allowing 55.9 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the nation, on a 41.1% FG average.
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<p>
These teams met in the middle of last month at Gonzaga where the Bulldogs beat the Gaels 79-56.
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<h2>
Gonzaga Bulldogs at St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Gonzaga is 8-1-1 against the spread in their last 10 road games.
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<li>
The Bulldogs are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 games against Saint Mary’s-California.
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The game total has gone under in 10 of Gonzaga’s last 11 games against the Gaels.
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Saint Mary’s California is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
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The Gaels are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 home games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s have the public heavily on the visiting Bulldogs to cover the 4.5 point spread with over 80%. The over/under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted line of 133 with over 65% on board.
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Gonzaga Bulldogs at Saint Mary’s California Gaels Prediction

There is a lot of talk about this game ending the Zags unbeaten streak, but i'm not one of those. Sure the Gaels can put up a better fight then they did on the road when they were trounced by 23 points, but how much better can they be? The metrics don't support them closing the gap by anthing more than a handful of points. It's a square play but I can't see the margin being by less than double digits.

Free Pick: Take the Gonzaga Bulldogs -4
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