George Mason Patriots at Fordham Rams Odds Analysis - NCAAB Prediction

George Mason Patriots at Fordham Rams Odds Analysis - NCAAB Prediction

Keith F
Date: February 7, 10:37 am
Location: Rose Hill Gym
TV: Local

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Fordham -1.5
Total: 148

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The Atlantic 10 Conference will continue forward with another key contest between two constituents when the Fordham Rams host the George Mason Patriots. The tip-off will come from The Bronx, New York on Wednesday, February 7th, 2018 at 7:00 PM ET. The two teams have not yet met this season. Upon looking at the historical record, the Patriots swept the Rams in the 2017 two-game series in conference play. Previous to this from 2014 through 2016, the Rams defeated the Patriots in every meeting they had with each other. Therefore, Fordham comes into this game with a six-game winning streak in the series. The last meeting in March 2017 required overtime to declare a winner when George Mason defeated Fordham 82-71.
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Both parties come into this contest with four days of rest. George Mason enters off a win at Richmond where the Patriots defeated the Spiders 79-75. Fordham enters off a crushing loss on the road at Saint Louis where the Rams were routed by 23 points. Get more details <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/matchup/919701">George Mason vs. Fordham Betting Match-up</a>
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Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records:<br />
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George Mason Patriots, 10-13 SU, 7-12 ATS<br />
Fordham Rams, 7-15 SU, 5-13 ATS
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Key Betting Trends:<br />
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Fordham is 7-6 SU at home this season.
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George Mason is 3-5 SU on the road this season.
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George Mason is 1-6-1 ATS in the previous eight meetings between both sides.
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Fordham is 5-15 ATS in their previous 20 contests overall.
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Public Money:<br />
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Out of the gate, we have seen the market rise by half of a point indicating that action has come in on Fordham. On the contrary, the cash action has been split down the middle according to analytics while 67% of the ticket action is shown to be with George Mason. In Over/Under markets, we have seen the market ascend by two points to reflect the action on the Over. In Money Line markets, we have seen the Patriots priced at +130 while Fordham comes in as a -150 home favorite.
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George Mason Patriots at Fordham Rams Prediction 2/7/2018

In many consensus forums, the Patriots were a popular selection. Anytime the dog garners a lot of love and support from the public; we have to take a closer look by virtue of the fact that raises many red flags. Moreover, when we see a team with Fordham's body of work favored one cannot assume that this is simply a mistake.

The Rams own the better defense and commit lesser turnovers compared to the Patriots. Both of these narratives are instrumental in this affair as it can truly give the Rams a sense of home court advantage. One other key ingredient sticks out to us here, luck factor. According to KenPom, the Patriots are the 13th luckiest team in America when it comes to close games going their way. Given all the variables in this spot, this looks like an optimal spot to lay the points given the low-hanging fruit and environmental factors that favor Fordham.

 

Free Pick: Fordham -1.5 (KF)
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